MLB · resolved market
Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b590d383e871dacf81f3dbb12781a7aff5af94106bcaa3621295c14a26fd955
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Cubsof Chicago Cubs, Baltimore Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $297,251
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $304,037
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $297,251 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 239 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9d12…7954backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 18,010$9,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,104.47 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Baltimore Orioles | 28c | 17,767$4,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,974.74 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Baltimore Orioles | 24c | 16,558$3,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,931.64 | 884 | 46.3%409 W · 475 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 10c | 15,085$1,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,557.14 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 14,260$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Chicago Cubs | 50c | 11,698$5,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,813.54 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab82…abe5backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 9,000$4,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,490 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 7,991$3,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,315.14 | 452 | 53.8%243 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafac…8730backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 6,739$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,639.13 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 5,385$2,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,908.13 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Chicago Cubs | 46c | 4,365$2,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,346.3 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago Cubs | 64c | 4,241$2,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530.93 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Baltimore Orioles | 0c | 4,100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 3,891$1,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,089.61 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 3,844$2,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,084.27 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Baltimore Orioles | 30c | 3,266$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.26 | 820 | 42.6%349 W · 471 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Baltimore Orioles | 1c | 3,100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 586 | 2%12 W · 574 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 3,021$1,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,661.55 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 2,976$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,607.09 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Baltimore Orioles | 21c | 2,971$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.08 | 970 | 44.9%436 W · 534 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 2,386$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.67 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 1,849$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.53 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Chicago Cubs | 51c | 1,820$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.72 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 1,780$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 1,730$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.5 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 1,720$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.7 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec37…85bdbacked Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 1,700$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | -14.0wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -35%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…7358backed Baltimore Orioles | 32c | 1,625$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.5 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 1,560$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.1 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc2…160dbacked Chicago Cubs | 46c | 1,522$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 36c | 1,501$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.36 | 712 | 53.4%380 W · 332 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Baltimore Orioles | 19c | 1,479$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.1 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Chicago Cubs | 46c | 1,304$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.16 | 577 | 53.2%307 W · 270 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc49…6e72backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 1,279$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 1,210$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.5 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 1,160$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.57 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 34c | 1,158$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.81 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…dddfbacked Chicago Cubs | 34c | 1,115$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.81 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Chicago Cubs | 45c | 1,075$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.25 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 1,000$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 995.38$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.8 | 1,855 | 44%817 W · 1,038 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Baltimore Orioles | 26c | 919.82$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.65 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 908.78$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.83 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 879.19$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.2 | 520 | 45.2%235 W · 285 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…03a6backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 819.36$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.49 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 816.97$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.33 | 2,588 | 61.5%1,591 W · 997 L | +72.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Baltimore Orioles | 13c | 789.57$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.03 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Chicago Cubs | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 758.24$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.87 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Baltimore Orioles | 10c | 749.97$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 947 | 34.4%326 W · 621 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Chicago Cubs | 57c | 744.81$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.1 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae00…5917backed Chicago Cubs | 67c | 743.62$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.62 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 711$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.05 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 709.09$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Chicago Cubs | 45c | 688.06$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.08 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…15fcbacked Chicago Cubs | 47c | 671.24$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.76 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.17 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 651.28$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.2 | 1,139 | 42.7%486 W · 653 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d8…a577backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 612.49$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.19 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19bd…ae36backed Baltimore Orioles | 17c | 588.63$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.95 | 186 | 52.7%98 W · 88 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 580.79$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.28 | 926 | 45.9%425 W · 501 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 573.77$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.77 | 267 | 47.9%128 W · 139 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…fe7bbacked Chicago Cubs | 39c | 557.01$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.33 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 549.99$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.99 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked Chicago Cubs | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.48 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Baltimore Orioles | 29c | 513.68$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 313 | 30.7%96 W · 217 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x378c…14b8backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 508.68$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.5 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52e9…c2c1backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 496.41$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 463.11$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.71 | 1,737 | 49.1%852 W · 885 L | +7.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 462$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.48 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Baltimore Orioles | 4c | 460.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 1,848 | 49.6%917 W · 931 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 3c | 453.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 381 | 33.6%128 W · 253 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 444.35$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.39 | 647 | 52.4%339 W · 308 L | +28.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Baltimore Orioles | 14c | 428.19$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.79 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0054…59ffbacked Chicago Cubs | 46c | 390$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.6 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafcb…9021backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 379$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd050…c915backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 359.21$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.45 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Baltimore Orioles | 5c | 343.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 2,149 | 50.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Baltimore Orioles | 6c | 342.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 548 | 15.9%87 W · 461 L | -41.1wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 334.37$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.65 | 869 | 48.4%421 W · 448 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…5806backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8084…f4a3backed Baltimore Orioles | 9c | 326.05$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 321.13$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.41 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52de…8f92backed Chicago Cubs | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 144 | 69.4%100 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 1,418 | 43.4%616 W · 802 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Baltimore Orioles | 29c | 295.37$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.75 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 283$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Chicago Cubs | 46c | 280$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.6 | 1,326 | 44%583 W · 743 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Chicago Cubs | 60c | 275.08$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.16 | 491 | 60.7%298 W · 193 L | +41.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 254.99$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.89 | 1,221 | 43.4%530 W · 691 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Chicago Cubs | 44c | 243.16$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.17 | 212 | 33.5%71 W · 141 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9519…9c28backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 241.21$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.84 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Chicago Cubs | 46c | 238.21$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.96 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad54…006abacked Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 237.34$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.66 | 581 | 60.4%351 W · 230 L | +30.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5627…c015backed Baltimore Orioles | 5c | 229.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b22…9431backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 229$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.95 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 223.37$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.15 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Chicago Cubs | 52c | 221.15$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.15 | 816 | 57.1%466 W · 350 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Oriolesthis page
- Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 15.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Will the game go to extra innings?: Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore OriolesNo won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore OriolesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.