TailMyPicks

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Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Leviatán Esportsof Evil Geniuses, Leviatán Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$85,901
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$93,183

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,901 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd30…f316backed Evil Geniuses20c32,375$6,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,474.925429.6%16 W · 38 L-9.2wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-42%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Leviatán Esports80c20,000$16,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,00028955.7%161 W · 128 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed Leviatán Esports79c13,342$10,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,801.836038.3%23 W · 37 L-6.9wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x16bc…decabacked Evil Geniuses21c9,446$2,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.715431.2%48 W · 106 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Evil Geniuses21c8,898$1,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,878.1428143.4%122 W · 159 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Leviatán Esports78c5,453$4,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.6734356.9%195 W · 148 L+23.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ea6…180dbacked Leviatán Esports80c4,500$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9002330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-35.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Leviatán Esports80c4,000$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80019860.6%120 W · 78 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Leviatán Esports80c2,250$1,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.2593148.1%448 W · 483 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Leviatán Esports80c2,000$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41063955.6%355 W · 284 L+1.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4980…5709backed Evil Geniuses15c1,900$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29332245.7%147 W · 175 L+52.2wins+0.16per pick29cpaid+40.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Evil Geniuses20c1,640$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.6215147%71 W · 80 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x257e…ca61backed Leviatán Esports77c1,500$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34822344.4%99 W · 124 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8660…93edbacked Evil Geniuses20c1,437$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.3217948.6%87 W · 92 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Evil Geniuses17c1,332$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22025336.4%92 W · 161 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed Leviatán Esports79c1,230$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.3721457%122 W · 92 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8a1…ceb5backed Leviatán Esports80c1,024$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.722152.4%11 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-26.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Leviatán Esports80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20025660.9%156 W · 100 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+16.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x31c0…718fbacked Evil Geniuses10c930.76$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.08955.6%5 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick32cpaid+38.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Evil Geniuses8c887.12$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.554342.4%230 W · 313 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Leviatán Esports79c512$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.525962.7%37 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Leviatán Esports79c501$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.2120160.2%121 W · 80 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4923…6866backed Leviatán Esports78c500$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1105263.5%33 W · 19 L+7.1wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+32.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Evil Geniuses16c480.2$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.751,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5747…7fdfbacked Evil Geniuses21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10062856.4%354 W · 274 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2022…c2d0backed Evil Geniuses21c457.38$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.05666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+32.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Leviatán Esports78c455$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.123055.7%128 W · 102 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Leviatán Esports80c444.95$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.260154.2%326 W · 275 L+24.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Evil Geniuses15c387.62$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.8540945.7%187 W · 222 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f0c…da03backed Leviatán Esports80c369.73$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.9511738.5%45 W · 72 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Leviatán Esports79c367.93$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.8613661%83 W · 53 L+14.8wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x65e6…42dcbacked Evil Geniuses16c356.62$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579737.1%36 W · 61 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x833c…42b4backed Evil Geniuses9c306.86$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285927.1%16 W · 43 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed Evil Geniuses23c304.35$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7023847.9%114 W · 124 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3555…208ebacked Leviatán Esports80c301.62$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.636666.7%44 W · 22 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Leviatán Esports79c300$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6327145%122 W · 149 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Leviatán Esports79c300$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6328541.1%117 W · 168 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Leviatán Esports80c295.79$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.1625556.1%143 W · 112 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a48…e3a8backed Leviatán Esports79c269.5$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.296570.8%46 W · 19 L+8.7wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+23.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x32bf…ec60backed Leviatán Esports80c262.5$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.519847%93 W · 105 L-0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ff0…0a65backed Evil Geniuses21c246.03$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.85850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa6f…b34fbacked Evil Geniuses22c225$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+19.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Leviatán Esports80c210.17$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.0384838.2%324 W · 524 L-50.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Evil Geniuses24c200.06$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0149255.3%272 W · 220 L+23.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Evil Geniuses20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4016142.9%69 W · 92 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x15ef…647cbacked Evil Geniuses10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204052.5%21 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0978…0d99backed Evil Geniuses21c199.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Evil Geniuses8c193.08$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.161,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Leviatán Esports79c174.15$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.844342%186 W · 257 L-22.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x339f…e1f9backed Evil Geniuses12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Leviatán Esports79c159.04$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.5328252.5%148 W · 134 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8852…511dbacked Evil Geniuses12c156.14$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1840%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Evil Geniuses10c153$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5820138.3%77 W · 124 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Leviatán Esports79c149.32$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.3663447.9%304 W · 330 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a2e…3ceabacked Evil Geniuses21c145.83$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.624951%25 W · 24 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Evil Geniuses21c142.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0233153.5%177 W · 154 L-0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa718…baf1backed Leviatán Esports79c133$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.931957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Leviatán Esports79c128.93$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9124551%125 W · 120 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8412…55f3backed Evil Geniuses9c128.22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick26cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Leviatán Esports80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258259.8%49 W · 33 L+7.1wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+29.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Evil Geniuses13c115.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.530835.4%109 W · 199 L-23.8wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-40.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3d01…ccfbbacked Evil Geniuses22c113.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Evil Geniuses14c108.01$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5969722.8%159 W · 538 L-94.4wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-54.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x91e5…0947backed Evil Geniuses21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-37.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe3e9…7302backed Evil Geniuses21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-49.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed Evil Geniuses21c95$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9560%0 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x27a4…d44cbacked Evil Geniuses22c90$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203154.8%17 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Evil Geniuses19c80.9$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3786747.5%412 W · 455 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Evil Geniuses22c80$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.633753.1%179 W · 158 L+16.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c60…01febacked Leviatán Esports79c75.47$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.475464.8%35 W · 19 L+5.7wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Leviatán Esports79c75$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7515560.6%94 W · 61 L+14.0wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Leviatán Esports78c75$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.579650%398 W · 398 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Leviatán Esports78c56.89$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5222346.6%104 W · 119 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d26…f4f8backed Evil Geniuses21c52.38$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1112335.8%44 W · 79 L+9.0wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+1.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x00d2…fe64backed Leviatán Esports79c51$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7120248.5%98 W · 104 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Leviatán Esports80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2552050%260 W · 260 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5837…9a00backed Evil Geniuses21c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.516050.6%81 W · 79 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a05…1c7abacked Evil Geniuses21c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.51136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+36.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Leviatán Esports80c44.24$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8520051.5%103 W · 97 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf20b…e27dbacked Leviatán Esports75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1017653.4%94 W · 82 L+9.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde36…f41cbacked Leviatán Esports79c30.38$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.382972.4%21 W · 8 L+4.2wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+28.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Leviatán Esports80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517537.7%66 W · 109 L-14.5wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-29.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Leviatán Esports79c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2555348.3%267 W · 286 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfce8…2686backed Leviatán Esports80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518465.2%120 W · 64 L-0.6wins0.00per pick66cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Leviatán Esports78c24.23$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.3326450%132 W · 132 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37bd…ed2abacked Leviatán Esports79c24$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.942470.8%17 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+21.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbc1…53babacked Leviatán Esports79c18.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.992100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+69.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x65a3…c1e3backed Leviatán Esports80c17.8$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.566100%6 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked Leviatán Esports79c16$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.3632157.6%185 W · 136 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Leviatán Esports79c13.43$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.8228241.1%116 W · 166 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x522f…1164backed Leviatán Esports79c13$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.735843.1%25 W · 33 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d29…872abacked Leviatán Esports80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.5650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.