TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: G1 (-1.5) vs NEW VISION (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
NEW VISIONof GenOne, NEW VISION
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$72,094
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$74,403

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,094 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x29b5…cc6cbacked GenOne59c33,015$19,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,361.825,02855%2,763 W · 2,265 L+112.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked NEW VISION42c15,639$6,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,008.0575452.7%397 W · 357 L+27.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0993…525fbacked NEW VISION42c13,160$5,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,607.526454.7%35 W · 29 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+32.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed GenOne59c12,102$7,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,093.322,61051.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L+16.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed NEW VISION40c5,079$2,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,047.2866551.9%345 W · 320 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cb0…57e0backed NEW VISION40c3,363$1,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,014.166144.3%27 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed NEW VISION40c3,300$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,98023848.3%115 W · 123 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9166…b479backed GenOne59c3,168$1,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,869.3110749.5%53 W · 54 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6da3…95a0backed GenOne57c3,121$1,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,778.973145.2%14 W · 17 L-4.7wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-27.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked NEW VISION42c3,041$1,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,775.861,47651.8%765 W · 711 L-4.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ea6…180dbacked GenOne57c2,996$1,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,707.672642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2405…e055backed NEW VISION43c1,527$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$865.9215948.4%77 W · 82 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed GenOne58c1,382$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.9745854.8%251 W · 207 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed NEW VISION39c1,331$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.131,08050.9%550 W · 530 L+38.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a74…de59backed NEW VISION41c1,200$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7087751.9%40 W · 37 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed NEW VISION40c1,150$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.2361047.7%291 W · 319 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed GenOne58c1,042$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.021,99853.7%1,073 W · 925 L+5.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed NEW VISION41c1,000$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59026549.1%130 W · 135 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed GenOne58c862.07$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50059055.3%326 W · 264 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked NEW VISION41c854.75$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.3524646.7%115 W · 131 L+0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdeb1…e05ebacked NEW VISION40c690$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-39.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed GenOne54c664.5$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.831,01753.4%543 W · 474 L+65.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x50f4…04d4backed GenOne57c505.23$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.981216.7%2 W · 10 L-4.8wins-0.40per pick56cpaid-75.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x5006…48cabacked GenOne57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2859160.4%55 W · 36 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+20.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1bfb…8beabacked GenOne58c500$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2904654.3%25 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dd5…28f2backed GenOne57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2853050%15 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed NEW VISION41c467.3$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.7152150.3%262 W · 259 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb55b…c5b4backed NEW VISION43c466$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.6235153.8%189 W · 162 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc386…386fbacked GenOne58c447.78$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.1825744.4%114 W · 143 L+11.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+29.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed NEW VISION42c430$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.45,81037.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L+78.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked NEW VISION40c400$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24010136.6%37 W · 64 L-9.9wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-24.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x57e6…9622backed GenOne60c378$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.1714356.6%81 W · 62 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed NEW VISION43c372.65$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.4161054.6%333 W · 277 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe80f…3354backed NEW VISION40c349.61$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.778549.4%42 W · 43 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed NEW VISION41c226.54$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.6632345.2%146 W · 177 L+12.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed NEW VISION41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11817150.9%87 W · 84 L+12.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed GenOne54c185.18$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10031744.8%142 W · 175 L-0.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83c4…3212backed GenOne60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10031261.2%191 W · 121 L+21.8wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed NEW VISION43c162.11$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.444552.4%233 W · 212 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked NEW VISION44c156.19$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.9941555.4%230 W · 185 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked NEW VISION42c135$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.4235947.9%172 W · 187 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24d0…6cbabacked NEW VISION42c128$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.042860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+31.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x04b7…7491backed GenOne59c121.98$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.9711756.4%66 W · 51 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x089c…33dabacked NEW VISION41c120.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.522455.8%125 W · 99 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed NEW VISION42c120$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.280740.3%325 W · 482 L-3.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…2cbfbacked NEW VISION42c117.78$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.789345.2%42 W · 51 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd934…ab75backed GenOne58c110$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644047.5%19 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked NEW VISION42c100.01$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.432,59947.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L-30.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed NEW VISION42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5824850.4%125 W · 123 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b96…4389backed GenOne58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5837057.3%212 W · 158 L-16.4wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed NEW VISION43c92.03$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.4621151.7%109 W · 102 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x98ba…4212backed GenOne59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019146.6%89 W · 102 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1273…8eddbacked NEW VISION43c76.51$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.6120757.5%119 W · 88 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed GenOne58c76.46$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.698248.3%474 W · 508 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed NEW VISION42c75.46$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.778353%44 W · 39 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked GenOne58c59.18$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5744747.2%211 W · 236 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c8e…b38fbacked GenOne59c51.23$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.018551.8%44 W · 41 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x012b…7c42backed GenOne58c43.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259044.4%40 W · 50 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3f6…b228backed GenOne59c42.24$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256850%34 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked GenOne60c40$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2428856.6%163 W · 125 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66c0…5fc2backed NEW VISION43c37.21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2119051.1%97 W · 93 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43f3…293cbacked GenOne59c33.35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.826136.1%22 W · 39 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-5.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c29…a0fbbacked GenOne61c32.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6279…2627backed GenOne58c31.87$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.641330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde36…f41cbacked GenOne58c31.27$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2111250%56 W · 56 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb476…ddc2backed GenOne59c31$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3912151.2%62 W · 59 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69fa…e259backed GenOne60c28.72$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2360753.9%327 W · 280 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08bf…c637backed GenOne59c21.01$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-48%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb764…e4a4backed GenOne60c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed GenOne59c18.07$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.662,30945.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L-62.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.