Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: ex-HEROIC vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e77c415ba3559ed5e91d57417ba300857801326a76d5ca0351ca29798aee51c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virtus.proof ex-HEROIC, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $221,486
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $249,183
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $221,486 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Virtus.pro | 48c | 37,431$18,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,385.86 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Virtus.pro | 71c | 19,186$13,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,503.15 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked ex-HEROIC | 13c | 16,465$2,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,129.49 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed ex-HEROIC | 31c | 14,756$4,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,623.38 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed ex-HEROIC | 41c | 11,435$4,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,650.09 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…40dfbacked Virtus.pro | 54c | 10,000$5,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,571.05 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Virtus.pro | 53c | 8,750$4,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,092.49 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Virtus.pro | 54c | 5,720$3,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,631.37 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked ex-HEROIC | 55c | 5,400$2,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,957 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed ex-HEROIC | 46c | 4,500$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed ex-HEROIC | 41c | 4,266$1,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,766.66 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked ex-HEROIC | 55c | 3,627$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked ex-HEROIC | 48c | 3,130$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,491.06 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed ex-HEROIC | 49c | 2,116$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.01 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed ex-HEROIC | 46c | 1,632$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked ex-HEROIC | 46c | 1,499$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.58 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed ex-HEROIC | 48c | 1,492$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.56 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed ex-HEROIC | 52c | 1,400$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.2 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed ex-HEROIC | 25c | 1,257$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.97 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Virtus.pro | 68c | 1,236$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.32 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Virtus.pro | 50c | 1,170$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Virtus.pro | 53c | 1,025$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.98 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Virtus.pro | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed ex-HEROIC | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked ex-HEROIC | 39c | 964.56$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.77 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked ex-HEROIC | 42c | 953.66$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.11 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked ex-HEROIC | 47c | 835$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.3 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Virtus.pro | 50c | 806.48$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.24 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked ex-HEROIC | 23c | 800.86$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.2 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed ex-HEROIC | 34c | 719.53$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.86 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe110…ade6backed ex-HEROIC | 56c | 709.93$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Virtus.pro | 50c | 666.02$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.29 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Virtus.pro | 48c | 601.62$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.62 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed ex-HEROIC | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Virtus.pro | 54c | 510$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.6 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Virtus.pro | 53c | 507.15$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.36 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked ex-HEROIC | 52c | 505$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.55 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked ex-HEROIC | 52c | 475.29$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.15 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed ex-HEROIC | 41c | 457.73$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.88 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked ex-HEROIC | 50c | 452.42$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed ex-HEROIC | 49c | 418.7$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.5 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Virtus.pro | 69c | 417.92$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.21 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Virtus.pro | 77c | 405.45$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.45 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Virtus.pro | 63c | 396$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.52 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8be…3d54backed Virtus.pro | 52c | 386.96$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.96 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed ex-HEROIC | 39c | 384.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…b387backed Virtus.pro | 50c | 350$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3304…8313backed ex-HEROIC | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked ex-HEROIC | 59c | 327.54$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.25 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed ex-HEROIC | 36c | 324.92$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.52 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Virtus.pro | 79c | 313.59$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.06 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked ex-HEROIC | 43c | 302.64$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.21 | 372 | 23.1%86 W · 286 L | -38.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed ex-HEROIC | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked ex-HEROIC | 39c | 270.31$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.96 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked ex-HEROIC | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e48…f025backed Virtus.pro | 69c | 255.34$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.34 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked ex-HEROIC | 45c | 252.03$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.87 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ex-HEROIC | 37c | 250.28$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.3 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed ex-HEROIC | 36c | 250$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed ex-HEROIC | 11c | 236.21$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa949…7f5bbacked Virtus.pro | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed ex-HEROIC | 50c | 230$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1522…70febacked ex-HEROIC | 12c | 218.89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 193 | 52.3%101 W · 92 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Virtus.pro | 50c | 215.54$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.77 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Virtus.pro | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 152 | 44.7%68 W · 84 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Virtus.pro | 63c | 199$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.77 | 645 | 47.8%308 W · 337 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Virtus.pro | 51c | 192$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.08 | 227 | 52.9%120 W · 107 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b5…205abacked Virtus.pro | 79c | 190.15$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.15 | 319 | 53.9%172 W · 147 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Virtus.pro | 47c | 165$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.45 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8a…7d07backed ex-HEROIC | 17c | 157.54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed ex-HEROIC | 19c | 150$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45b6…70b9backed ex-HEROIC | 51c | 146.15$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 78 | 17.9%14 W · 64 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed ex-HEROIC | 26c | 134.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…3fa8backed Virtus.pro | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Virtus.pro | 61c | 131.55$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.16 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed ex-HEROIC | 38c | 130.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed ex-HEROIC | 48c | 122.92$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked Virtus.pro | 53c | 120$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad67…1370backed ex-HEROIC | 12c | 116.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked ex-HEROIC | 45c | 105.51$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbb…75a1backed ex-HEROIC | 49c | 104.26$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Virtus.pro | 74c | 100.65$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.77 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked ex-HEROIC | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 268 | 46.6%125 W · 143 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked ex-HEROIC | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed ex-HEROIC | 47c | 96.11$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.17 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed ex-HEROIC | 36c | 93$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1863…6174backed ex-HEROIC | 61c | 90$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.9 | 304 | 60.2%183 W · 121 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d77…b47abacked ex-HEROIC | 17c | 88.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3511…6db3backed ex-HEROIC | 17c | 88.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecd1…73f1backed ex-HEROIC | 17c | 88.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39ed…6e33backed ex-HEROIC | 17c | 88.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f67…2830backed ex-HEROIC | 17c | 88.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ec…1cc8backed ex-HEROIC | 47c | 84.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.64 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4925…4f82backed ex-HEROIC | 56c | 82.26$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.82 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Virtus.pro | 44c | 82.06$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.32 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Virtus.pro | 63c | 81.44$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.19 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Virtus.pro | 58c | 75.55$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked ex-HEROIC | 21c | 74.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -8.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed Virtus.pro | 77c | 73.59$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…8e7ebacked Virtus.pro | 59c | 73.03$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.94 | 338 | 54.1%183 W · 155 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: ex-HEROIC vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: ex-HEROIC vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Group AVirtus.pro won
- Dota 2: ex-HEROIC vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 WinnerVirtus.pro won
- Game Handicap: ex-HEROIC (-1.5) vs Virtus.pro (+1.5)Virtus.pro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.