South American Leagues · resolved market
CR Flamengo vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3dc9c4a94c2b9593438435480317cf088f647e7c6795fea0b9ac1883dc152e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,335
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,335 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 33c | 2,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 60c | 1,444$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.81 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Over | 69c | 1,053$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.58 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 37c | 902.32$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.64 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 67c | 833.32$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.99 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e09…2d11backed Under | 45c | 550$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dfe…4feebacked Over | 55c | 550$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7030…195ebacked Under | 25c | 460$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Under | 35c | 443$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.28 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 58c | 412.6$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.29 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 67c | 373$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.09 | 200 | 22.5%45 W · 155 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94f9…e1b8backed Under | 34c | 270.61$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.57 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 73c | 242.04$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.35 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27d3…0764backed Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 34c | 180$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 58c | 166.69$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.01 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…700bbacked Under | 33c | 129.04$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.52 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 66c | 125$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 65c | 113.07$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.09 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 33c | 107.49$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.68 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed Over | 58c | 104.53$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.9 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 32c | 103.26$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.29 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 58c | 103.2$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.34 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445c…c4f1backed Over | 69c | 101.45$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 68c | 73.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 34c | 73.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…9de8backed Under | 46c | 61.15$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe2…5981backed Over | 65c | 60.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82d9…a600backed Under | 44c | 60.36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Under | 34c | 49.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed Under | 35c | 48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -41%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf9…dde4backed Over | 69c | 44.74$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.93 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 42c | 44.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Over | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 67c | 33.36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…cf12backed Over | 66c | 31.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 42c | 30.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked Under | 35c | 29.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 67c | 27.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 67c | 23.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…bfc1backed Over | 66c | 23.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Over | 57c | 21.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 116 | 64.7%75 W · 41 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 58c | 20.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 60c | 18.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CR Flamengo vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 2.5this page
- CR Flamengo vs. Clube do Remo: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CR Flamengo vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 1.5Over won
- CR Flamengo vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 3.5Under won
- CR Flamengo vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)CR Flamengo won
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-2.5)CR Flamengo won
- Spread: Clube do Remo (-1.5)CR Flamengo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.