World Politics · resolved market
Will AD+PD win the third-most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3a2f55580ae4a66bf44637580c51e7742647c4dfab1fa8184624acaf1502e3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,484
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,207
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,484 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb89f…1c44backed Yes | 41c | 3,058$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.18 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4333…1f57backed No | 62c | 1,414$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.68 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5092…86c3backed Yes | 64c | 1,375$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes | 10c | 1,285$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.48 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x862b…fbb7backed Yes | 47c | 1,160$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +49%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 57c | 975.72$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.5 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94e1…cc7bbacked Yes | 61c | 953.81$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e85abacked Yes | 7c | 630.91$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.72 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed Yes | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac88…2f0dbacked Yes | 24c | 448.4$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e82…af92backed No | 52c | 442.66$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.84 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 49c | 377.6$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.82 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 57c | 313.5$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.5 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…4f75backed Yes | 34c | 302.74$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.47 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 40c | 296.01$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.76 | 371 | 17.8%66 W · 305 L | -18.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb98…6d3cbacked No | 40c | 265$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 40c | 258.21$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.14 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a3…962fbacked Yes | 52c | 242.04$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…dbbfbacked Yes | 23c | 240.54$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.38 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dd…ec86backed No | 50c | 211.28$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.49 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…be4dbacked No | 38c | 180$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 43c | 172.13$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.32 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f6…e3f8backed Yes | 51c | 155.95$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.81 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…3bd0backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 69c | 149$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.72 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 68c | 137.91$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.07 | 187 | 62.6%117 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8360…83c9backed Yes | 52c | 135.7$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…f61ebacked Yes | 65c | 126.74$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e7…40c2backed No | 59c | 120$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc01f…cd8ebacked Yes | 18c | 113.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb92a…f51cbacked Yes | 65c | 110.86$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.06 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed No | 42c | 110$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 142 | 25.4%36 W · 106 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb52c…23f1backed No | 35c | 108.58$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28f…841abacked Yes | 30c | 105$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 67c | 100.08$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 183 | 48.6%89 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 394 | 14%55 W · 339 L | -71.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea6…180dbacked No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 44c | 99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.45 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f06…5efabacked No | 43c | 97.18$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +131.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c0…8e32backed No | 37c | 94.19$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +173.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 29c | 94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 33c | 87.07$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.34 | 449 | 21.2%95 W · 354 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x366a…ebeabacked Yes | 61c | 86.96$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85c8…80f8backed No | 57c | 81.16$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 75c | 79.04$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 59c | 64.73$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.48 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 40c | 64.2$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.69 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c8…0af5backed Yes | 66c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 61c | 59$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.12 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 26c | 55.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 59c | 54.07$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…0357backed Yes | 54c | 50.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ad…ccfabacked No | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3167…679ebacked Yes | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe26c…48f5backed Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb732…6900backed No | 57c | 48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc5…f452backed Yes | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53a3…e5afbacked No | 43c | 42.09$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.09 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x367f…18b5backed Yes | 51c | 41.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…7c84backed No | 34c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb26…0e22backed No | 43c | 39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 35c | 37.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.67 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -32.3wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfd88…4037backed Yes | 31c | 32.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3bb…fce3backed No | 45c | 30.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.93 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 41c | 30.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 43c | 25.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 220 | 29.5%65 W · 155 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8862…bbf5backed No | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c8…0fcbbacked Yes | 66c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7570…ffc0backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571e…67b2backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x385e…3896backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9719…356fbacked No | 67c | 19.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba3…57bcbacked No | 57c | 17.96$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AD+PD win the third-most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?this page
- Will Imperium Europa win the third-most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?No won
- Will Momentum win the third-most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.