South American Leagues · resolved market
CR Flamengo vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bac65ce104b1046827dbc2273d579c090fae1cc2e8a24492d5db91d2f23d6fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,411
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,411 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8566…c626backed Over | 45c | 22,440$10,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,098.17 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -5.4wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 11,866$6,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,518.74 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 51c | 7,629$3,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,736.54 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf05c…66b9backed Over | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5886…fe3bbacked Over | 1c | 2,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8735…41bbbacked Over | 1c | 2,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 56c | 1,918$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.29 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 56c | 1,790$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.53 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23ec…759fbacked Over | 1c | 1,300$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 44c | 1,022$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.1 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 34c | 1,002$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.37 | 200 | 22.5%45 W · 155 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Over | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Over | 1c | 1,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +240.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Under | 56c | 963.98$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.45 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 47c | 640.1$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb253…26febacked Under | 60c | 554.68$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.87 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 53c | 547.52$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.98 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 56c | 503.41$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.65 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x562e…922bbacked Over | 45c | 485.36$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.41 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 20c | 439.36$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.11 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdec…7ad6backed Over | 47c | 414.89$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7030…195ebacked Over | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae3…af5dbacked Under | 34c | 331.18$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.82 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 45c | 327.17$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.73 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7797…668bbacked Over | 80c | 315.08$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.06 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.4wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 57c | 310.99$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.04 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb813…f0efbacked Under | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 56c | 279.9$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.15 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Under | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed Under | 54c | 247.04$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.64 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74bb…1759backed Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed Under | 55c | 221.62$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.73 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 49c | 203.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.86 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 44c | 173.32$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.26 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 44c | 165.22$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.64 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 44c | 161.73$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.35 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f9…e1b8backed Under | 56c | 134.18$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.46 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 58c | 131.53$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.39 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf6…cf2abacked Over | 75c | 128$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Over | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 44c | 125$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 55c | 101.69$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.82 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…c0efbacked Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 56c | 80.49$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.42 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Under | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…c413backed Over | 45c | 67.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70fb…d507backed Under | 55c | 65.5$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +4.9wins | +0.37per pick | 55cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 69c | 65.24$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.31 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 44c | 64.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…a1d3backed Under | 62c | 63.35$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.07 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 44c | 62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 59c | 56.02$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 116 | 64.7%75 W · 41 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2206…ae92backed Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f8…4d2abacked Under | 73c | 47.95$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Under | 80c | 45.5$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 56c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Under | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…1a89backed Over | 46c | 39.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 51c | 37.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x087f…2ebfbacked Under | 55c | 36.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Under | 56c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Under | 56c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Under | 56c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 39c | 34.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…33febacked Over | 45c | 31.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 47c | 29.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…e187backed Over | 47c | 29.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 44c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b9…9613backed Under | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…bfc1backed Over | 44c | 24.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde66…be48backed Under | 55c | 24.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 51c | 22.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe822…f89fbacked Under | 57c | 19.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Under | 55c | 18.69$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 70c | 16.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa21f…adddbacked Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CR Flamengo vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 3.5this page
- CR Flamengo vs. Clube do Remo: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CR Flamengo vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 1.5Over won
- CR Flamengo vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 2.5Over won
- CR Flamengo vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)CR Flamengo won
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-2.5)CR Flamengo won
- Spread: Clube do Remo (-1.5)CR Flamengo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.