Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: ex-HEROIC vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09a1d8b995573002d1139f12de3bd797a8c7c5a1eef8e0c9917be8fd38585a94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virtus.proof ex-HEROIC, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $157,706
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $170,618
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,706 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Virtus.pro | 48c | 37,840$18,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,540.26 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Virtus.pro | 46c | 15,818$7,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,604.01 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked ex-HEROIC | 49c | 11,102$5,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,479.49 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed ex-HEROIC | 52c | 10,842$5,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,602.11 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Virtus.pro | 58c | 8,218$4,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,443.7 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Virtus.pro | 54c | 7,750$4,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,568.15 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed ex-HEROIC | 48c | 7,010$3,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,394.2 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed ex-HEROIC | 48c | 6,874$3,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,286.32 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked ex-HEROIC | 55c | 6,363$3,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,491.27 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed ex-HEROIC | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked ex-HEROIC | 47c | 4,747$2,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,233.81 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked ex-HEROIC | 54c | 4,466$2,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,393.18 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked ex-HEROIC | 51c | 4,031$2,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,068.84 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed ex-HEROIC | 53c | 3,499$1,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,839.49 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed ex-HEROIC | 55c | 3,359$1,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,845.17 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed ex-HEROIC | 48c | 3,032$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.91 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed ex-HEROIC | 50c | 2,750$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…40dfbacked Virtus.pro | 51c | 2,729$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.39 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…44fbbacked ex-HEROIC | 64c | 2,342$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed ex-HEROIC | 53c | 2,000$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.9 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Virtus.pro | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.99 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Virtus.pro | 52c | 1,924$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.93 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed Virtus.pro | 52c | 1,899$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.72 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed ex-HEROIC | 56c | 1,807$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.63 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked Virtus.pro | 53c | 1,750$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.44 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked ex-HEROIC | 62c | 1,700$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.99 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Virtus.pro | 44c | 1,574$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.21 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-HEROIC | 58c | 1,305$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.21 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked ex-HEROIC | 53c | 1,279$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.06 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ex-HEROIC | 56c | 1,226$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.11 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed ex-HEROIC | 6c | 1,150$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Virtus.pro | 50c | 1,086$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.28 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked ex-HEROIC | 51c | 1,006$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.12 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked ex-HEROIC | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 122 | 17.2%21 W · 101 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Virtus.pro | 53c | 999.99$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd206…bd2abacked Virtus.pro | 52c | 942.99$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.05 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8756…3c83backed ex-HEROIC | 47c | 908$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.76 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Virtus.pro | 54c | 897.15$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.47 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Virtus.pro | 58c | 855.87$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.87 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Virtus.pro | 35c | 849.99$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.49 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked ex-HEROIC | 54c | 818.99$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.67 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked ex-HEROIC | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.75 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked ex-HEROIC | 62c | 777.68$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.96 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked ex-HEROIC | 43c | 776.63$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.45 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed ex-HEROIC | 45c | 730.56$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.45 | 201 | 45.3%91 W · 110 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed Virtus.pro | 38c | 718.04$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.04 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed ex-HEROIC | 58c | 700$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ex-HEROIC | 47c | 658.87$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.26 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed ex-HEROIC | 50c | 613.58$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.79 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed ex-HEROIC | 55c | 600$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked ex-HEROIC | 64c | 594.36$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.39 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked ex-HEROIC | 48c | 590.77$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.49 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed ex-HEROIC | 48c | 575.78$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.38 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Virtus.pro | 36c | 565.76$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.96 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe110…ade6backed Virtus.pro | 53c | 532.61$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.61 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Virtus.pro | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Virtus.pro | 59c | 493$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.32 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked ex-HEROIC | 56c | 478$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.22 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Virtus.pro | 42c | 428.57$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.57 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked ex-HEROIC | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -25.3wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed Virtus.pro | 45c | 392$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.23 | 420 | 53.6%225 W · 195 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked ex-HEROIC | 47c | 365.65$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.04 | 372 | 23.1%86 W · 286 L | -38.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…b387backed Virtus.pro | 57c | 349.96$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.48 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed ex-HEROIC | 43c | 309$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.87 | 246 | 36.6%90 W · 156 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ex-HEROIC | 45c | 306.35$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.28 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed ex-HEROIC | 61c | 293.7$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.54 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed ex-HEROIC | 75c | 288.64$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.48 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8be…3d54backed Virtus.pro | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed ex-HEROIC | 45c | 250$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Virtus.pro | 35c | 235.6$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.14 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked ex-HEROIC | 55c | 226.03$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.26 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Virtus.pro | 56c | 208.92$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.92 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7c…4c16backed ex-HEROIC | 48c | 208.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed ex-HEROIC | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…5fa2backed Virtus.pro | 41c | 194.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.62 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Virtus.pro | 58c | 190$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.15 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa949…7f5bbacked ex-HEROIC | 64c | 187.5$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Virtus.pro | 39c | 178$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.58 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1522…70febacked Virtus.pro | 31c | 177$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.13 | 193 | 52.3%101 W · 92 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fe…695dbacked ex-HEROIC | 59c | 170.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Virtus.pro | 47c | 165$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.45 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked ex-HEROIC | 64c | 160$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Virtus.pro | 43c | 156$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.92 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed ex-HEROIC | 71c | 153.23$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.03 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed ex-HEROIC | 46c | 149.17$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.33 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…f3cebacked ex-HEROIC | 44c | 147.73$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbef…f45fbacked Virtus.pro | 55c | 121.23$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.74 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +5.1wins | +0.23per pick | 59cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked Virtus.pro | 52c | 120$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…693abacked ex-HEROIC | 51c | 117.84$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.75 | 546 | 48.5%265 W · 281 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked ex-HEROIC | 58c | 113.1$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 404 | 42.3%171 W · 233 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed ex-HEROIC | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked ex-HEROIC | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed ex-HEROIC | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 227 | 52.9%120 W · 107 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Virtus.pro | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Virtus.pro | 56c | 98.27$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.27 | 228 | 68%155 W · 73 L | +15.4wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Virtus.pro | 34c | 95$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.15 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked ex-HEROIC | 40c | 88.52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.41 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Virtus.pro | 39c | 87.25$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.82 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf062…0257backed ex-HEROIC | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…9acfbacked ex-HEROIC | 48c | 77$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.85 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: ex-HEROIC vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: ex-HEROIC vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Group AVirtus.pro won
- Dota 2: ex-HEROIC vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 WinnerVirtus.pro won
- Game Handicap: ex-HEROIC (-1.5) vs Virtus.pro (+1.5)Virtus.pro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.