Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c27b8a846898ac1cf2d932536407027f706af6ad8a6a5a018e8546aa5b9b282
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sentinelsof Sentinels, LOUD
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $111,513
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $107,800
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,513 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd30…f316backed LOUD | 71c | 102,925$72,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72,977.22 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -9.2wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -42%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xeac2…dddcbacked Sentinels | 29c | 82,780$24,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,704.75 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Sentinels | 29c | 8,621$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,120.68 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.32per pick | 46cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea6…180dbacked Sentinels | 29c | 4,500$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,195 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Sentinels | 30c | 4,057$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,860 | 223 | 46.6%104 W · 119 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191b…5b67backed Sentinels | 1c | 3,809$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,771.22 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +520.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Sentinels | 30c | 2,919$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,041.85 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65c1…2988backed LOUD | 69c | 1,067$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.14 | 255 | 54.9%140 W · 115 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed LOUD | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Sentinels | 25c | 849.71$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.28 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Sentinels | 30c | 776$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.09 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Sentinels | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Sentinels | 28c | 230.27$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.54 | 237 | 45.1%107 W · 130 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Sentinels | 28c | 227.61$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.88 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x731b…6124backed LOUD | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Sentinels | 59c | 136.84$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 211 | 53.6%113 W · 98 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd5…28f2backed Sentinels | 29c | 110.85$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.7 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -29%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Sentinels | 28c | 110$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3d…e430backed LOUD | 69c | 86.96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed LOUD | 73c | 80$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.4 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | -7.2wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4b…0a04backed Sentinels | 28c | 77.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.54 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Sentinels | 28c | 59.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.19 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed8…2c70backed LOUD | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 132 | 61.4%81 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5410…dcc7backed Sentinels | 28c | 51.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.87 | 159 | 31.4%50 W · 109 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a1…d6ecbacked Sentinels | 74c | 49.53$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd934…ab75backed LOUD | 70c | 20.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-2.5) vs LOUD (+2.5)Sentinels won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-5.5) vs LOUD (+5.5)Sentinels won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-2.5) vs LOUD (+2.5)Sentinels won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-5.5) vs LOUD (+5.5)Sentinels won
- Valorant: Sentinels vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group OmegaSentinels won
- Valorant: Sentinels vs LOUD - Map 1 WinnerSentinels won
- Valorant: Sentinels vs LOUD - Map 2 WinnerSentinels won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.