TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Team Bald - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Power Rangersof Power Rangers, Team Bald
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$139,045
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$154,109

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,045 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0f14…ec62backed Team Bald0c13,474$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.471258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3413…8ff2backed Team Bald48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,799.9347646.4%221 W · 255 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Bald50c9,587$4,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,7571,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe16d…5e30backed Power Rangers63c7,339$4,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,724.61,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x87e6…9c8abacked Team Bald1c5,615$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3412253.3%65 W · 57 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Team Bald38c4,936$1,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,855.532549.8%162 W · 163 L+23.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Power Rangers54c3,888$2,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,793.6989741.5%372 W · 525 L+22.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Team Bald4c3,463$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.8916725.7%43 W · 124 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-23.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbc6…9092backed Team Bald1c3,333$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208420.2%17 W · 67 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked Power Rangers51c2,417$1,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,186.3195342.2%402 W · 551 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2391…554fbacked Team Bald45c2,222$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012141.3%50 W · 71 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf67d…c986backed Team Bald5c2,079$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10039042.1%164 W · 226 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Power Rangers62c2,032$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.0628159.8%168 W · 113 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Power Rangers51c1,899$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931.131,15447.7%550 W · 604 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Power Rangers68c1,659$1,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.5552046.5%242 W · 278 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc41e…e2e9backed Team Bald4c1,521$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60375.4%2 W · 35 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Power Rangers51c1,250$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.51,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Power Rangers51c1,250$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.421,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x540d…c8f9backed Power Rangers59c1,248$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.8638855.2%214 W · 174 L+29.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Bald42c1,170$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.641,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a77…e59dbacked Team Bald6c1,146$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.3722031.8%70 W · 150 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-31.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed Team Bald36c1,130$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.828341%116 W · 167 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39a7…bcb7backed Power Rangers52c1,096$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.1510949.5%54 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Power Rangers62c1,067$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.162,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Power Rangers51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4901,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Team Bald10c976.65$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.3443067%288 W · 142 L+31.9wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+11.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1991…348ebacked Team Bald3c947.51$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4513647.1%64 W · 72 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a86…cc01backed Team Bald32c804.97$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.1310051%51 W · 49 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3752…2f08backed Team Bald34c784.3$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.6634442.2%145 W · 199 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Team Bald42c771.19$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.0571143%306 W · 405 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Team Bald11c750$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851,28045%576 W · 704 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Power Rangers67c712.04$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.682,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Power Rangers46c669.64$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.6169132.6%225 W · 466 L-26.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Team Bald6c596.48$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.071,70241.2%701 W · 1,001 L-44.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Power Rangers54c585.31$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.991,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Power Rangers65c560$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.9950850.8%258 W · 250 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc159…f3c8backed Team Bald5c545$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.819238.5%74 W · 118 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Power Rangers52c540.64$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.5150353.9%271 W · 232 L+26.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb983…20e6backed Team Bald42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-42.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a2b…9e83backed Team Bald9c500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4518446.7%86 W · 98 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60f1…aa80backed Power Rangers52c430$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.41338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Team Bald41c426.67$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.8780544.6%359 W · 446 L-25.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c27…97c2backed Team Bald42c413.73$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.582835.7%10 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-36.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Power Rangers52c403.85$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.8541037.3%153 W · 257 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed Team Bald6c379.16$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4625935.5%92 W · 167 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8cfc…4f30backed Team Bald17c375.68$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.8937745.4%171 W · 206 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Team Bald42c375$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.510036%36 W · 64 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd1c…9bb3backed Team Bald10c323.58$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.393158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed Power Rangers52c320$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.625956.8%147 W · 112 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Team Bald21c301.93$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.2165647.3%310 W · 346 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7e5…cc65backed Team Bald7c282.3$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.762025%5 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-40.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9991…36b8backed Power Rangers53c274.07$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.119658.3%56 W · 40 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51be…12c2backed Power Rangers66c272.67$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.7119251%98 W · 94 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a2e…ff35backed Power Rangers59c251.58$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.15366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f56…d7dbbacked Team Bald10c250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258538.8%33 W · 52 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec41…1134backed Power Rangers59c250$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.515854.4%86 W · 72 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Power Rangers52c250$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12040442.3%171 W · 233 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd592…9618backed Power Rangers59c249.76$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.49636.5%35 W · 61 L-9.3wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-18.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Power Rangers54c244.03$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11334041.2%140 W · 200 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36d9…c3cabacked Team Bald39c240$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.644149.4%218 W · 223 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Team Bald43c234.42$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10057735%202 W · 375 L-14.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked Team Bald43c233.07$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.2216147.2%76 W · 85 L-0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed Power Rangers50c229.98$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.7421851.8%113 W · 105 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4214…db99backed Team Bald53c213.49$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.6536343.3%157 W · 206 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x189e…5aaebacked Power Rangers55c209$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.667538.7%29 W · 46 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-21.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1418…a265backed Team Bald5c202$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105541.8%23 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10ae…df49backed Team Bald41c201.96$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.83951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Power Rangers55c177$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.3317443.1%75 W · 99 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2141…0effbacked Power Rangers60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.675048%24 W · 26 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6be…f6a3backed Team Bald31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504942.9%21 W · 28 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa92c…ce44backed Team Bald44c157.79$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.451850%9 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed Team Bald50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753330.3%10 W · 23 L-5.7wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-38.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6cb1…1002backed Power Rangers61c142.18$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.147251.4%37 W · 35 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd306…463dbacked Power Rangers65c124.77$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.7715461.7%95 W · 59 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05a7…42e6backed Team Bald49c123$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.2741056.8%233 W · 177 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07b1…b027backed Team Bald41c121.66$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8814043.6%61 W · 79 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Power Rangers59c120$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.232441.7%135 W · 189 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Power Rangers59c116.59$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.315642.9%24 W · 32 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-28%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Team Bald39c114.59$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.6926445.1%119 W · 145 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Team Bald25c105.08$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5719449%95 W · 99 L+11.8wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb36f…53d0backed Power Rangers52c101.92$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9220949.8%104 W · 105 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f9b…bc2fbacked Power Rangers52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486762.7%42 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0e0…016abacked Team Bald42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422429.2%7 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-44.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Team Bald23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231,12036.1%404 W · 716 L-39.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x74aa…2c3fbacked Team Bald42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422828.6%8 W · 20 L-3.9wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-48.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Power Rangers52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4819249%94 W · 98 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab10…b659backed Team Bald10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Power Rangers55c99.06$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8115342.5%65 W · 88 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2342…12d6backed Team Bald51c99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.497757.1%44 W · 33 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Team Bald39c91.28$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.8568345.8%313 W · 370 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77f2…eec6backed Power Rangers53c88.5$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.555457.8%320 W · 234 L+12.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c82…5a52backed Power Rangers65c87.85$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.8523459%138 W · 96 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Power Rangers52c82.02$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.1156945.2%257 W · 312 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b4e…417cbacked Team Bald42c79.35$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.332231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x14c8…c192backed Power Rangers67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.638042.5%34 W · 46 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7db9…95ebbacked Team Bald42c70.96$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.942133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-43%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Power Rangers52c69.51$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3644049.3%217 W · 223 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2355…4869backed Power Rangers66c68.13$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2510552.4%55 W · 50 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Power Rangers52c67.14$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.2313647.1%64 W · 72 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8168…7837backed Team Bald23c65.76$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+54.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.