Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Frech (-1.5) vs Maneiro (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f2548f9c2177603c795dcda04781a0776694340558f357a092413fd18205d22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Frechof Frech, Maneiro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,725
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,875
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,725 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Frech | 32c | 5,019$1,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,413.31 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Maneiro | 68c | 1,848$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Maneiro | 68c | 1,765$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa446…d9c6backed Maneiro | 68c | 816.82$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.44 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Frech | 34c | 350.84$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.29 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6d…71b4backed Maneiro | 66c | 338.12$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…ecbfbacked Maneiro | 68c | 161.76$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e31…5e8ebacked Maneiro | 68c | 112.16$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.27 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…aed4backed Maneiro | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Maneiro | 68c | 95.59$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 2,445 | 51.6%1,262 W · 1,183 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Frech | 35c | 86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.9 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e78…8bb1backed Maneiro | 68c | 80.88$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked Maneiro | 65c | 77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Maneiro | 68c | 56$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.96 | 7,201 | 49.7%3,577 W · 3,624 L | +114.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1645…323bbacked Maneiro | 67c | 45.9$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ff…e6f6backed Maneiro | 67c | 31.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Frech (-1.5) vs Maneiro (+1.5)this page
- Merida Open Akron: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Magdalena FrechFrech won
- Set 1 Winner: Maneiro vs FrechFrech won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.