Premier League · resolved market
Newcastle United FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2621ca3773346aa3b58a86276d631ffcffb0cc5fd7aab6e901110c1ed7b4574
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,009
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,791
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,009 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 26c | 7,641$1,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,992.13 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a75…dc9abacked Over | 70c | 3,923$2,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 78c | 2,588$2,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.36 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cca…2e23backed Under | 31c | 645.48$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…d35fbacked Over | 78c | 384.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.62 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 22c | 375.68$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.75 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 69c | 250.25$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.58 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 74c | 220.79$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.33 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa4…ea76backed Over | 76c | 215$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 78cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd35…17debacked Over | 79c | 194.9$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.93 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 21c | 194.9$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.93 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 10c | 146.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 72c | 137.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.27 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e7b…9716backed Over | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed Over | 78c | 130$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Under | 21c | 99.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 208 | 19.2%40 W · 168 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61d8…30d9backed Over | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 79c | 51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…760ebacked Over | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…8f5ebacked Over | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…a082backed Over | 73c | 31.51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Over | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 241 | 46.1%111 W · 130 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d1…5557backed Over | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Over | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 78c | 22.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 365 | 54.5%199 W · 166 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61c3…466cbacked Over | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…a572backed Over | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Newcastle United FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Newcastle United FC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Everton FC (-1.5)Newcastle United FC won
- Spread: Everton FC (-2.5)Newcastle United FC won
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)Everton FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.