NHL · resolved market
Oilers vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b03f87e22a0780c4c9dd4a51410bb094a1dad24e01d2dee92a5906106dfa540
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,545
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,545 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 2,329$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.28 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 55c | 1,777$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.25 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe45a…46adbacked Over | 37c | 805.2$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.92 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 64c | 626.54$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 48c | 562.71$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.5 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…58c7backed Over | 57c | 376.55$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Over | 38c | 370$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.6 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 48c | 364.05$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.74 | 115 | 37.4%43 W · 72 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba08…21f1backed Under | 63c | 360.6$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 62c | 329$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.02 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74bb…1759backed Under | 32c | 315.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.23 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 29c | 267.41$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.08 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…1618backed Under | 63c | 241.68$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.42 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 60cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 52c | 230$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.68 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 54c | 229.87$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.99 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 51c | 214$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.96 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Over | 38c | 185$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.3 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8512…a38cbacked Under | 55c | 183.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.04 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 54c | 171.57$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 44c | 169$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.01 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Over | 62c | 159.16$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.29 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Under | 65c | 154.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.2 | 252 | 58.3%147 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 43c | 145.18$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.75 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf342…1e14backed Over | 39c | 126.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.01 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.39per pick | 50cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Under | 44c | 125$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 288 | 42%121 W · 167 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Under | 15c | 118.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfd…ff86backed Under | 63c | 110.75$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.98 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over | 38c | 104.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x306f…01c7backed Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 54c | 96.73$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.04 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5955…f86ebacked Under | 63c | 92.97$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c7…bea7backed Over | 55c | 90.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 51c | 90$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 56c | 89.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.01 | 295 | 53.6%158 W · 137 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f3…25dfbacked Under | 62c | 80.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +6.5wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x838a…0815backed Over | 37c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 49c | 61.77$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.56 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Under | 54c | 61.63$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 66c | 60.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Under | 62c | 57.5$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 35c | 52.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 416 | 50.7%211 W · 205 L | +15.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 52c | 49.65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 36c | 45.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Under | 32c | 44.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.3 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b91…492ebacked Under | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fae…c000backed Under | 59c | 42.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…2d67backed Over | 70c | 41.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 66c | 40.64$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 234 | 50%117 W · 117 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e8…7042backed Over | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Over | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 337 | 35%118 W · 219 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…5dc1backed Under | 63c | 39.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Over | 38c | 33.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 156 | 51.3%80 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 37c | 29.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 355 | 53%188 W · 167 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 58c | 20.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd6…16abbacked Under | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 308 | 59.4%183 W · 125 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Over | 73c | 14.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oilers vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5this page
- Oilers vs. AvalancheOilers won
- Oilers vs. Avalanche: O/U 4.5Over won
- Oilers vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5Over won
- Oilers vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Oilers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.