CS2 · resolved market
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: GenOne (-3.5) vs NEW VISION (+3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8503886e36482673d2b7d28affd195a111b2a7ca5828645d5968e46fc4800e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NEW VISIONof GenOne, NEW VISION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,148
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,916
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,148 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked GenOne | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked NEW VISION | 41c | 1,422$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.36 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed NEW VISION | 42c | 1,009$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed GenOne | 60c | 847.46$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.48 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…2152backed NEW VISION | 40c | 607.39$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.43 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed NEW VISION | 40c | 559.52$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.47 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed NEW VISION | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 159 | 48.4%77 W · 82 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcecf…e84fbacked NEW VISION | 41c | 351.22$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.22 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff3…9b05backed GenOne | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e0…708fbacked NEW VISION | 41c | 295.73$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.73 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed GenOne | 59c | 250$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.5 | 465 | 55.1%256 W · 209 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed GenOne | 59c | 218.66$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.01 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed NEW VISION | 40c | 120$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35b7…c557backed NEW VISION | 41c | 42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…f083backed NEW VISION | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked NEW VISION | 40c | 29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: GenOne (-3.5) vs NEW VISION (+3.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: GenOne vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group StageNEW VISION won
- Counter-Strike: GenOne vs NEW VISION - Map 1 WinnerNEW VISION won
- Counter-Strike: GenOne vs NEW VISION - Map 2 WinnerGenOne won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: GenOne (-3.5) vs NEW VISION (+3.5)GenOne won
- Map Handicap: G1 (-1.5) vs NEW VISION (+1.5)NEW VISION won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.