La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe6234d15711dd5275ddba71eec0c79825f2f069626ad9a27221aedff1d5ec60
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rayo Vallecano de Madridof Deportivo Alavés, Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,886
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,570
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,886 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Deportivo Alavés | 19c | 1,490$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.45 | 571 | 39.2%224 W · 347 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Deportivo Alavés | 19c | 1,111$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.27 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 77c | 307.91$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.32 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Deportivo Alavés | 21c | 195.31$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 481 | 53.6%258 W · 223 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Deportivo Alavés | 18c | 165.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.71 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Deportivo Alavés | 18c | 147.76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Deportivo Alavés | 17c | 132.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 281 | 38.8%109 W · 172 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…36a2backed Deportivo Alavés | 20c | 127.31$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Deportivo Alavés | 18c | 126.21$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 80c | 107$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 79c | 68.52$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Deportivo Alavés | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 68c | 54.59$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 335 | 44.2%148 W · 187 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea47…d64bbacked Deportivo Alavés | 37c | 39.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Deportivo Alavés | 34c | 34.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 402 | 39.1%157 W · 245 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 79c | 30.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 331 | 61.3%203 W · 128 L | +12.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 80c | 29.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 226 | 58.4%132 W · 94 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 215 | 46%99 W · 116 L | -14.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 79c | 15.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7983…c138backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 66c | 15.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 72cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 80c | 13.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.63 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-1.5)this page
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 0.5Over won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5Over won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5Over won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5Under won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 4.5Under won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-2.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
- Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)Deportivo Alavés won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.