Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4c3fc08dd8f8800027b5b6d83e0da3fe9c6c300b5f690c378a186ce5acb066d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leviatán Esportsof Evil Geniuses, Leviatán Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,813
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,479
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,813 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Leviatán Esports | 74c | 2,459$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.38 | 343 | 56.9%195 W · 148 L | +23.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Evil Geniuses | 15c | 1,063$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Evil Geniuses | 16c | 890.71$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.93 | 403 | 45.9%185 W · 218 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…dc24backed Evil Geniuses | 26c | 836$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.36 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…69b5backed Evil Geniuses | 26c | 815.38$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Evil Geniuses | 26c | 812.71$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Evil Geniuses | 24c | 800.25$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.52 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Leviatán Esports | 75c | 743.63$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.19 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed Leviatán Esports | 74c | 509.99$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.6 | 214 | 57%122 W · 92 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Evil Geniuses | 30c | 394$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.54 | 1,281 | 32.1%411 W · 870 L | -67.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21fc…de4abacked Evil Geniuses | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Evil Geniuses | 27c | 324$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.43 | 287 | 42.9%123 W · 164 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Leviatán Esports | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 321 | 52.6%169 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Evil Geniuses | 26c | 277$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.02 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Leviatán Esports | 74c | 271.75$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.53 | 1,612 | 45.1%727 W · 885 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Leviatán Esports | 73c | 250.45$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.45 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Evil Geniuses | 27c | 225$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.75 | 238 | 36.1%86 W · 152 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Evil Geniuses | 33c | 200$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Evil Geniuses | 33c | 200$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Leviatán Esports | 75c | 183.36$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.94 | 1,495 | 46.6%696 W · 799 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Evil Geniuses | 32c | 155.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.73 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Leviatán Esports | 73c | 154.6$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.74 | 639 | 48%307 W · 332 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe896…a4c7backed Leviatán Esports | 67c | 150.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.22 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…4eecbacked Leviatán Esports | 67c | 150$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 176 | 42.6%75 W · 101 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Leviatán Esports | 77c | 134.31$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.32 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Leviatán Esports | 80c | 120$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 751 | 42.7%321 W · 430 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Evil Geniuses | 26c | 110.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -8.8wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Leviatán Esports | 64c | 103.01$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.58 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Evil Geniuses | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Evil Geniuses | 13c | 89.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 421 | 40.4%170 W · 251 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9c…bfe2backed Evil Geniuses | 26c | 84.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9417…bbd3backed Evil Geniuses | 26c | 84.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…4880backed Evil Geniuses | 25c | 78.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 205 | 47.8%98 W · 107 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3250…7beabacked Evil Geniuses | 20c | 65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Leviatán Esports | 70c | 62.31$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Evil Geniuses | 25c | 61.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 339 | 42.2%143 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Evil Geniuses | 25c | 59.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 1,253 | 49.5%620 W · 633 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Evil Geniuses | 27c | 50.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x442f…e80fbacked Evil Geniuses | 31c | 49.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Leviatán Esports | 72c | 48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 672 | 50.6%340 W · 332 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Leviatán Esports | 74c | 45.56$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Leviatán Esports | 69c | 43.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f86…e074backed Evil Geniuses | 26c | 42.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa5…a94abacked Evil Geniuses | 26c | 42.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +36%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd4…9bcdbacked Leviatán Esports | 74c | 38.47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 129 | 62.8%81 W · 48 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed Evil Geniuses | 28c | 37.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Leviatán Esports | 75c | 33.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf202…9ea8backed Leviatán Esports | 76c | 32.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Leviatán Esports | 74c | 30.69$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 237 | 45.1%107 W · 130 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Leviatán Esports | 76c | 26.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 90 | 68.9%62 W · 28 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Leviatán Esports | 75c | 23.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Leviatán Esports | 75c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 326 | 57.4%187 W · 139 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedab…8926backed Leviatán Esports | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 112 | 58%65 W · 47 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Leviatán Esports | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 494 | 55.3%273 W · 221 L | +23.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: LEV (-1.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+1.5)Leviatán Esports won
- Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group AlphaLeviatán Esports won
- Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 WinnerLeviatán Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.