South American Leagues · resolved market
CR Flamengo vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x922e807c422a4e7e9ba619b537894bfb398c322b1666a709f47be7515833f16b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,136
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,136 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeac8…7d97backed Under | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 26c | 1,250$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.06 | 200 | 22.5%45 W · 155 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 23c | 936.9$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.71 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 67c | 498.64$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.65 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 74c | 496.76$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.08 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 29c | 348.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked Over | 45c | 335$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.75 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7e…cd92backed Under | 74c | 330$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x471d…0c2abacked Over | 28c | 329.19$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 71c | 278.64$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.8 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7030…195ebacked Over | 37c | 197.3$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 25c | 156.32$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.78 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf715…bbf0backed Over | 26c | 152$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 80 | 21.3%17 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7797…668bbacked Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.4wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 76c | 72.5$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc437…0f42backed Under | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94f9…e1b8backed Under | 75c | 64.07$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Over | 43c | 60.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 25c | 56.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Under | 78c | 51.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 25c | 48.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 72c | 37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafcf…72f6backed Under | 76c | 32.04$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0466…b3a5backed Under | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Under | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 93 | 63.4%59 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CR Flamengo vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 4.5this page
- CR Flamengo vs. Clube do Remo: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CR Flamengo vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 1.5Over won
- CR Flamengo vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 2.5Over won
- CR Flamengo vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)CR Flamengo won
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-2.5)CR Flamengo won
- Spread: Clube do Remo (-1.5)CR Flamengo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.