TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7608…de92

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
42
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: CS2, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 59 out of 100; worst Valorant at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Valorantlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs Fluxo W7M - Map 2 Winnerbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.92
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Enterprise Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.19
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Enterprise Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.59
Valorant: G2 Esports vs M80 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+40.1%+$21.56
Valorant: Cloud9 vs BESTIA (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.44
Valorant: Cloud9 vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.32
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs 2GAME Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+79.7%+$46.32
Valorant: Eintracht Frankfurt vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.27
Valorant: GIANTX vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$7.98
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegabacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+56.6%+$49.35
Valorant: Cloud9 vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegabacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.66
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+29.1%+$8.26
Valorant: Global Esports vs Gen.G Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Gen.G Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+111.5%+$28.21
Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs 2GAME Esports (BO5) - VCL Americas: Last Chance Qualifier Playoffsbacked Shopify Rebellion Black · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.83
Valorant: 2GAME Esports vs Contra (BO3) - VCL Americas: Last Chance Qualifier Group Stagebacked 2GAME Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$6.2
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.34
Valorant: BBL Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$30.25
Valorant: Sentinels vs LOUD - Map 1 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$8.93
All 19 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT8100%8 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+49.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Noir Verse vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked Noir Verse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+46.2%+$9
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+39.6%+$7.73
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$6.58
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$9.77
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$17.9
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$6.93
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs BESTIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffsbacked Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.79
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.72
All 8 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$34.9
Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+42.7%+$8.06
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Resilience - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Resilience · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$11.66
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs KW - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$7.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+59.8%+$42.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rome: Danka Kovinic vs Julia Rierabacked Julia Riera · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$22.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Ismael Bonfim vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Axel Sola · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$10.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.