La Liga · resolved market
Deportivo Alavés vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1a3f8f5bec14fbd9cf233f77e1ddacbd50154d460cfa0bc763c75b6056a9a99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,347
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,217
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,347 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x45b5…2d74backed Yes | 51c | 3,850$1,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,903.04 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 49c | 2,003$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.57 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 50c | 1,321$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.89 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 53c | 1,158$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.85 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 46c | 1,155$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.63 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a6…cfefbacked No | 47c | 835.77$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.81 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked No | 48c | 738.85$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.65 | 178 | 59.6%106 W · 72 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 35c | 567.56$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.81 | 335 | 44.2%148 W · 187 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 53c | 541.18$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.36 | 417 | 51.8%216 W · 201 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 57c | 323.39$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.95 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 71c | 323.36$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.77 | 196 | 62.8%123 W · 73 L | +20.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x28ff…d56cbacked Yes | 53c | 273.58$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.58 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 47c | 268.09$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 48c | 246.9$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.51 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked No | 29c | 229.38$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.12 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57df…daa9backed No | 49c | 223.29$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x690d…70adbacked No | 50c | 197.38$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa5…7621backed No | 13c | 126.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 45c | 118.49$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.7 | 481 | 53.6%258 W · 223 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed No | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed No | 46c | 107.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 10c | 105$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 163 | 48.5%79 W · 84 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed90…d1ffbacked No | 50c | 100.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecc6…a1c4backed Yes | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed No | 48c | 85$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 86 | 72.1%62 W · 24 L | +9.6wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a21…50d3backed Yes | 66c | 75.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 52c | 70.55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.86 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Yes | 55c | 68.38$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.77 | 156 | 55.8%87 W · 69 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Yes | 55c | 59.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 51c | 57.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.93 | 402 | 39.1%157 W · 245 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…f166backed Yes | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 53c | 52.08$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 224 | 48.2%108 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd83c…6b83backed Yes | 53c | 50.94$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8770…43b0backed Yes | 50c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +300%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 46c | 45.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 54c | 38.89$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +9.5wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 53c | 36.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed No | 45c | 35.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf9…dbb9backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 57c | 29.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 38c | 29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 281 | 38.8%109 W · 172 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcca0…3738backed Yes | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 54c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba53…3b91backed Yes | 62c | 24.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x693c…a7edbacked Yes | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed No | 47c | 21.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee5f…5468backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.34per pick | 44cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 80c | 18.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 68 | 79.4%54 W · 14 L | +14.7wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +44%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 0.5Over won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5Over won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5Over won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5Under won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 4.5Under won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-1.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
- Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-2.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
- Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)Deportivo Alavés won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.