South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd156701eb44d0dcee245686961e17013ea37c23c1b3cb8644e4b75610e3319a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CR Flamengoof CR Flamengo, Clube do Remo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,476
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,366
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,476 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed CR Flamengo | 64c | 4,780$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720.01 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Clube do Remo | 36c | 3,142$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.12 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Clube do Remo | 34c | 1,530$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.17 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…b609backed CR Flamengo | 68c | 1,435$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.17 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Clube do Remo | 33c | 531.24$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.65 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Clube do Remo | 32c | 469.24$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.35 | 200 | 22.5%45 W · 155 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed6d…d729backed CR Flamengo | 67c | 444.95$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.95 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked Clube do Remo | 36c | 361.11$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Clube do Remo | 33c | 288.88$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.31 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce72…cbefbacked CR Flamengo | 63c | 285.19$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.18 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -4.4wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Clube do Remo | 36c | 271.92$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.89 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Clube do Remo | 37c | 241.1$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.21 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Clube do Remo | 33c | 149.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.24 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed CR Flamengo | 68c | 147.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.38 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Clube do Remo | 32c | 146.71$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.32 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Clube do Remo | 36c | 132.31$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.63 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Clube do Remo | 41c | 94.52$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf69c…44dbbacked CR Flamengo | 67c | 89.72$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.72 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Clube do Remo | 38c | 84.21$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -7.4wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked CR Flamengo | 64c | 78.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.45 | 132 | 57.6%76 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Clube do Remo | 36c | 70.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Clube do Remo | 36c | 69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Clube do Remo | 32c | 59.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Clube do Remo | 36c | 56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Clube do Remo | 36c | 56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Clube do Remo | 36c | 56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bba…6596backed Clube do Remo | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed Clube do Remo | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Clube do Remo | 34c | 47.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe2…5981backed Clube do Remo | 37c | 45.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed CR Flamengo | 63c | 45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed CR Flamengo | 63c | 39.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x394a…8845backed CR Flamengo | 63c | 31.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f67…64b2backed CR Flamengo | 69c | 20.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfda0…b41bbacked CR Flamengo | 67c | 19.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)this page
- CR Flamengo vs. Clube do Remo: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CR Flamengo vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 1.5Over won
- CR Flamengo vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 2.5Over won
- CR Flamengo vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 3.5Under won
- CR Flamengo vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-2.5)CR Flamengo won
- Spread: Clube do Remo (-1.5)CR Flamengo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.