Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: ex-HEROIC vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6510a73543c74c1b8ef788079a57d05ba2340602fa81d3d018d66b53768840c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virtus.proof ex-HEROIC, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $114,939
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $118,146
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,939 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Virtus.pro | 44c | 32,175$14,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,875.24 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Virtus.pro | 59c | 13,691$8,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,611.17 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…5eeebacked ex-HEROIC | 55c | 13,250$7,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,277.5 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked ex-HEROIC | 51c | 12,046$6,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,139.31 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed ex-HEROIC | 56c | 8,000$4,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,479.99 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked ex-HEROIC | 56c | 6,500$3,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,639.98 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…01a8backed Virtus.pro | 44c | 4,667$2,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,608.59 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed ex-HEROIC | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Virtus.pro | 48c | 3,181$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650.63 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Virtus.pro | 47c | 3,090$1,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,628.97 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed ex-HEROIC | 49c | 2,846$1,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.86 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked ex-HEROIC | 54c | 2,696$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,454.77 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Virtus.pro | 51c | 2,514$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.79 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ex-HEROIC | 49c | 2,417$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176.99 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe705…f910backed Virtus.pro | 46c | 2,357$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.46 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Virtus.pro | 53c | 2,000$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed ex-HEROIC | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Virtus.pro | 44c | 1,558$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.66 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Virtus.pro | 48c | 1,554$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.27 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Virtus.pro | 47c | 1,497$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.37 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked ex-HEROIC | 50c | 1,451$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.78 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Virtus.pro | 43c | 1,392$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.53 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked ex-HEROIC | 54c | 1,292$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.52 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Virtus.pro | 50c | 1,232$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.14 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked ex-HEROIC | 11c | 1,210$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.48 | 171 | 33.9%58 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Virtus.pro | 47c | 1,119$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.86 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0e…2330backed ex-HEROIC | 59c | 1,093$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed ex-HEROIC | 57c | 1,023$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.79 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed ex-HEROIC | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed ex-HEROIC | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Virtus.pro | 79c | 992$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.39 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…40dfbacked Virtus.pro | 54c | 927.97$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.97 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked ex-HEROIC | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -25.3wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2662…3f84backed ex-HEROIC | 55c | 912.2$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 145 | 62.1%90 W · 55 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ex-HEROIC | 39c | 897.62$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.15 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked ex-HEROIC | 27c | 865.75$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.64 | 372 | 23.1%86 W · 286 L | -38.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked ex-HEROIC | 48c | 803.12$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.5 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed ex-HEROIC | 53c | 781.62$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.4 | 276 | 36.2%100 W · 176 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked ex-HEROIC | 30c | 754.49$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.23 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da2…fa9fbacked ex-HEROIC | 21c | 709.2$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ex-HEROIC | 44c | 681.9$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.22 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked ex-HEROIC | 54c | 664.81$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.30per pick | 57cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed ex-HEROIC | 52c | 664.23$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.4 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Virtus.pro | 50c | 661$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.35 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-HEROIC | 47c | 644.13$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.74 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44aa…d1d5backed ex-HEROIC | 56c | 635.69$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.37 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Virtus.pro | 53c | 600$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.56 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Virtus.pro | 64c | 589.79$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.61 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Virtus.pro | 62c | 588.98$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.14 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked ex-HEROIC | 40c | 585.03$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.81 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked ex-HEROIC | 48c | 552.45$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.18 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed ex-HEROIC | 56c | 550$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed ex-HEROIC | 38c | 523.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…f5eebacked ex-HEROIC | 47c | 521.28$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed ex-HEROIC | 55c | 509.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.49 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e1…d80bbacked ex-HEROIC | 51c | 503.94$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea6…180dbacked ex-HEROIC | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed ex-HEROIC | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked ex-HEROIC | 22c | 499.98$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.62 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Virtus.pro | 39c | 495.09$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Virtus.pro | 52c | 489.99$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.2 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked ex-HEROIC | 39c | 450$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.5 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8be…3d54backed Virtus.pro | 45c | 439.21$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.39 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…611ebacked Virtus.pro | 69c | 428.99$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.64 | 13 | 100%13 W · 0 L | +4.9wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked ex-HEROIC | 53c | 414.65$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.56 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe56b…2c03backed ex-HEROIC | 59c | 400$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked ex-HEROIC | 25c | 375.7$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.97 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked ex-HEROIC | 28c | 372.56$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.48 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30da…a11dbacked Virtus.pro | 55c | 365.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.82 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b79…a5a8backed ex-HEROIC | 6c | 328.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed ex-HEROIC | 48c | 320.64$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.5 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Virtus.pro | 62c | 283.75$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.09 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed ex-HEROIC | 46c | 283$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.89 | 500 | 32.2%161 W · 339 L | -47.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed ex-HEROIC | 43c | 277$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.84 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed ex-HEROIC | 51c | 272.55$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…702dbacked Virtus.pro | 77c | 267.75$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.75 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed ex-HEROIC | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked ex-HEROIC | 57c | 249.98$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.49 | 210 | 45.7%96 W · 114 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed ex-HEROIC | 46c | 234$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.5 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…f7dbbacked ex-HEROIC | 56c | 230$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.8 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfee…ed1fbacked Virtus.pro | 54c | 225.94$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.93 | 106 | 18.9%20 W · 86 L | -14.0wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -52%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…0d71backed ex-HEROIC | 12c | 214.45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed ex-HEROIC | 47c | 213.21$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.4 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed ex-HEROIC | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cc…893cbacked ex-HEROIC | 31c | 198.38$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 243 | 43.6%106 W · 137 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed ex-HEROIC | 50c | 183.53$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.77 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…3fa8backed ex-HEROIC | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked ex-HEROIC | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Virtus.pro | 52c | 173.76$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.92 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Virtus.pro | 50c | 170.84$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.13 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x376f…5a0ebacked Virtus.pro | 50c | 154.64$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.24 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed ex-HEROIC | 55c | 154$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.7 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed ex-HEROIC | 51c | 153$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.03 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd10f…bef4backed Virtus.pro | 54c | 138.89$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.89 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…d6a4backed Virtus.pro | 76c | 138.14$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…1e80backed ex-HEROIC | 48c | 128.6$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed ex-HEROIC | 48c | 121.48$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.58 | 408 | 44.1%180 W · 228 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed ex-HEROIC | 56c | 114$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.84 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed ex-HEROIC | 56c | 112.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed ex-HEROIC | 54c | 110$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 261 | 54.8%143 W · 118 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: ex-HEROIC vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Athis page
- Dota 2: ex-HEROIC vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 WinnerVirtus.pro won
- Dota 2: ex-HEROIC vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 WinnerVirtus.pro won
- Game Handicap: ex-HEROIC (-1.5) vs Virtus.pro (+1.5)Virtus.pro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.