MLB · resolved market
Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e3018cd88b652a5908b1e8c998a0b752a4889673bec4a3fa8be314147ca77ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toronto Blue Jaysof Toronto Blue Jays, San Francisco Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $561,232
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $572,276
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $561,232 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 382 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 139,884$78,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,614.44 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed San Francisco Giants | 44c | 100,000$44,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,000 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 90,387$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,387 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 72,029$38,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,374.03 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked San Francisco Giants | 41c | 37,628$15,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,297.48 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed San Francisco Giants | 45c | 22,380$10,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,027.1 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 19,107$8,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,789.28 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 16,979$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed San Francisco Giants | 45c | 16,287$7,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,345.37 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed San Francisco Giants | 45c | 15,980$7,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,191.15 | 285 | 53.3%152 W · 133 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 15,000$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,199.98 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed San Francisco Giants | 4c | 14,745$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.81 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed San Francisco Giants | 45c | 12,813$5,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,765.82 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed San Francisco Giants | 45c | 11,035$4,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,965.74 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa16…84aebacked San Francisco Giants | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked San Francisco Giants | 46c | 9,650$4,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,422.85 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked San Francisco Giants | 44c | 9,643$4,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,218.4 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 8,994$4,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,227.25 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 8,842$4,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,978.74 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 7,088$3,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,332.94 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 6,971$3,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,206.45 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed San Francisco Giants | 45c | 6,925$3,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,127.23 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked San Francisco Giants | 0c | 6,900$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…4b92backed San Francisco Giants | 7c | 5,890$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.17 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked San Francisco Giants | 44c | 5,772$2,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,539.68 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed San Francisco Giants | 38c | 5,453$2,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,097.25 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 5,281$2,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,402.81 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed San Francisco Giants | 44c | 5,274$2,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,320.55 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed San Francisco Giants | 44c | 4,545$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed San Francisco Giants | 41c | 4,500$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked San Francisco Giants | 29c | 4,407$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.17 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 4,323$2,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,751.45 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafac…8730backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 4,217$1,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked San Francisco Giants | 48c | 4,197$2,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,014.56 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x725d…095abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked San Francisco Giants | 46c | 3,884$1,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,782.86 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 3,598$1,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,665.67 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 3,500$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Toronto Blue Jays | 70c | 3,394$2,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.62 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…ed2bbacked San Francisco Giants | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed San Francisco Giants | 9c | 3,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…e27cbacked San Francisco Giants | 0c | 2,792$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed San Francisco Giants | 28c | 2,750$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.43 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e3…7134backed San Francisco Giants | 1c | 2,704$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddc…03c3backed San Francisco Giants | 44c | 2,619$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.26 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 2,580$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,211.2 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked San Francisco Giants | 46c | 2,553$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.47 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed San Francisco Giants | 45c | 2,492$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.81 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…fb2ebacked San Francisco Giants | 46c | 2,448$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.14 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked San Francisco Giants | 46c | 2,423$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.68 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked San Francisco Giants | 45c | 2,257$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.76 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b4…14c0backed San Francisco Giants | 1c | 2,237$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 2,231$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.79 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 2,214$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.94 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 2,048$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 2,016$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.85 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed San Francisco Giants | 1c | 1,854$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 1,776$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.2 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed San Francisco Giants | 6c | 1,750$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked San Francisco Giants | 51c | 1,726$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.25 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eed…a683backed San Francisco Giants | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 1,560$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.5 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b63…bdd3backed San Francisco Giants | 8c | 1,465$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed San Francisco Giants | 19c | 1,440$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.71 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd794…248bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 1,263$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.47 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed San Francisco Giants | 45c | 1,250$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.5 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 1,202$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.83 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 1,200$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.99 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…3323backed San Francisco Giants | 3c | 1,092$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -38%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 1,038$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.36 | 211 | 46.4%98 W · 113 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked San Francisco Giants | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed San Francisco Giants | 30c | 999.6$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.52 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked San Francisco Giants | 36c | 972.22$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed San Francisco Giants | 4c | 860.7$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.21 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbe…1f4abacked San Francisco Giants | 46c | 818.74$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.62 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked San Francisco Giants | 43c | 817.22$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.57 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 800$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 790.04$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.33 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed San Francisco Giants | 44c | 771.15$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.3 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Toronto Blue Jays | 67c | 705.12$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.69 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 650.25$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.03 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed San Francisco Giants | 44c | 611.5$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.06 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed San Francisco Giants | 44c | 603$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.32 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…f59bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed San Francisco Giants | 5c | 599.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 37 | 2.7%1 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -82%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed San Francisco Giants | 3c | 589.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff7…2e67backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…5d44backed San Francisco Giants | 8c | 561.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 545.22$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.9 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 531$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.57 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…27d8backed San Francisco Giants | 3c | 509.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.55 | 267 | 47.9%128 W · 139 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked San Francisco Giants | 44c | 446.97$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.9 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe055…3157backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 434.75$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked San Francisco Giants | 44c | 426.14$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70e9…836abacked San Francisco Giants | 6c | 421$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 213 | 23.5%50 W · 163 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giantsthis page
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-4.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-5.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 10.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 11.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 12.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 6.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco GiantsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.