Fifa International · resolved market
France to win the second half?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9894c9c5f54c69c81a8592931e4eaa7154191b4766b9175aa5cdae7d7b1601c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $150,418
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $162,601
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $150,418 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 70c | 50,000$34,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,209 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 30c | 37,417$11,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,042.72 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 70c | 32,814$22,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,818.74 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x969a…59ddbacked No | 31c | 22,350$6,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,928.49 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 73c | 16,502$11,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,524.17 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked No | 27c | 10,236$2,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,749.43 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked No | 31c | 7,087$2,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,176.13 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d07…a067backed Yes | 73c | 6,872$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,871.76 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 30c | 4,443$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.72 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…cba2backed No | 32c | 4,168$1,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326.94 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 32c | 4,056$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.13 | 431 | 45.2%195 W · 236 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…9097backed No | 30c | 3,515$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.69 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked No | 13c | 2,549$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.9 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed No | 29c | 2,267$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.36 | 128 | 53.9%69 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4436…d11abacked No | 31c | 2,100$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab65…4a03backed No | 32c | 1,984$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.87 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed No | 30c | 1,831$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.38 | 362 | 50%181 W · 181 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed No | 31c | 1,488$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.57 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Yes | 68c | 1,344$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.64 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed No | 31c | 1,308$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.46 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea6…180dbacked Yes | 68c | 1,059$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.79 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 30c | 1,020$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.12 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 75c | 969$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.72 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x780d…d20cbacked Yes | 75c | 902.81$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.7 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b00…52eebacked Yes | 18c | 850$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693 | 73 | 31.5%23 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 30c | 832$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6a…681dbacked No | 32c | 750$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…2888backed Yes | 70c | 702$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.22 | 272 | 27.6%75 W · 197 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf48…36c2backed No | 31c | 635$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.85 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8413…5af6backed No | 29c | 602.76$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.8 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 70c | 541$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.72 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf998…13f5backed Yes | 70c | 514.29$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.29 | 274 | 54%148 W · 126 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed No | 30c | 500.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.3 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8494…814abacked Yes | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…02febacked Yes | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde41…58bdbacked No | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Yes | 67c | 499.99$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed No | 29c | 492.72$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.89 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcad4…317abacked Yes | 70c | 485.71$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.71 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…8e7dbacked Yes | 70c | 471$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.79 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 30c | 455.08$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.02 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 29c | 431$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.03 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 29c | 430.48$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.76 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 29c | 421.17$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.14 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 67c | 419.9$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.15 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…48cabacked Yes | 67c | 415.08$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.98 | 182 | 48.9%89 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad0d…4d09backed Yes | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Yes | 69c | 361$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.91 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb673…d240backed No | 30c | 336.67$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x854b…8f97backed Yes | 16c | 304.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.79 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 14cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 30c | 303.05$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.73 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 30c | 300.03$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.35 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c06…5befbacked No | 33c | 276.77$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc64…fc2bbacked Yes | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae0…8f73backed No | 32c | 256.13$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.96 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed No | 32c | 243.56$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.94 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 26c | 232.6$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.06 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2277…6604backed No | 32c | 223.18$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.42 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked No | 30c | 223$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.92 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 54c | 216.04$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.12 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked No | 31c | 195.71$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.88 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76fb…5ef5backed No | 31c | 169.19$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.11 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed40…5657backed Yes | 69c | 158.05$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a1…7afebacked Yes | 69c | 145$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.3 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf78b…3a8abacked Yes | 71c | 141.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.57 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe384…e24cbacked Yes | 70c | 140.9$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.27 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4325…324dbacked Yes | 72c | 104.17$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.17 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 28c | 102.21$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…be0abacked Yes | 72c | 102.21$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1b…ae0bbacked Yes | 69c | 95.2$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…375cbacked Yes | 17c | 86.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.79 | 92 | 21.7%20 W · 72 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54f1…585abacked Yes | 70c | 78.37$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58cf…6b6fbacked Yes | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3874…30f2backed Yes | 74c | 67.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 108 | 32.4%35 W · 73 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed No | 31c | 67.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 481 | 54.9%264 W · 217 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e1…eda0backed Yes | 73c | 65.75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 75c | 60.53$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4a…db9ebacked Yes | 69c | 57.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe16…60bebacked Yes | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 150 | 63.3%95 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…db44backed No | 29c | 55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 197 | 60.4%119 W · 78 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226a…258abacked Yes | 70c | 44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8d…50bcbacked Yes | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 31c | 42.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes | 71c | 42.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda20…cb8dbacked No | 28c | 41.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 30c | 40.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 342 | 38.6%132 W · 210 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Yes | 70c | 33.93$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Yes | 69c | 30.9$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf968…421dbacked Yes | 69c | 28.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe36b…f873backed Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb67…e8a0backed Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa06…74c3backed Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 56 | 80.4%45 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 76cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1b…dcf3backed Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…fa8dbacked Yes | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 235 | 54.9%129 W · 106 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…d820backed Yes | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad1b…1d65backed Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa3…39b2backed Yes | 70c | 19.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 168 | 31.5%53 W · 115 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- France to win the second half?this page
- Paraguay to win the second half?No won
- Paraguay vs. France: Second half draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.