TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Toronto Blue Jaysof Toronto Blue Jays, San Francisco Giants
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$561,232
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$572,276

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $561,232 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 382 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Toronto Blue Jays56c139,884$78,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61,614.441,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed San Francisco Giants44c100,000$44,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,00085645.3%388 W · 468 L+18.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Toronto Blue Jays55c90,387$50,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,38716548.5%80 W · 85 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Toronto Blue Jays54c72,029$38,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,374.0377053.9%415 W · 355 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked San Francisco Giants41c37,628$15,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,297.482,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed San Francisco Giants45c22,380$10,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,027.13,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed San Francisco Giants46c19,107$8,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,789.2898149.9%490 W · 491 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed San Francisco Giants46c16,979$7,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,7771,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed San Francisco Giants45c16,287$7,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,345.375,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b12…5ee4backed San Francisco Giants45c15,980$7,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,191.1528553.3%152 W · 133 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed San Francisco Giants48c15,000$7,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,199.9848952.8%258 W · 231 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed San Francisco Giants4c14,745$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.8110,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed San Francisco Giants45c12,813$5,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,765.8218248.4%88 W · 94 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed San Francisco Giants45c11,035$4,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,965.747651.3%39 W · 37 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa16…84aebacked San Francisco Giants44c10,000$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,400333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked San Francisco Giants46c9,650$4,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,422.856844.1%30 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked San Francisco Giants44c9,643$4,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,218.411,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Toronto Blue Jays53c8,994$4,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,227.2598149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa77…15a5backed Toronto Blue Jays55c8,842$4,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,978.7423255.6%129 W · 103 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Toronto Blue Jays53c7,088$3,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,332.944,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Toronto Blue Jays54c6,971$3,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,206.451850%9 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed San Francisco Giants45c6,925$3,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,127.234,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked San Francisco Giants0c6,900$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.38762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e2…4b92backed San Francisco Giants7c5,890$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.1712244.3%54 W · 68 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb5…d57abacked San Francisco Giants44c5,772$2,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,539.6821644.9%97 W · 119 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed San Francisco Giants38c5,453$2,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,097.2579442.4%337 W · 457 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed San Francisco Giants46c5,281$2,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,402.816,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed San Francisco Giants44c5,274$2,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,320.5577647.4%368 W · 408 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed San Francisco Giants44c4,545$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00049158.9%289 W · 202 L+30.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed San Francisco Giants41c4,500$1,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,86024639%96 W · 150 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked San Francisco Giants29c4,407$1,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.178,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Toronto Blue Jays59c4,323$2,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,751.451,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xafac…8730backed San Francisco Giants46c4,217$1,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9406152.5%32 W · 29 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x41b4…10dabacked San Francisco Giants48c4,197$2,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,014.5619950.3%100 W · 99 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x725d…095abacked Toronto Blue Jays54c4,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,840633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-37.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked San Francisco Giants46c3,884$1,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,782.862,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed San Francisco Giants46c3,598$1,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,665.672,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Toronto Blue Jays54c3,500$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,61014938.3%57 W · 92 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Toronto Blue Jays70c3,394$2,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,006.6260043.3%260 W · 340 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4afb…ed2bbacked San Francisco Giants45c3,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,350.0120%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed San Francisco Giants9c3,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27054048.3%261 W · 279 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d19…e27cbacked San Francisco Giants0c2,792$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed San Francisco Giants28c2,750$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.434,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4e3…7134backed San Francisco Giants1c2,704$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ddc…03c3backed San Francisco Giants44c2,619$1,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,152.261338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Toronto Blue Jays53c2,580$1,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,211.21,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked San Francisco Giants46c2,553$1,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,174.4748147%226 W · 255 L-31.8wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed San Francisco Giants45c2,492$1,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,125.811,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0467…fb2ebacked San Francisco Giants46c2,448$1,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,126.146747.8%32 W · 35 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked San Francisco Giants46c2,423$1,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,105.682,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked San Francisco Giants45c2,257$1,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,015.7620648.1%99 W · 107 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54b4…14c0backed San Francisco Giants1c2,237$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-42.