Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Sentinels vs Cloud9 - Map 1 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x523c1b70964f559777f020a91437edbe1bc6a204414bcc37ae79643ff9b63944

Rebuilt 11 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Sentinelsof Sentinels, Cloud9
Resolved: Jul 16, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $72,957
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $83,121

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,957 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Valorant
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf070…ac55backed Sentinels	59c	16,900$9,971 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,928.99	241	45.2%109 W · 132 L	-11.3wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-10%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfeeb…87b6backed Sentinels	73c	5,692$4,177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,514.47	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.16per pick	59cpaid	+42.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Cloud9	28c	4,097$1,140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,139.61	409	45.7%187 W · 222 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Cloud9	41c	3,965$1,623 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,623.37	684	58.3%399 W · 285 L	+56.5wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xffe9…a70ebacked Sentinels	52c	3,148$1,637 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,510.8	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+2.6wins	+0.14per pick	49cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Cloud9	43c	2,924$1,260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,260.15	531	59.1%314 W · 217 L	+41.6wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cloud9	41c	2,604$1,068 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,067.78	190	46.3%88 W · 102 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x77f6…dbd1backed Cloud9	48c	2,064$990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$990	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Sentinels	46c	1,527$701 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$825.69	565	51.2%289 W · 276 L	+6.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Cloud9	50c	1,346$676 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$675.66	1,746	46.2%806 W · 940 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Sentinels	54c	1,281$689 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$591.89	785	62.8%493 W · 292 L	+56.2wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb8c2…eef4backed Sentinels	51c	1,060$540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$519.74	66	54.5%36 W · 30 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Sentinels	61c	1,025$627 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$398.87	943	61.2%577 W · 366 L	+58.2wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2fd0…cdd6backed Cloud9	53c	999.99$529 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$528.99	40	37.5%15 W · 25 L	-3.6wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-35%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Cloud9	38c	999.23$381 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$381.17	565	57.7%326 W · 239 L	+35.3wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Cloud9	47c	883.73$412 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$412.15	655	59.4%389 W · 266 L	+50.5wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Cloud9	18c	810.39$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.27	689	49.5%341 W · 348 L	+15.4wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed Cloud9	48c	780$374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$374.27	19	73.7%14 W · 5 L	+3.5wins	+0.18per pick	55cpaid	+36.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x21c6…bc1cbacked Sentinels	68c	718.55$490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$228.98	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.17per pick	67cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked Sentinels	61c	674.33$413 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260.97	266	50.8%135 W · 131 L	+7.0wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed Cloud9	41c	600$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246	214	57%122 W · 92 L	+6.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0b9…5699backed Cloud9	48c	593.75$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-2.1wins	-0.21per pick	61cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked Cloud9	41c	524.91$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215	70	47.1%33 W · 37 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Cloud9	45c	522.34$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$234.66	932	48.1%448 W · 484 L	-11.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Sentinels	64c	520.31$331 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$189.27	513	44.6%229 W · 284 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Cloud9	37c	515.95$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.62	1,312	43.8%575 W · 737 L	-44.6wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Cloud9	34c	515.93$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.54	1,612	45.1%727 W · 885 L	-25.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Cloud9	44c	484.07$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.18	1,365	38.9%531 W · 834 L	-60.0wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0844…bf81backed Cloud9	52c	448.08$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233	280	56.4%158 W · 122 L	+8.7wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Cloud9	43c	446.94$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.17	851	38.1%324 W · 527 L	-51.4wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Cloud9	48c	400$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.47	467	46.7%218 W · 249 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0181…9b5fbacked Cloud9	21c	400$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.75	278	50%139 W · 139 L	+21.8wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdaf2…dfa9backed Cloud9	52c	384.62$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	64	56.3%36 W · 28 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e59…262dbacked Sentinels	72c	375$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105	8	75%6 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	75cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked Sentinels	59c	340.68$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.68	306	52.3%160 W · 146 L	-9.1wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e8e…f9b2backed Cloud9	59c	338.98$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	49	49%24 W · 25 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked Cloud9	18c	336.5$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.5	146	52.7%77 W · 69 L	+11.2wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Cloud9	41c	332.07$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.15	639	55.6%355 W · 284 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Cloud9	27c	321$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.67	893	44.3%396 W · 497 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Cloud9	39c	317.21$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.82	240	32.1%77 W · 163 L	-18.7wins	-0.08per pick	40cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Cloud9	23c	264.65$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.03	1,495	46.6%696 W · 799 L	-17.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed Sentinels	80c	251.15$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.15	196	56.6%111 W · 85 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Cloud9	14c	177.49$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.85	67	32.8%22 W · 45 L	-3.3wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc925…6d24backed Cloud9	36c	160.09$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.63	66	30.3%20 W · 46 L	-5.0wins	-0.08per pick	38cpaid	-47.