Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b4f6fd3a5c2deee85f8ed38eaf703c6a72705778586ccfbe403800255f43f73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Everton FCof Newcastle United FC, Everton FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,670
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,785
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,670 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Everton FC | 70c | 49,831$34,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,898.47 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Newcastle United FC | 30c | 33,412$10,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,023.54 | 192 | 53.1%102 W · 90 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Newcastle United FC | 30c | 12,222$3,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,666.59 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Newcastle United FC | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +11.0wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Everton FC | 70c | 2,758$1,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.4 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Newcastle United FC | 30c | 1,252$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.6 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Everton FC | 69c | 1,144$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.98 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Newcastle United FC | 30c | 1,021$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.28 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Newcastle United FC | 22c | 639$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.88 | 160 | 24.4%39 W · 121 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Newcastle United FC | 32c | 468.75$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 354 | 28.5%101 W · 253 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Everton FC | 70c | 377.78$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.33 | 232 | 50.9%118 W · 114 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Newcastle United FC | 30c | 298.34$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.5 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Everton FC | 70c | 271.24$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.16 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6e…e9e3backed Newcastle United FC | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Everton FC | 68c | 156.25$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3247…eb6ebacked Newcastle United FC | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Newcastle United FC | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 232 | 20.7%48 W · 184 L | -12.5wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Everton FC | 71c | 99.67$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 426 | 58%247 W · 179 L | +24.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Everton FC | 70c | 90.32$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.93 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x571e…67b2backed Newcastle United FC | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 117 | 36.8%43 W · 74 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x385e…3896backed Newcastle United FC | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Everton FC | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a0…da0dbacked Newcastle United FC | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Newcastle United FC | 26c | 62.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Everton FC | 69c | 54.84$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 232 | 58.2%135 W · 97 L | +13.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Newcastle United FC | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 137 | 27.7%38 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Everton FC | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 207 | 63.8%132 W · 75 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x058a…ed5cbacked Newcastle United FC | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3323…f667backed Newcastle United FC | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Everton FC | 77c | 39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…45e9backed Everton FC | 71c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -6.0wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Newcastle United FC | 31c | 33.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Everton FC | 70c | 21.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)this page
- Newcastle United FC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Everton FC (-1.5)Newcastle United FC won
- Spread: Everton FC (-2.5)Newcastle United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.