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Toronto Blue Jays53c2,231$1,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,048.7921242%89 W · 123 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc323…0171backed Toronto Blue Jays56c2,214$1,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.9419453.6%104 W · 90 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed San Francisco Giants48c2,048$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9839848%47 W · 51 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed San Francisco Giants47c2,016$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954.8551545.2%233 W · 282 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed San Francisco Giants1c1,854$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.645852.1%12 W · 573 L-1.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid-45.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Toronto Blue Jays55c1,776$977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.255653.4%297 W · 259 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed San Francisco Giants6c1,750$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10513225%33 W · 99 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked San Francisco Giants51c1,726$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880.2534151.6%176 W · 165 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9eed…a683backed San Francisco Giants6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed San Francisco Giants47c1,560$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.51,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b63…bdd3backed San Francisco Giants8c1,465$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117458.9%4 W · 41 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick13cpaid-62.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed San Francisco Giants19c1,440$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.718,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd794…248bbacked Toronto Blue Jays55c1,263$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.47560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed San Francisco Giants45c1,250$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.515942.1%67 W · 92 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x992b…5053backed Toronto Blue Jays54c1,202$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.8322753.3%121 W · 106 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed San Francisco Giants47c1,200$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56461947.7%295 W · 324 L-1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Toronto Blue Jays55c1,200$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.9923758.6%139 W · 98 L+16.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6082…3323backed San Francisco Giants3c1,092$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303732.4%12 W · 25 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-38%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Toronto Blue Jays53c1,038$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.3621146.4%98 W · 113 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked San Francisco Giants44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44016848.2%81 W · 87 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed San Francisco Giants30c999.6$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.521,79643.8%786 W · 1,010 L-33.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked San Francisco Giants36c972.22$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3503528.6%10 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-37.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed San Francisco Giants4c860.7$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.212,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbbe…1f4abacked San Francisco Giants46c818.74$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.627753.2%41 W · 36 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked San Francisco Giants43c817.22$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.571,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked Toronto Blue Jays53c800$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37614050.7%71 W · 69 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed San Francisco Giants48c790.04$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.3329449.7%146 W · 148 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed San Francisco Giants44c771.15$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.36,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9a8c…ba13backed Toronto Blue Jays67c705.12$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.6915851.9%82 W · 76 L-12.5wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-10.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed San Francisco Giants46c650.25$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.031,37950.6%698 W · 681 L-2.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed San Francisco Giants44c611.5$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.062,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed San Francisco Giants44c603$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.3222448.7%109 W · 115 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d4…f59bbacked Toronto Blue Jays55c600$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2707352.1%38 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f4…81a6backed San Francisco Giants5c599.42$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.97372.7%1 W · 36 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick10cpaid-82%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2354…20d0backed San Francisco Giants3c589.95$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194043.5%14 W · 390 L-19.4wins-0.05per pick8cpaid-59.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ff7…2e67backed Toronto Blue Jays53c566.04$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.043240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c10…5d44backed San Francisco Giants8c561.33$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448733.3%29 W · 58 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Toronto Blue Jays56c545.22$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.956253.2%299 W · 263 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb92…b221backed San Francisco Giants47c531$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.5737944.3%168 W · 211 L-17.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x87af…c990backed San Francisco Giants48c520.83$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25032742.2%138 W · 189 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b3…27d8backed San Francisco Giants3c509.86$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16387.9%3 W · 35 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-79.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed San Francisco Giants47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2351,20653.7%648 W · 558 L+29.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Toronto Blue Jays55c454.55$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.5526747.9%128 W · 139 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked San Francisco Giants44c446.97$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.945045.8%206 W · 244 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe055…3157backed San Francisco Giants46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed San Francisco Giants46c434.75$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9964452.2%336 W · 308 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked San Francisco Giants44c426.14$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.516845.8%77 W · 91 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70e9…836abacked San Francisco Giants6c421$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2621323.5%50 W · 163 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.