Tennis · resolved market
St. Brieuc: Mark Lajal vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x606b0d54b8b09d794bad2ef98caa4d2dc33bfd619a95a98d8c31a36147a6cd62
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Herbertof Lajal, Herbert
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,490
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,558
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,490 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Herbert | 63c | 10,849$6,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,018.71 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34ed…cfe3backed Herbert | 66c | 7,388$4,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,482.82 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x903f…de5fbacked Lajal | 36c | 5,865$2,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,082.43 | 168 | 30.4%51 W · 117 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Herbert | 75c | 5,058$3,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.33 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Lajal | 36c | 4,171$1,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,493.23 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe29e…fa35backed Lajal | 30c | 3,534$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.18 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Lajal | 62c | 1,939$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.34 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Lajal | 27c | 1,889$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.03 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lajal | 47c | 1,479$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.08 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Lajal | 34c | 1,400$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476 | 248 | 44.8%111 W · 137 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Herbert | 63c | 1,158$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.72 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b96…b053backed Lajal | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Lajal | 62c | 981.24$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.87 | 724 | 52.6%381 W · 343 L | +34.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Herbert | 38c | 973.2$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.19 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Herbert | 38c | 655.01$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.51 | 552 | 41.3%228 W · 324 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9a…412ebacked Herbert | 51c | 650.3$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.57 | 134 | 39.6%53 W · 81 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Lajal | 33c | 547$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.73 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Lajal | 38c | 538$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.39 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Herbert | 36c | 517.1$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.94 | 328 | 42.7%140 W · 188 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Lajal | 37c | 501$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.04 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Lajal | 37c | 428$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.27 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Herbert | 71c | 423.39$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.74 | 207 | 48.3%100 W · 107 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Herbert | 39c | 408$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.88 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…f397backed Lajal | 38c | 374$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.72 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Lajal | 30c | 311.82$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.67 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Lajal | 34c | 236.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.16 | 145 | 41.4%60 W · 85 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Lajal | 32c | 225.29$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.07 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Lajal | 61c | 209.74$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.47 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Lajal | 61c | 170.37$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.76 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Lajal | 61c | 165.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 386 | 52.3%202 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lajal | 25c | 144.97$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.14 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Herbert | 36c | 137.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.31 | 543 | 48.1%261 W · 282 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Herbert | 77c | 137.28$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.12 | 290 | 63.8%185 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Herbert | 52c | 127.92$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.89 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Lajal | 58c | 121.2$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.3 | 317 | 53.6%170 W · 147 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…8ba0backed Herbert | 39c | 110.67$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.51 | 328 | 37.5%123 W · 205 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Lajal | 36c | 110$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.59 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Herbert | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 200 | 39%78 W · 122 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Lajal | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Herbert | 42c | 94.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.9 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Herbert | 65c | 93.67$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.1 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Lajal | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x126b…298fbacked Herbert | 73c | 90.7$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Lajal | 32c | 88.56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Lajal | 39c | 85.93$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.74 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Lajal | 30c | 82.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x67b5…7276backed Lajal | 32c | 77.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 271 | 47.2%128 W · 143 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Herbert | 39c | 77.02$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.35 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lajal | 35c | 72.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed Herbert | 39c | 65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.65 | 108 | 35.2%38 W · 70 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Herbert | 36c | 60.24$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.55 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Lajal | 60c | 59.55$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.73 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.21per pick | 65cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Herbert | 65c | 56.02$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 341 | 49.9%170 W · 171 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5904…940fbacked Lajal | 62c | 55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 114 | 65.8%75 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Lajal | 57c | 54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 857 | 48.2%413 W · 444 L | +33.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Lajal | 57c | 47.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -7.0wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Herbert | 74c | 40.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Herbert | 64c | 39.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Herbert | 42c | 38.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Lajal | 45c | 37.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Lajal | 57c | 37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Lajal | 63c | 36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe901…3139backed Herbert | 52c | 34.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 238 | 32.4%77 W · 161 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Herbert | 39c | 34.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 231 | 26%60 W · 171 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0e…8d7dbacked Herbert | 36c | 32.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.98 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77e5…7b3ebacked Herbert | 72c | 30.56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff5e…a98cbacked Herbert | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd33f…159cbacked Herbert | 69c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c69…f90dbacked Herbert | 73c | 28.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d8…fac4backed Herbert | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f60…a419backed Herbert | 76c | 24.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…ad29backed Herbert | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 94 | 70.2%66 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc554…00adbacked Herbert | 77c | 20.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Lajal | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Lajal | 57c | 18.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 770 | 47.9%369 W · 401 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Lajal | 63c | 18.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 361 | 35.7%129 W · 232 L | -35.1wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.