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South American Leagues · resolved market

Spread: CR Flamengo (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
CR Flamengoof CR Flamengo, Clube do Remo
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$96,550

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,550 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed CR Flamengo43c88,387$38,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,230.229446.6%137 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Clube do Remo57c18,129$10,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,257.028,11248.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L+27.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Clube do Remo56c9,624$5,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,389.583151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed Clube do Remo58c8,641$5,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,011.783167.7%21 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+19.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x29cc…3c29backed Clube do Remo56c7,164$4,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,011.84933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-37.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Clube do Remo56c4,639$2,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,597.842450%12 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Clube do Remo56c3,749$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.6239853%211 W · 187 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Clube do Remo56c3,573$2,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0011560%9 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Clube do Remo57c3,509$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0005850%29 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Clube do Remo58c3,500$2,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0305259.6%31 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Clube do Remo58c2,500$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4503652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Clube do Remo57c1,836$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,046.526055%33 W · 27 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Clube do Remo57c1,754$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007556%42 W · 33 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Clube do Remo57c1,750$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.516647%78 W · 88 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Clube do Remo57c1,546$877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$877.4745253.1%240 W · 212 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Clube do Remo58c1,500$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87011459.6%68 W · 46 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a39…a189backed Clube do Remo58c1,500$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8702245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Clube do Remo56c1,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56013134.4%45 W · 86 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Clube do Remo56c841.16$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.053754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Clube do Remo55c699.98$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.994953.1%26 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked CR Flamengo73c597.56$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.165,76245.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L+94.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd64b…873cbacked Clube do Remo55c528.98$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.94944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad15…ee7fbacked Clube do Remo56c522.8$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.77366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked CR Flamengo46c502.87$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.8739127.1%106 W · 285 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed Clube do Remo58c500$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2904656.5%26 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Clube do Remo58c500$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2904153.7%22 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Clube do Remo56c446.43$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4440…f8fdbacked Clube do Remo58c310.34$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1802152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Clube do Remo54c275.87$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.9730754.7%168 W · 139 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd499…7d5bbacked Clube do Remo56c267.86$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-30.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Clube do Remo57c252.95$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.0720953.1%111 W · 98 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Clube do Remo58c250$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14519460.3%117 W · 77 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Clube do Remo56c250$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Clube do Remo58c250$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14512761.4%78 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Clube do Remo56c244.35$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.833360.6%20 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Clube do Remo47c216.75$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.992,17343.6%948 W · 1,225 L-55.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Clube do Remo58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1163951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Clube do Remo58c180$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.5655155%303 W · 248 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1650…42f6backed Clube do Remo57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005026%13 W · 37 L-7.4wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-36.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Clube do Remo58c175$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.55160.8%31 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Clube do Remo58c175$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.57856.4%44 W · 34 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Clube do Remo58c166.72$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.73259.4%19 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Clube do Remo57c155.59$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.1435758%207 W · 150 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Clube do Remo58c150$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Clube do Remo58c150$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$877153.5%38 W · 33 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Clube do Remo58c150$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872850%14 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Clube do Remo57c143.87$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.327554.7%41 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Clube do Remo58c140$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.26558.5%38 W · 27 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Clube do Remo58c138.57$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.71,65550.6%838 W · 817 L-4.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Clube do Remo58c133.5$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.4323542.1%99 W · 136 L-13.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Clube do Remo58c125$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.54654.3%25 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Clube do Remo58c125$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.517960.3%108 W · 71 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Clube do Remo58c125$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.56962.3%43 W · 26 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Clube do Remo56c125$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.61,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Clube do Remo56c120.93$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.382,61454.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L+25.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Clube do Remo58c120$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.63348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Clube do Remo58c120$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.67055.7%39 W · 31 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Clube do Remo58c120$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.613557%77 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1b4…c865backed CR Flamengo44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.641020%2 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-56.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf57a…bd53backed CR Flamengo45c110.87$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.981952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Clube do Remo56c106.95$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8927053%143 W · 127 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Clube do Remo58c103.44$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607745.5%35 W · 42 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1db9…a43bbacked Clube do Remo57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick62cpaid+41.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Clube do Remo58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585250%26 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Clube do Remo58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586453.1%34 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Clube do Remo58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583948.7%19 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Clube do Remo58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585151%26 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Clube do Remo58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585350.9%27 W · 26 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Clube do Remo58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585556.4%31 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Clube do Remo58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584050%20 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Clube do Remo58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586162.3%38 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Clube do Remo58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585453.7%29 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Clube do Remo58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587058.6%41 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Clube do Remo58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584353.5%23 W · 20 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Clube do Remo58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d39…a4fbbacked Clube do Remo54c95$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.37128.2%20 W · 51 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf69c…44dbbacked CR Flamengo45c91.92$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.922850%14 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Clube do Remo60c90.04$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.6111664.7%75 W · 41 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Clube do Remo58c90$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.22748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Clube do Remo56c89.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505554.5%30 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed Clube do Remo58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508263.4%52 W · 30 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Clube do Remo58c75$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.53050%15 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Clube do Remo58c75$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.52853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Clube do Remo58c75$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.52951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe44b…6e0abacked CR Flamengo44c70$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.25949.2%29 W · 30 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Clube do Remo58c70$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.68045%36 W · 44 L-7.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-23.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Clube do Remo58c70$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.65151%26 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf46…5f8bbacked Clube do Remo58c68.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe013…1ddcbacked Clube do Remo58c62.5$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.254252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked Clube do Remo58c62.39$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.193351.5%17 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Clube do Remo58c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.82857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked CR Flamengo37c58$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.5410750.5%54 W · 53 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Clube do Remo58c55$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.93151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked Clube do Remo58c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Clube do Remo58c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Clube do Remo58c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292646.2%12 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Clube do Remo58c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294052.5%21 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Clube do Remo58c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297742.9%33 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-25%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Clube do Remo58c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed Clube do Remo58c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296656.1%37 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.