NHL · resolved market
Oilers vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5171d64d06fdaa7e8742fdd015b2086cea2bb5785d8507e65203e701fcb73351
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,203
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,203 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 58c | 46,121$26,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,382.75 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Under | 42c | 45,000$18,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,899.85 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Under | 44c | 8,000$3,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,519.89 | 168 | 43.5%73 W · 95 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Under | 44c | 6,842$3,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,010.89 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Over | 60c | 6,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400.19 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 59c | 5,351$3,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200.46 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 42c | 4,009$1,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,683.88 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 56c | 3,726$2,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,639.26 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked Under | 44c | 2,980$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.08 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Over | 56c | 2,300$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 57c | 1,979$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.84 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 56c | 1,946$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.44 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b0…4857backed Over | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 56c | 1,785$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.37 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Under | 44c | 1,620$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 59c | 1,353$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.7 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x672a…abb7backed Over | 58c | 1,034$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.48 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Over | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.11 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 41c | 976.97$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.4 | 115 | 37.4%43 W · 72 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 39c | 975.58$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.48 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 56c | 937.5$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.5 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed Under | 43c | 889.09$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.31 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Under | 40c | 720$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd36…6ec9backed Over | 56c | 682$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.08 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Over | 57c | 623.45$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.08 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Under | 40c | 612.13$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.85 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Under | 40c | 612.13$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.85 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 42c | 608$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.36 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e49…fb01backed Over | 59c | 602.2$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.2 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Over | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…c8a6backed Under | 40c | 462.5$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 40c | 458$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.2 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae84…fd9dbacked Under | 40c | 457.5$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Under | 40c | 457$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.8 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 40c | 441$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.4 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed Over | 58c | 431.03$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.03 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 42c | 400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 39c | 389.9$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.06 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…ee95backed Under | 40c | 375$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Under | 19c | 349.77$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.85 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 58c | 340.17$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.41 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 58c | 310.56$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.56 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Under | 40c | 228.75$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x701f…9b8fbacked Under | 40c | 198.83$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.53 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 56c | 196.59$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.5 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 57c | 180$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.4 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8512…a38cbacked Under | 32c | 154.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b23…cad2backed Under | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Under | 42c | 139.88$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.86 | 156 | 51.3%80 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 57c | 122.81$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.81 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 68c | 120.1$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.34 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 346 | 53.2%184 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over | 57c | 97.4$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.88 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 56c | 87.71$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.59 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Under | 43c | 81.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 57c | 70$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cf…8a4fbacked Over | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Under | 40c | 62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93e3…e590backed Under | 30c | 59.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 112 | 33.9%38 W · 74 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72bc…b24ebacked Under | 40c | 54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 40c | 54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f3…25dfbacked Over | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +6.5wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 78c | 48.48$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 295 | 53.6%158 W · 137 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x111c…40a3backed Under | 42c | 46.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd23d…9d38backed Over | 58c | 43.18$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc5…7ac4backed Over | 58c | 43.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44e4…f624backed Over | 58c | 43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 279 | 57.7%161 W · 118 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 40c | 39.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 58c | 38.36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.11 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 58c | 38.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed Under | 40c | 37.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9d…1299backed Over | 58c | 35.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…6bd3backed Over | 58c | 34.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.54 | 540 | 49.4%267 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 60c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…8cc1backed Under | 40c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed Over | 57c | 31.05$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 67c | 29.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 234 | 50%117 W · 117 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…af98backed Over | 58c | 25.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 337 | 56.4%190 W · 147 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 58c | 25.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 355 | 53%188 W · 167 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2886…9bb2backed Over | 70c | 21.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Over | 57c | 21.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 598 | 52.3%313 W · 285 L | +34.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9265backed Over | 58c | 17.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc0…39e7backed Over | 59c | 17.47$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +91.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf7…7d3fbacked Over | 59c | 17.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oilers vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5this page
- Oilers vs. AvalancheOilers won
- Oilers vs. Avalanche: O/U 4.5Over won
- Oilers vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5Over won
- Oilers vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Oilers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.