Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Sentinels vs LOUD - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4c0e64cb37da2127700aaa78bf670fc91264912fe66dc1256e4737a6b462eee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sentinelsof Sentinels, LOUD
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,087
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,884
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,087 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed LOUD | 23c | 10,164$2,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,356.52 | 409 | 45.7%187 W · 222 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Sentinels | 65c | 3,845$2,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeac2…dddcbacked LOUD | 1c | 3,450$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed LOUD | 46c | 2,304$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.89 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -9.2wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -42%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Sentinels | 49c | 1,961$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.75 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked LOUD | 53c | 1,423$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.45 | 281 | 43.4%122 W · 159 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Sentinels | 58c | 1,225$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.34 | 533 | 55.3%295 W · 238 L | +24.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed Sentinels | 47c | 1,173$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.42 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Sentinels | 47c | 1,125$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.25 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked LOUD | 52c | 1,008$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.41 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed LOUD | 52c | 823.93$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.6 | 563 | 57.9%326 W · 237 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Sentinels | 55c | 785.07$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.24 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c15…5b4bbacked Sentinels | 54c | 600$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Sentinels | 49c | 522.71$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.03 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed LOUD | 62c | 502$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.22 | 547 | 51.2%280 W · 267 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Sentinels | 55c | 500.1$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.05 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf490…63afbacked Sentinels | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0181…9b5fbacked LOUD | 26c | 449.99$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.74 | 278 | 50%139 W · 139 L | +21.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Sentinels | 55c | 431.31$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.09 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Sentinels | 50c | 312.5$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.25 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Sentinels | 73c | 310.75$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.05 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…1228backed Sentinels | 47c | 299.99$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed LOUD | 66c | 277.55$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.18 | 117 | 47%55 W · 62 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked LOUD | 50c | 270$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Sentinels | 49c | 265.24$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.74 | 264 | 47.3%125 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Sentinels | 78c | 257.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.36 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Sentinels | 50c | 253$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.37 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc86f…e603backed LOUD | 44c | 250.92$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.15 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sentinels | 55c | 250$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Sentinels | 49c | 230.54$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.05 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed LOUD | 47c | 213.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed LOUD | 48c | 210.66$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.07 | 361 | 45.7%165 W · 196 L | +22.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Sentinels | 55c | 205.2$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.34 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…67b6backed LOUD | 40c | 202.38$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.85 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked LOUD | 51c | 193$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.65 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed LOUD | 49c | 173.47$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 96 | 40.6%39 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Sentinels | 34c | 173.06$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.22 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa2…f1f1backed LOUD | 7c | 166.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…f9b2backed LOUD | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Sentinels | 64c | 145.92$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.84 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…79bebacked LOUD | 24c | 138.93$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed Sentinels | 41c | 137.09$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.39 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf99…9840backed LOUD | 49c | 122.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.26 | 180 | 49.4%89 W · 91 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Sentinels | 59c | 109.03$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.58 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Sentinels | 51c | 106.44$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.23 | 344 | 43.3%149 W · 195 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed LOUD | 46c | 100.1$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.07 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed LOUD | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 353 | 31.2%110 W · 243 L | -29.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed LOUD | 51c | 97.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 110 | 42.7%47 W · 63 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed Sentinels | 71c | 94.94$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 84 | 81%68 W · 16 L | +9.9wins | +0.12per pick | 69cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb0bd…ddf8backed LOUD | 56c | 86.14$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9199…1b0abacked Sentinels | 55c | 82.47$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd92c…dd9abacked Sentinels | 57c | 75.89$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.29 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e6…8532backed LOUD | 51c | 71.88$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…4880backed LOUD | 43c | 70.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 205 | 47.8%98 W · 107 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked LOUD | 34c | 62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 556 | 37.6%209 W · 347 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Sentinels | 56c | 60.46$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 237 | 45.1%107 W · 130 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Sentinels | 56c | 60.46$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked LOUD | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked LOUD | 44c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 164 | 51.8%85 W · 79 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Sentinels | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaa…6abebacked Sentinels | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29d1…055dbacked Sentinels | 53c | 45.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sentinels | 51c | 43.71$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 443 | 42%186 W · 257 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…c12abacked LOUD | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…4fadbacked LOUD | 66c | 41.62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.42 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a9…e7d8backed Sentinels | 50c | 38.52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.26 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed LOUD | 39c | 36.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 438 | 43.6%191 W · 247 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Sentinels | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed LOUD | 53c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 169 | 63.3%107 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Sentinels | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44b7…2e99backed LOUD | 62c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked LOUD | 51c | 22.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed LOUD | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f66…2dffbacked Sentinels | 74c | 20.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7608…de92backed Sentinels | 54c | 19.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf5…1095backed LOUD | 65c | 18.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 117 | 70.9%83 W · 34 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Sentinels vs LOUD - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-2.5) vs LOUD (+2.5)Sentinels won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-5.5) vs LOUD (+5.5)Sentinels won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-2.5) vs LOUD (+2.5)Sentinels won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-5.5) vs LOUD (+5.5)Sentinels won
- Map Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)Sentinels won
- Valorant: Sentinels vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group OmegaSentinels won
- Valorant: Sentinels vs LOUD - Map 2 WinnerSentinels won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.