Dota2 · resolved market
Game Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs Team Bald (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7ff3aba0877802b8c2756c26021df57574894b6e4697a6563918dbd513620a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Baldof Power Rangers, Team Bald
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,681
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,228
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,681 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Power Rangers | 35c | 3,677$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Team Bald | 64c | 3,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 211 | 46.9%99 W · 112 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Team Bald | 65c | 1,178$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.68 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed Power Rangers | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Team Bald | 68c | 882.62$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.62 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee2d…36ffbacked Team Bald | 77c | 771.52$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.66 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Power Rangers | 23c | 623.22$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.76 | 405 | 34.6%140 W · 265 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…d655backed Power Rangers | 36c | 530.56$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Team Bald | 68c | 469.79$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.33 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe8…bb28backed Team Bald | 62c | 451.61$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.61 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.18per pick | 59cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea6…180dbacked Team Bald | 63c | 290.27$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.4 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked Team Bald | 66c | 239.33$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.37 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1c…9bb3backed Power Rangers | 18c | 209.13$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.24 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87fe…3cbebacked Team Bald | 67c | 186.61$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.58 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…4771backed Team Bald | 67c | 186.57$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.57 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…bedfbacked Power Rangers | 38c | 184.51$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.01 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Bald | 67c | 160$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Team Bald | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 324 | 41.7%135 W · 189 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd932…af3cbacked Power Rangers | 33c | 67.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29f9…9de3backed Power Rangers | 33c | 67.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc2…a9ebbacked Team Bald | 68c | 60.42$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 64 | 79.7%51 W · 13 L | +8.3wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed Power Rangers | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -5.5wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Team Bald | 65c | 18.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs Team Bald (+1.5)this page
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Team Bald (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsPower Rangers won
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Team Bald - Game 2 WinnerPower Rangers won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.