Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs Cloud9 (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab50070c9fa1f9d26db131ebaacedc9aa22e97fd92a291822405d609085ee6ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cloud9of Sentinels, Cloud9
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,732
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,449
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,732 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Cloud9 | 67c | 10,939$7,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,616.79 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -9.2wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -42%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Sentinels | 33c | 10,694$3,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,529.06 | 190 | 46.3%88 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Cloud9 | 67c | 7,070$4,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,333.1 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Cloud9 | 68c | 6,000$4,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,942.49 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Cloud9 | 30c | 4,061$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,842.71 | 407 | 31.7%129 W · 278 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Sentinels | 33c | 3,030$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Sentinels | 33c | 2,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed Sentinels | 33c | 1,818$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Cloud9 | 65c | 1,408$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.78 | 198 | 60.6%120 W · 78 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Sentinels | 33c | 1,376$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.28 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea6…180dbacked Sentinels | 32c | 1,252$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.64 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Sentinels | 34c | 1,205$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.5 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Sentinels | 34c | 1,204$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.07 | 223 | 46.6%104 W · 119 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24f5…98d2backed Cloud9 | 30c | 1,035$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.5 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…3543backed Sentinels | 35c | 650.06$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.52 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f2…a80dbacked Cloud9 | 67c | 648.06$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.26 | 66 | 68.2%45 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Cloud9 | 65c | 586.39$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.24 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Cloud9 | 30c | 576.01$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.41 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Sentinels | 33c | 512$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.96 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -10.0wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9c15…5b4bbacked Sentinels | 32c | 510$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.2 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Sentinels | 33c | 501$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.33 | 201 | 60.2%121 W · 80 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Sentinels | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Cloud9 | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +6.7wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…48cabacked Sentinels | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -9.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd5…28f2backed Sentinels | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -29%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Sentinels | 33c | 471.82$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.7 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Sentinels | 33c | 455.74$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.4 | 287 | 47.4%136 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed Sentinels | 34c | 449.99$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Sentinels | 33c | 340$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.55 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Sentinels | 31c | 327.01$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.37 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Cloud9 | 68c | 299.47$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.83 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed Sentinels | 32c | 273$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.36 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2276…efd0backed Cloud9 | 64c | 245.13$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.24 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Sentinels | 33c | 230.72$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.14 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…cd9abacked Cloud9 | 65c | 221.89$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.66 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b77…6ba1backed Sentinels | 33c | 220.68$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.82 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Sentinels | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 344 | 43.3%149 W · 195 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Sentinels | 33c | 181.82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Cloud9 | 60c | 164.81$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.76 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Sentinels | 34c | 156.06$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.06 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c81…8f47backed Cloud9 | 68c | 147.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.83 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Cloud9 | 62c | 145.35$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.08 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Sentinels | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 258 | 43%111 W · 147 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Sentinels | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 238 | 47.9%114 W · 124 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Sentinels | 33c | 119.57$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.86 | 164 | 51.8%85 W · 79 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Cloud9 | 68c | 105.25$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.68 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Sentinels | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Sentinels | 37c | 99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.63 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Sentinels | 32c | 95.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.46 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedfa…fd66backed Cloud9 | 31c | 92.77$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.32 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Sentinels | 33c | 81.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.96 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | -15.5wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed Sentinels | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Cloud9 | 44c | 73.13$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.63 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c62…ca89backed Cloud9 | 65c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…1af6backed Sentinels | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked Sentinels | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6096…e6d9backed Cloud9 | 65c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Sentinels | 33c | 45.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7160…cce2backed Cloud9 | 68c | 43.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e8…e69cbacked Sentinels | 32c | 38.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Sentinels | 51c | 37.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 391 | 66%258 W · 133 L | +24.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f6…f7e6backed Cloud9 | 68c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef3b…5af6backed Cloud9 | 68c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed Sentinels | 32c | 32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 438 | 43.6%191 W · 247 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2175…4b33backed Sentinels | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62cd…7b19backed Sentinels | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc40…4c26backed Cloud9 | 65c | 30.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc221…1ed3backed Cloud9 | 68c | 28.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Cloud9 | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 155 | 60.6%94 W · 61 L | +14.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Sentinels | 53c | 21.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 492 | 55.3%272 W · 220 L | +23.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs Cloud9 (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-2.5) vs Cloud9 (+2.5)Sentinels won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-2.5) vs Cloud9 (+2.5)Cloud9 won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-2.5) vs Cloud9 (+2.5)Cloud9 won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Valorant: Sentinels vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group OmegaSentinels won
- Valorant: Sentinels vs Cloud9 - Map 1 WinnerSentinels won
- Valorant: Sentinels vs Cloud9 - Map 2 WinnerCloud9 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.