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Cloud9	36c	150$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.25	390	47.9%187 W · 203 L	+5.9wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bac…d241backed Cloud9	52c	134.78$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.56	86	46.5%40 W · 46 L	+6.4wins	+0.07per pick	39cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x25a4…69f6backed Sentinels	54c	130$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.8	62	51.6%32 W · 30 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc064…6fa8backed Cloud9	43c	119.29$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	144	54.2%78 W · 66 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x656e…9339backed Cloud9	48c	114.25$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.84	194	39.2%76 W · 118 L	-5.6wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cloud9	36c	105.68$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.49	444	41.9%186 W · 258 L	-22.8wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Cloud9	36c	105$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.5	201	38.3%77 W · 124 L	-6.6wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked Cloud9	60c	100$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	366	48.4%177 W · 189 L	+12.2wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51b6…1903backed Cloud9	61c	99.02$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	263	54.4%143 W · 120 L	-8.5wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xccdc…dbe6backed Sentinels	54c	92.8$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.8	110	42.7%47 W · 63 L	-7.9wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-14%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a96…7a34backed Sentinels	52c	89.99$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.2	34	47.1%16 W · 18 L	+3.2wins	+0.09per pick	38cpaid	+57.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xade6…c465backed Sentinels	62c	87.15$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.42	653	47.3%309 W · 344 L	-18.2wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Cloud9	48c	84$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.02	818	34.8%285 W · 533 L	-61.5wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2460…e144backed Sentinels	54c	83.91$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.91	281	51.6%145 W · 136 L	-10.4wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed Cloud9	54c	79.7$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.86	186	47.8%89 W · 97 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Cloud9	35c	75$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.32	520	50%260 W · 260 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Cloud9	37c	75$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.56	553	48.3%267 W · 286 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Cloud9	34c	75$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.5	796	50%398 W · 398 L	+9.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafe8…a3ebbacked Cloud9	48c	71.02$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.09	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-30%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3416…adaabacked Cloud9	53c	69.81$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-1.2wins	-0.08per pick	39cpaid	-43.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Cloud9	33c	65$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.64	913	33.2%303 W · 610 L	-89.8wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x95e9…67b6backed Sentinels	55c	60$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27	106	49.1%52 W · 54 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Sentinels	63c	57$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.06	969	45%436 W · 533 L	-19.9wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Cloud9	31c	55.59$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.49	1,281	32.1%411 W · 870 L	-67.2wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x89bc…cdb0backed Sentinels	57c	52.1$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.5	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.43per pick	57cpaid	+76%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Cloud9	42c	50$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.04	245	51%125 W · 120 L	+6.2wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x177d…158abacked Sentinels	52c	49.74$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.01	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-2.6wins	-0.11per pick	52cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x67b1…63ecbacked Cloud9	26c	42.81$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	31	32.3%10 W · 21 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2897…b9d8backed Cloud9	53c	40$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	-2.9wins	-0.12per pick	60cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x38e8…e69cbacked Sentinels	59c	38.97$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.98	50	42%21 W · 29 L	-6.1wins	-0.12per pick	54cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x282b…cc76backed Cloud9	52c	38.46$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	63	50.8%32 W · 31 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+14%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9d7…a1ffbacked Sentinels	54c	36$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.56	86	52.3%45 W · 41 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Sentinels	56c	34.82$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.32	148	50.7%75 W · 73 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Sentinels	55c	34.37$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.35	116	37.9%44 W · 72 L	-15.5wins	-0.13per pick	51cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8c6c…b1d2backed Cloud9	36c	33.75$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.15	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	-6.2wins	-0.26per pick	43cpaid	-67.2%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Cloud9	54c	30.01$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.07	1,253	49.5%620 W · 633 L	-3.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed Sentinels	54c	27.77$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.68	34	32.4%11 W · 23 L	-7.5wins	-0.22per pick	54cpaid	-48.2%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x8058…4cc3backed Sentinels	74c	27.03$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.03	85	52.9%45 W · 40 L	-5.8wins	-0.07per pick	60cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Sentinels	49c	20.41$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.41	90	68.9%62 W · 28 L	+7.4wins	+0.08per pick	61cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d03…b8a6backed Cloud9	59c	18.64$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	154	55.8%86 W · 68 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Cloud9	60c	18.18$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.91	199	45.2%90 W · 109 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Valorant: Sentinels vs Cloud9 - Map 1 Winnerthis page
Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-2.5) vs Cloud9 (+2.5)Sentinels won
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5Under won
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-2.5) vs Cloud9 (+2.5)Cloud9 won
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-2.5) vs Cloud9 (+2.5)Cloud9 won
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
Map Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs Cloud9 (+1.5)Cloud9 won
Valorant: Sentinels vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group OmegaSentinels won
Valorant: Sentinels vs Cloud9 - Map 2 WinnerCloud9 won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Valorant: Sentinels vs Cloud9 - Map 1 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event