La Liga · resolved market
Deportivo Alavés vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bd5728c2817d38696bc4484f2c666e42de77ce440d089800ba38425734979df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,864
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,666
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,864 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1ba1…1ce4backed Under | 53c | 17,655$9,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,346.27 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 7,003$3,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,887.58 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd51…1041backed Over | 46c | 5,370$2,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,899.57 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +6.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 44c | 4,545$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,545.17 | 200 | 54%108 W · 92 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 46c | 3,360$1,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,812.53 | 564 | 39.2%221 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 53c | 2,252$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 46c | 2,195$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.05 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Over | 48c | 1,979$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.93 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 45c | 1,882$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.17 | 828 | 44.8%371 W · 457 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 47c | 1,636$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.81 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +17.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed Over | 47c | 1,592$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.76 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 47c | 1,538$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.95 | 680 | 50.4%343 W · 337 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 1,496$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.9 | 1,169 | 51.8%606 W · 563 L | +18.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 46c | 1,178$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.57 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 47c | 1,172$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.9 | 1,497 | 38.6%578 W · 919 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 53c | 1,102$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.29 | 200 | 43%86 W · 114 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 47c | 1,037$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.01 | 2,339 | 48.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked Under | 52c | 939.71$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489 | 95 | 66.3%63 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Over | 45c | 800.7$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.39 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Under | 54c | 737.29$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.68 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Under | 42c | 526$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 56c | 519.86$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.8 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Over | 41c | 504.97$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.39 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Over | 59c | 440.37$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.2 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebfd…cba6backed Over | 45c | 440$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 61c | 436.1$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.48 | 332 | 44%146 W · 186 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 46c | 435.1$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.95 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 47c | 431.94$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.93 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcd…36dfbacked Over | 51c | 430.16$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.21 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 46c | 309.63$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.2 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 47c | 304.3$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.78 | 607 | 32.5%197 W · 410 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 47c | 297.83$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.85 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 54c | 275.81$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.94 | 174 | 47.1%82 W · 92 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 46c | 267.32$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.73 | 637 | 57.1%364 W · 273 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 65c | 219$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.75 | 150 | 36.7%55 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 48c | 187.58$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.24 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 42c | 182.61$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.48 | 281 | 38.8%109 W · 172 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2102…087dbacked Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 40c | 174.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.81 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 47c | 149.96$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.48 | 224 | 48.2%108 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 47c | 139.98$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.03 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f39…28dabacked Under | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 56c | 125.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.12 | 393 | 38.9%153 W · 240 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed Over | 45c | 120$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 66c | 118.75$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.13 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Over | 54c | 106.02$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.12 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…79bdbacked Under | 52c | 105.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 693 | 50.9%353 W · 340 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 750 | 51.3%385 W · 365 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fa…cdb2backed Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…cf85backed Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9522…7af0backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 56c | 99.98$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Under | 15c | 97.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 54c | 96.16$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.41 | 226 | 58.4%132 W · 94 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 47c | 95.06$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.38 | 1,651 | 43.9%724 W · 927 L | -21.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 55c | 94.68$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.47 | 198 | 65.2%129 W · 69 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed Over | 47c | 91.84$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.68 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Over | 44c | 85.86$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.08 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 52c | 72.54$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.72 | 198 | 40.4%80 W · 118 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Over | 45c | 71.43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b53…95c4backed Over | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 54c | 64.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.35 | 452 | 50.2%227 W · 225 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 49c | 62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +9.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 57c | 57.61$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.94 | 458 | 41%188 W · 270 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 55c | 55.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 1,559 | 51.6%804 W · 755 L | -9.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2d…d35bbacked Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Over | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 48c | 47.53$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 58c | 44.55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 223 | 57%127 W · 96 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 56c | 44.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 288 | 47.6%137 W · 151 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed Over | 39c | 43.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.59 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…92b5backed Under | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d1…82b1backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf17a…e44dbacked Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 45c | 37.78$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.78 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 53c | 36.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 434 | 39.6%172 W · 262 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 56c | 34.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Over | 48c | 31.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.63 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 57c | 30.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 136 | 48.5%66 W · 70 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2912…6817backed Over | 49c | 28.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 54c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 261 | 54.4%142 W · 119 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ab…e7b6backed Under | 53c | 26.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d1…cde6backed Under | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Over | 56c | 26.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x443f…4539backed Over | 48c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked Over | 48c | 22.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | -11.0wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x650b…683fbacked Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab35…118dbacked Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 215 | 46%99 W · 116 L | -14.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Under | 54c | 19.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 34 | 5.9%2 W · 32 L | -8.0wins | -0.24per pick | 29cpaid | -89.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x18d2…e9c3backed Under | 56c | 18.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5this page
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 0.5Over won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5Over won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5Under won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 4.5Under won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-1.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
- Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-2.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
- Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)Deportivo Alavés won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.