MLB · resolved market
Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x591e11ad640caa18770eed5f15640ba63d5af02a2a5a6954133f80e3fccd6801
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,482
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,000
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,482 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Over | 56c | 9,999$5,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,387.35 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 44c | 6,841$3,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,014.17 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,799.98 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Under | 56c | 3,084$1,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,726.83 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 53c | 2,394$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276.86 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 56c | 1,992$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.3 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 43c | 1,559$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.71 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Under | 58c | 1,367$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.74 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked Under | 73c | 984.86$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.73 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -17.3wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 55c | 973.33$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.33 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…83dabacked Over | 45c | 888.89$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.89 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…303ebacked Under | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Under | 57c | 849.44$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 267 | 47.9%128 W · 139 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 42c | 842.43$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.1 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 43c | 777$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.11 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Under | 78c | 569$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.48 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 43c | 525$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.5 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Over | 42c | 475.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.91 | 267 | 62.2%166 W · 101 L | +43.9wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +58%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 35c | 454.98$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.73 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Over | 44c | 447.73$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.73 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Under | 55c | 425$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.75 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 29c | 424$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.68 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 43c | 390$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.3 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Under | 44c | 388.5$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.94 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 48c | 352.44$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.37 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed Under | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbafe…33a6backed Under | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 42c | 338.24$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.18 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 43c | 324.2$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.96 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 39c | 310.55$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.59 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 42c | 304.83$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.8 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 57c | 249.93$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.07 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 32c | 242.23$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.95 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 44c | 239.98$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.09 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339d…b918backed Over | 13c | 223$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 12cpaid | +553.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 46c | 216.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.21 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Over | 42c | 210$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.8 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Under | 36c | 207.98$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.67 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf0…fdbebacked Under | 62c | 201$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.62 | 82 | 64.6%53 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Over | 20c | 200$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 56c | 178.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.23 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Under | 44c | 174.45$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.55 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Under | 58c | 172.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 14c | 168$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.48 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Over | 42c | 163$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.54 | 158 | 48.7%77 W · 81 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 56c | 150$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.3 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 42c | 146.41$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.28 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Over | 64c | 132.03$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.3 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 56c | 118$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.92 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under | 47c | 113.47$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.28 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Over | 41c | 112.73$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.94 | 295 | 49.8%147 W · 148 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 57c | 104.2$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.48 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Under | 59c | 102.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.46 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc28…ede2backed Under | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Over | 45c | 78.06$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.27 | 244 | 48.8%119 W · 125 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Under | 57c | 72.9$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.55 | 172 | 55.8%96 W · 76 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Over | 42c | 71.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.42 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Under | 57c | 65.51$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x786f…1dcdbacked Under | 58c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Under | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.15 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 38c | 58.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 57c | 57.89$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 53c | 53.19$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 295 | 47.1%139 W · 156 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…94aebacked Over | 31c | 53.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Over | 47c | 48.19$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Over | 42c | 44.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b4…2329backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed Over | 37c | 40.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…f3c5backed Under | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed Under | 57c | 39.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c85…9634backed Over | 41c | 36.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 119 | 56.3%67 W · 52 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd9…8593backed Over | 45c | 35.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 47c | 34.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe465…4e4ebacked Over | 44c | 34.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x118a…457ebacked Under | 50c | 33.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Under | 56c | 33.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb1…0073backed Under | 55c | 29.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bef…5f5dbacked Under | 49c | 28.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…6471backed Under | 56c | 27.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a86…4eebbacked Over | 44c | 27.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 42c | 27.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Under | 57c | 26.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 42c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 557 | 58%323 W · 234 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Under | 55c | 23.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 47c | 22.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 51c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0297…e67fbacked Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5this page
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-4.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-5.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco GiantsToronto Blue Jays won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 10.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 11.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 12.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 6.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco GiantsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.