La Liga · resolved market
Deportivo Alavés vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f355d54cafa054611d0c32589e54b46befc415c42768b2d57629b0c7b300e97
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,971
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,210
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,971 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 30c | 1,384$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.47 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 16c | 1,015$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 120 | 20%24 W · 96 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 25c | 523.61$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.47 | 988 | 33.4%330 W · 658 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab4d…3f0bbacked Over | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over | 71c | 434.99$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.2 | 196 | 62.8%123 W · 73 L | +20.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 28c | 300.17$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.87 | 1,497 | 38.6%578 W · 919 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a35…2580backed Over | 79c | 290.95$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 71c | 258.35$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.92 | 2,339 | 48.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 27c | 235$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.09 | 332 | 44%146 W · 186 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 36c | 233.99$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.43 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 29c | 227.59$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 13c | 211.13$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.51 | 393 | 38.9%153 W · 240 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 71c | 209.67$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.61 | 680 | 50.4%343 W · 337 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 70c | 199.97$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.12 | 564 | 39.2%221 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 67c | 153$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.59 | 281 | 38.8%109 W · 172 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Under | 10c | 145.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 11c | 140.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +17.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 28c | 140.28$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.28 | 693 | 50.9%353 W · 340 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Over | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff1…c554backed Over | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb34d…e1bdbacked Over | 66c | 90$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Over | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 69c | 56$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 175 | 62.9%110 W · 65 L | +32.1wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 67c | 50.34$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Over | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under | 26c | 44.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x938c…8df4backed Over | 76c | 44.74$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 32c | 39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 215 | 46%99 W · 116 L | -14.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14f2…2cb0backed Under | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6046…afc3backed Over | 71c | 29.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 74c | 25.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…4658backed Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaafd…a1a9backed Over | 71c | 24.03$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…a572backed Over | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 64 | 75%48 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 72c | 16.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.69 | 637 | 57.1%364 W · 273 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 180 | 62.2%112 W · 68 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5this page
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 0.5Over won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5Over won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5Under won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 4.5Under won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-1.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
- Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-2.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
- Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)Deportivo Alavés won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.