Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43384d47d9b00582400c5cec1c8442abc32bd5015937dc5fb0439a54baba0edc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RE.Ariseof RE.Arise, Spirit Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,207
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,750
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,207 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb877…4601backed Spirit Academy | 16c | 12,076$1,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,873.54 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked RE.Arise | 70c | 11,294$7,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,369.92 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Spirit Academy | 28c | 7,562$2,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,115.34 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…6633backed Spirit Academy | 10c | 5,750$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Spirit Academy | 32c | 4,322$1,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,383.23 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Spirit Academy | 15c | 4,261$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.06 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Spirit Academy | 10c | 3,521$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.07 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked RE.Arise | 56c | 3,371$1,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.84 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Spirit Academy | 35c | 2,965$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.31 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed RE.Arise | 51c | 2,939$1,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428.44 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed RE.Arise | 57c | 1,972$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.24 | 109 | 61.5%67 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0c…a4f9backed Spirit Academy | 41c | 1,896$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.49 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781d…201bbacked Spirit Academy | 49c | 1,642$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Spirit Academy | 13c | 1,524$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.03 | 204 | 42.2%86 W · 118 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb9…1d15backed Spirit Academy | 37c | 1,354$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedfa…fd66backed Spirit Academy | 15c | 1,192$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.55 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Spirit Academy | 25c | 1,003$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.47 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Spirit Academy | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc746…3943backed Spirit Academy | 15c | 740$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85ae…5399backed Spirit Academy | 48c | 718$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.82 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Spirit Academy | 45c | 655.86$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.03 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…c760backed Spirit Academy | 50c | 610.11$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.30per pick | 46cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7744…d8d6backed Spirit Academy | 5c | 610$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba01…1a89backed RE.Arise | 54c | 609.69$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.41 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0785…3540backed Spirit Academy | 21c | 600$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +10.3wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3702…9b19backed Spirit Academy | 21c | 507.41$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.56 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a778backed RE.Arise | 51c | 501.59$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.58 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +100.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed RE.Arise | 53c | 499.64$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.83 | 175 | 37.1%65 W · 110 L | -13.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Spirit Academy | 19c | 478.63$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.42 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +44.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…68f7backed Spirit Academy | 30c | 444.03$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Spirit Academy | 47c | 442.69$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.9 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed RE.Arise | 52c | 408.75$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.45 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff7…4176backed Spirit Academy | 48c | 406.44$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1d…2b19backed Spirit Academy | 21c | 400$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +11.3wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked Spirit Academy | 26c | 400$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.42 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked RE.Arise | 68c | 348.99$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.16 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3d…51b8backed Spirit Academy | 15c | 346.67$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe04…1481backed Spirit Academy | 48c | 341.49$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd83…d102backed Spirit Academy | 50c | 332.67$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.34 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Spirit Academy | 48c | 309.65$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.4 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed RE.Arise | 67c | 295.43$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.34 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Spirit Academy | 22c | 284.78$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.42 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed RE.Arise | 68c | 269.3$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.91 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed RE.Arise | 68c | 259.99$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.2 | 420 | 53.6%225 W · 195 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed RE.Arise | 68c | 259.97$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.19 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed Spirit Academy | 48c | 250.41$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.4 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16c6…19e2backed Spirit Academy | 21c | 250$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +5.5wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked RE.Arise | 56c | 250$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.5 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed RE.Arise | 53c | 235.75$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.2 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Spirit Academy | 20c | 233$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Spirit Academy | 35c | 224.24$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.96 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Spirit Academy | 44c | 219.56$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.93 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa57e…ed54backed Spirit Academy | 49c | 218.37$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b39…1f68backed Spirit Academy | 21c | 216.52$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.47 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +11.3wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Spirit Academy | 35c | 212.95$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.94 | 192 | 49%94 W · 98 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Spirit Academy | 50c | 212$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Spirit Academy | 22c | 203.39$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.75 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Spirit Academy | 38c | 202.81$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.91 | 90 | 31.1%28 W · 62 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9970…1651backed Spirit Academy | 50c | 200.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x029e…b19cbacked Spirit Academy | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +11.0wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +46%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7049…85a5backed Spirit Academy | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed RE.Arise | 59c | 195.32$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.38 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d03…d1fdbacked RE.Arise | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Spirit Academy | 33c | 177.97$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.73 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -8.5wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -33%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0c73…750abacked Spirit Academy | 40c | 170$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 163 | 28.8%47 W · 116 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Spirit Academy | 37c | 166.86$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.23 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Spirit Academy | 45c | 151.04$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.32 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddbd…bcb5backed Spirit Academy | 33c | 147.82$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.78 | 140 | 30.7%43 W · 97 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Spirit Academy | 32c | 145.14$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.89 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…ac81backed Spirit Academy | 45c | 136.5$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.03 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked RE.Arise | 52c | 130$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 253 | 48.6%123 W · 130 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Spirit Academy | 33c | 129.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.01 | 312 | 51.3%160 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed RE.Arise | 69c | 124.88$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.2 | 274 | 59.5%163 W · 111 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1138…b8c7backed Spirit Academy | 29c | 121.73$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.65 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Spirit Academy | 15c | 121$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed Spirit Academy | 48c | 120.76$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.42 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd2…87f4backed Spirit Academy | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +13.0wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcc75…af4dbacked Spirit Academy | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +12.5wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Spirit Academy | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 8%4 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Spirit Academy | 10c | 117.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 137 | 33.6%46 W · 91 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde30…3159backed Spirit Academy | 30c | 109.84$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.03 | 195 | 47.2%92 W · 103 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41c5…4485backed RE.Arise | 55c | 109.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.43 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Spirit Academy | 49c | 109.22$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f78fbacked Spirit Academy | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5867…2e20backed Spirit Academy | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 253 | 39.1%99 W · 154 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…2d03backed Spirit Academy | 50c | 105$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.29 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.9wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed RE.Arise | 67c | 104.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Spirit Academy | 49c | 101.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed RE.Arise | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Spirit Academy | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.67 | 117 | 33.3%39 W · 78 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Spirit Academy | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked RE.Arise | 66c | 99.98$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.46 | 473 | 58.6%277 W · 196 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked RE.Arise | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 354 | 61.3%217 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…03a6backed RE.Arise | 75c | 97.86$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked RE.Arise | 45c | 97$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.51 | 377 | 54.9%207 W · 170 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Spirit Academy | 37c | 96.95$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.55 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d3…bab9backed Spirit Academy | 40c | 96.18$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.55 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb6…5154backed RE.Arise | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…dd2bbacked Spirit Academy | 40c | 94.05$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked RE.Arise | 53c | 93.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.02 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Spirit Academy - Game 1 WinnerRE.Arise won
- Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Spirit Academy - Game 2 WinnerSpirit Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.