Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Sentinels vs LOUD - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3fd5dcb9df649ca0c0125b080729f6c8e3bc15a5e0a88c5c6fe46c4d7509ee3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sentinelsof Sentinels, LOUD
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,985
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,797
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,985 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeac2…dddcbacked LOUD | 27c | 24,244$6,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,508.04 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Sentinels | 76c | 23,625$18,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,617.86 | 409 | 45.7%187 W · 222 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Sentinels | 71c | 4,640$3,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.65 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Sentinels | 73c | 2,566$1,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.08 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed LOUD | 22c | 2,036$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.28 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc6…5928backed Sentinels | 62c | 1,700$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed LOUD | 25c | 1,693$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.47 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed LOUD | 34c | 1,500$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515 | 223 | 46.6%104 W · 119 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Sentinels | 61c | 1,484$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.76 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…9797backed Sentinels | 76c | 1,462$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.84 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb75b…e377backed Sentinels | 70c | 1,384$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.75 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed LOUD | 31c | 1,273$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.28 | 531 | 59.1%314 W · 217 L | +41.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Sentinels | 70c | 1,039$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.81 | 533 | 55.3%295 W · 238 L | +24.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked LOUD | 15c | 1,030$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.5 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…b275backed LOUD | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked LOUD | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…e48ebacked LOUD | 29c | 957.92$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.92 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed LOUD | 14c | 945.64$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.72 | 220 | 18.2%40 W · 180 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked LOUD | 32c | 600.4$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.65 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf99…9840backed LOUD | 39c | 600$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 180 | 49.4%89 W · 91 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eba…0f3abacked Sentinels | 72c | 508.11$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.11 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c8…84a6backed Sentinels | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 231 | 51.9%120 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…b792backed LOUD | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf490…63afbacked LOUD | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed LOUD | 35c | 493$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.55 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b3…4dbcbacked Sentinels | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Sentinels | 61c | 424.34$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.5 | 375 | 45.6%171 W · 204 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Sentinels | 60c | 394$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.9 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed LOUD | 23c | 392.87$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.17 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed LOUD | 44c | 382.04$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Sentinels | 61c | 319.13$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.46 | 543 | 42.4%230 W · 313 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed LOUD | 24c | 307.64$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.19 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked LOUD | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Sentinels | 78c | 266$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.41 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82a1…e38bbacked LOUD | 21c | 264$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.44 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed LOUD | 27c | 225.27$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.57 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked LOUD | 22c | 208.19$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.27 | 211 | 53.6%113 W · 98 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed Sentinels | 76c | 201.98$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.98 | 229 | 55%126 W · 103 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Sentinels | 80c | 181.35$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.73 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x528a…12f1backed LOUD | 18c | 169$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked LOUD | 26c | 166.09$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.18 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked LOUD | 26c | 165.01$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.14 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed LOUD | 40c | 159.56$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.82 | 264 | 47.3%125 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1d…6f23backed Sentinels | 74c | 153.4$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked Sentinels | 67c | 149.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.35 | 628 | 56.4%354 W · 274 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…47c8backed Sentinels | 80c | 136.16$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked LOUD | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb46…ed08backed LOUD | 24c | 99.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed LOUD | 14c | 92.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 97 | 37.1%36 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed Sentinels | 59c | 85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 110 | 42.7%47 W · 63 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…d03fbacked Sentinels | 57c | 84.65$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0bd…ddf8backed LOUD | 26c | 81.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed LOUD | 22c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd5…28f2backed LOUD | 41c | 80$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -29%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed LOUD | 27c | 71.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 321 | 52.6%169 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed LOUD | 35c | 67.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sentinels | 69c | 56.01$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 443 | 42%186 W · 257 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed LOUD | 24c | 53.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 563 | 57.9%326 W · 237 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4b…0a04backed LOUD | 31c | 51.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcac3…3942backed Sentinels | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…1068backed Sentinels | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 65 | 72.3%47 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7adb…221ebacked LOUD | 41c | 48.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed Sentinels | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed Sentinels | 71c | 38.71$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 169 | 63.3%107 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Sentinels | 73c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 509 | 44.6%227 W · 282 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Sentinels | 54c | 32.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.81 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3395…e2ffbacked Sentinels | 78c | 31.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f66…2dffbacked Sentinels | 79c | 31.73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed LOUD | 42c | 24.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…62e6backed Sentinels | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Sentinels vs LOUD - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-2.5) vs LOUD (+2.5)Sentinels won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-5.5) vs LOUD (+5.5)Sentinels won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-2.5) vs LOUD (+2.5)Sentinels won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-5.5) vs LOUD (+5.5)Sentinels won
- Map Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)Sentinels won
- Valorant: Sentinels vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group OmegaSentinels won
- Valorant: Sentinels vs LOUD - Map 1 WinnerSentinels won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.