TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Merida Open Akron: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Magdalena Frech

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Frechof Maneiro, Frech
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$192,504
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$221,179

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $192,504 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xde9f…d43cbacked Frech71c12,668$9,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,610.516,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Maneiro12c10,550$1,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,257.92,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Frech46c10,520$4,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,680.7410541%43 W · 62 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed Maneiro54c9,729$5,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,252.9310443.3%45 W · 59 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Frech72c8,800$6,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4641,19348.9%583 W · 610 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Maneiro55c8,268$4,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,546.379742.3%41 W · 56 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbdc3…c0eabacked Maneiro50c7,826$3,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,913.0313363.9%85 W · 48 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick60cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Maneiro50c6,709$3,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,354.6614450.7%73 W · 71 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Maneiro31c4,893$1,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,504.731,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Maneiro14c4,279$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.598,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35f3…092fbacked Frech46c3,724$1,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,999.0511247.3%53 W · 59 L-11.0wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-13.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Maneiro28c3,575$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00048851.6%252 W · 236 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Maneiro36c3,250$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,17074743.6%326 W · 421 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Maneiro53c2,676$1,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,416.4175748.6%368 W · 389 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Frech50c2,555$1,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,265.71,24041.2%511 W · 729 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Frech44c2,500$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,399.981,42128.6%407 W · 1,014 L+4.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Frech77c2,375$1,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.747,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Maneiro26c2,336$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60068026.2%178 W · 502 L-24.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x20c1…df04backed Maneiro26c2,222$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.8218439.1%72 W · 112 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cfb…0628backed Maneiro56c2,119$1,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,186.8230241.7%126 W · 176 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x211d…3ab7backed Frech48c2,093$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,093.5717955.9%100 W · 79 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a21…e7f0backed Frech49c2,051$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,051.354247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Maneiro20c2,008$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.492,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b96…b053backed Maneiro20c2,000$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.6422553.8%121 W · 104 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Maneiro27c1,851$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.632,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Frech75c1,847$1,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.212,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Frech50c1,600$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80086835.4%307 W · 561 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Frech45c1,502$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826.221,11842.8%479 W · 639 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Frech50c1,491$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.4820043.5%87 W · 113 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Frech45c1,387$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.931,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Frech45c1,371$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.111,26756.6%717 W · 550 L-18.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x89fd…da5dbacked Maneiro27c1,247$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.048845.5%40 W · 48 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Frech72c1,220$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.31,15844.4%514 W · 644 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Maneiro52c1,218$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.3176140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Maneiro52c1,208$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.621,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Maneiro33c1,194$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3941,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b03…71babacked Frech55c1,138$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.1428552.3%149 W · 136 L-0.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca1a…89e5backed Maneiro54c1,100$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.972853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Frech54c1,087$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.5931753.6%170 W · 147 L+17.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Maneiro30c1,026$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.64,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Maneiro16c997.12$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.5464755.2%357 W · 290 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Maneiro28c940$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.211,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Frech66c925.32$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.6944038.4%169 W · 271 L-27.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x03cf…197abacked Maneiro11c894.55$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.461040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c1e…0cd2backed Maneiro46c862.71$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005617.9%10 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-54.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Maneiro23c793.45$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.546,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b64…a351backed Frech47c744.68$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.6835268.2%240 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick68cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Frech50c720.8$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.447552.4%249 W · 226 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22c1…0df7backed Frech50c612$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3063063.3%19 W · 11 L+5.0wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+31.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Maneiro23c597.95$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.9981349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedd0…731cbacked Frech74c542$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.218156.9%103 W · 78 L-11.8wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-10.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked Maneiro49c509.42$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.0219338.9%75 W · 118 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+109.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x57c3…3201backed Maneiro57c472.99$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.6718957.7%109 W · 80 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Frech47c424.17$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.81,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36f7…d106backed Maneiro13c400$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5212227%33 W · 89 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Maneiro33c397.52$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed Maneiro57c391.97$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22269350.5%350 W · 343 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Maneiro27c372$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.2365647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Frech50c360$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1801,95548%939 W · 1,016 L+16.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Maneiro56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Maneiro55c349.47$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.2337339.1%146 W · 227 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a3d…3ec1backed Maneiro31c336.36$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.129530.5%29 W · 66 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Maneiro33c305.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Frech45c299.99$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16529636.8%109 W · 187 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b8…632abacked Frech45c299.58$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.7714344.1%63 W · 80 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa8…2bd9backed Frech50c297.82$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.91771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+27.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x126b…298fbacked Frech68c282.53$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.681942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-35%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe062…61fdbacked Frech50c280$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14010649.1%52 W · 54 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4692…0feebacked Frech71c275.55$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.5515951.6%82 W · 77 L-0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Maneiro55c272.72$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed Maneiro49c270.1$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.3575262%466 W · 286 L+25.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xed45…3de8backed Maneiro54c268$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.723053.3%16 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+24.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Frech47c267.25$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.2524560%147 W · 98 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ee9…1362backed Maneiro30c256.67$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7772542.6%309 W · 416 L-20.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Frech46c251.84$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.111,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Maneiro55c236.36$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13023353.2%124 W · 109 L+0.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Frech45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2257349.6%284 W · 289 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c0b…4d31backed Maneiro12c208.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.234337.2%16 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Maneiro23c207$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4899044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35f1…93d9backed Frech45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1104052.5%21 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x35ea…99bcbacked Maneiro41c198$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.4824060.8%146 W · 94 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66df…7ea5backed Frech50c194$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979958.6%58 W · 41 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda74…1ab0backed Maneiro57c193.62$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11094549.6%469 W · 476 L-23.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x16ca…468abacked Frech52c191.61$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.973151.6%16 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+28%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Maneiro30c190.7$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.7526535.5%94 W · 171 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Maneiro28c189.01$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.82,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Frech47c188.92$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.981,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd33f…159cbacked Maneiro21c188$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.114551.1%23 W · 22 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-22.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Maneiro47c178$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.6621338.5%82 W · 131 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Maneiro27c176.5$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.464,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e5f…6cecbacked Frech47c174.47$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.4727749.8%138 W · 139 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed Frech53c174.06$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8124454.9%134 W · 110 L+12.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Maneiro26c164.05$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.4414541.4%60 W · 85 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Frech48c164$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.51,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fd9…3373backed Frech46c163.04$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.041250%6 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+40.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Maneiro11c161.48$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.977,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ba9…bfaebacked Maneiro32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017754.8%97 W · 80 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Maneiro23c155$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.11,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e7b…9716backed Maneiro56c153.69$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.556134.4%21 W · 40 L-11.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-31.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x0339…1394backed Maneiro50c145.44$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724540%18 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.