MLB · resolved market
Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c019e00060279ba88298c1e11319216fcb5b790f2534324b95b2e74bd4683e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pittsburgh Piratesof Cincinnati Reds, Pittsburgh Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $137,261
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $141,551
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,261 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 45,000$20,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,250 | 552 | 53.1%293 W · 259 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 36,952$20,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,541.82 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 13,554$7,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,234.81 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 8,902$4,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,085.06 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 6,905$3,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,095.11 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 6,522$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 6,421$2,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,889.48 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 5,382$2,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,448.62 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 4,818$2,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,044.85 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 4,091$1,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840.74 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 4,078$2,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,851.84 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 74c | 3,211$2,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.36 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 771 | 53.8%415 W · 356 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…91e7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 2,206$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 73c | 2,074$1,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.04 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 2,040$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.53 | 277 | 53.1%147 W · 130 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfd…a4bbbacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 1,666$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.7 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 1,634$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.82 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…96cbbacked Cincinnati Reds | 27c | 1,562$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.93 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Cincinnati Reds | 29c | 1,552$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.78 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 1,507$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.06 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.99 | 454 | 51.3%233 W · 221 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cincinnati Reds | 4c | 1,440$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.17 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Cincinnati Reds | 6c | 1,327$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.64 | 1,194 | 29%346 W · 848 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa475…bfe7backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 1,214$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.1 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.98 | 624 | 47.6%297 W · 327 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 1,146$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.7 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 1,085$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.45 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 999.99$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Cincinnati Reds | 31c | 967.9$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 198 | 39.4%78 W · 120 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cincinnati Reds | 14c | 880$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.6 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 801.81$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.83 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 736$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.2 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +7.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ed…673ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 676.09$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a2…6fc8backed Cincinnati Reds | 28c | 659.01$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.42 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Cincinnati Reds | 23c | 646.62$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.66 | 1,153 | 42.8%494 W · 659 L | -37.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 636.36$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.36 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 66c | 610.39$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.39 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 539.99$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e9…ee46backed Cincinnati Reds | 18c | 536.36$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.28 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 79c | 530$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.82 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 460$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 449.99$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.99 | 354 | 49.2%174 W · 180 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Cincinnati Reds | 27c | 447.05$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.6 | 396 | 40.9%162 W · 234 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 432.98$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.84 | 406 | 45.1%183 W · 223 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62bc…461ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 65c | 422.54$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.89 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 418.2$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.19 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 390.78$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.95 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 79c | 390.32$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.33 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 70c | 375.32$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x852f…3aaebacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 334$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.64 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 68c | 306.45$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.9 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Cincinnati Reds | 32c | 299.85$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.93 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3464…8112backed Cincinnati Reds | 10c | 288.85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 285.82$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.94 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 281.49$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.49 | 260 | 49.6%129 W · 131 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 270$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.2 | 415 | 49.2%204 W · 211 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Cincinnati Reds | 10c | 262.64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9982…8b06backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 253.08$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.89 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Cincinnati Reds | 25c | 250$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 79c | 231.45$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.45 | 371 | 43.9%163 W · 208 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 7c | 230.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 709 | 50.1%355 W · 354 L | +24.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 230$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 228.96$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.03 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Cincinnati Reds | 11c | 213.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 2,044 | 39.5%808 W · 1,236 L | -24.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 6c | 211.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 263 | 15.6%41 W · 222 L | -11.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1332…2b23backed Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 201.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 114 | 31.6%36 W · 78 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 17c | 201.07$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.78 | 1,728 | 50.4%871 W · 857 L | +57.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 354 | 46%163 W · 191 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,418 | 43.4%616 W · 802 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 199.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8de…a2b8backed Cincinnati Reds | 6c | 181.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 62c | 179.99$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.5 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc1…57a1backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 172$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.4 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 171.47$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.54 | 1,737 | 49.1%852 W · 885 L | +7.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 165.23$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.79 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…d002backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 160$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 381 | 45.4%173 W · 208 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 158.18$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.18 | 222 | 48.6%108 W · 114 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Cincinnati Reds | 26c | 156.92$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.02 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…adaebacked Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 154.35$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 592 | 43.2%256 W · 336 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 152.56$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.98 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea0…865dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 149.09$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.09 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 142.48$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.69 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 140$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 404 | 46.5%188 W · 216 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e13…c506backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 135.6$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.66 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeae1…aad2backed Cincinnati Reds | 12c | 131.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d00…7507backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 120.52$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.44 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 115.56$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 110.39$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 361 | 57.9%209 W · 152 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef65…f32fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 901 | 45.6%411 W · 490 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 65c | 103.96$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.13 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Cincinnati Reds | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972a…aee7backed Cincinnati Reds | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…6a1bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 363 | 45.7%166 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,293 | 43.5%562 W · 731 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.05 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 99.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Piratesthis page
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh PiratesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.