TailMyPicks

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Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Liquidof Team Liquid, Xtreme Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$65,597
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$85,657

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,597 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbb29…e532backed Xtreme Gaming15c7,051$1,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.45250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed Xtreme Gaming31c6,000$1,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,859.9527645.3%125 W · 151 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Xtreme Gaming5c3,976$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.722,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Xtreme Gaming18c2,517$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.431,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Xtreme Gaming30c2,500$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.0781029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Team Liquid68c2,486$1,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.3680443.9%353 W · 451 L-1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x084b…3de6backed Xtreme Gaming5c2,100$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10510741.1%44 W · 63 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51c7…98aabacked Team Liquid70c2,008$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.6829160.1%175 W · 116 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f04…5fc4backed Xtreme Gaming17c1,788$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.7331545.4%143 W · 172 L-19.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb555…0c4bbacked Xtreme Gaming8c1,449$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.5110342.7%44 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c0e…35f8backed Team Liquid69c1,131$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.611241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Xtreme Gaming7c1,066$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.221,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Xtreme Gaming5c1,017$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.991,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc81…5df2backed Team Liquid71c887.83$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.359557.9%55 W · 40 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Xtreme Gaming18c814.69$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.862,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Team Liquid67c800$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.945280.8%42 W · 10 L+8.6wins+0.17per pick64cpaid+27.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Team Liquid76c772$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.9830138.9%117 W · 184 L-20.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-32.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf092…4ebabacked Team Liquid69c725.46$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.894856.3%27 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Team Liquid75c706.36$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.29837.8%37 W · 61 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed Xtreme Gaming33c699.98$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.9933541.2%138 W · 197 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a8c…f872backed Team Liquid72c693.04$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.048164.2%52 W · 29 L+7.0wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1c02…7fdcbacked Team Liquid69c666.99$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.771266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed Team Liquid69c643.3$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.757455.4%318 W · 256 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Xtreme Gaming15c615.42$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.251,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2074…61d9backed Xtreme Gaming32c581$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.921625%4 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Team Liquid69c579.71$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.715565.5%36 W · 19 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Xtreme Gaming28c554.97$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.5777941.1%320 W · 459 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0473…f001backed Xtreme Gaming32c503$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.961816.7%3 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-51.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb80d…0ac1backed Xtreme Gaming32c470$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.46936.2%25 W · 44 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Xtreme Gaming12c410.18$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.442,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20b2…f114backed Xtreme Gaming15c385.81$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.0115131.8%48 W · 103 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed Xtreme Gaming30c381$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.317146.8%80 W · 91 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Xtreme Gaming8c341.65$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6971342.5%303 W · 410 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x004e…90f8backed Xtreme Gaming13c339.7$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454341.9%18 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4946…89d0backed Team Liquid68c323.75$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.64967.3%33 W · 16 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+9.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Xtreme Gaming3c313$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2814121.3%30 W · 111 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-60.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf7b0…6960backed Team Liquid69c299.23$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.368055%44 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe99e…0084backed Xtreme Gaming34c291.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10087645.7%400 W · 476 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec6a…c3d8backed Team Liquid70c280.07$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b05…b133backed Xtreme Gaming8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011254.5%61 W · 51 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd752…7b4fbacked Xtreme Gaming16c244.17$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8235461.3%217 W · 137 L+0.6wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b9…0a9bbacked Team Liquid69c233.33$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.3310156.4%57 W · 44 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfadf…dda0backed Team Liquid69c229.86$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.2629245.9%134 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Xtreme Gaming30c212.6$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.7860542.6%258 W · 347 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe64b…3499backed Xtreme Gaming32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645052%26 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed Xtreme Gaming31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6220838.9%81 W · 127 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Team Liquid68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6432951.7%170 W · 159 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Xtreme Gaming35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7021045.7%96 W · 114 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b9…8267backed Team Liquid71c183.5$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.54969.4%34 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x75f3…0e78backed Xtreme Gaming32c171.88$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5541248.8%201 W · 211 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed Xtreme Gaming28c158.9$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8817740.7%72 W · 105 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2806…6de8backed Xtreme Gaming32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011344.2%50 W · 63 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Team Liquid66c149.85$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.616144.3%27 W · 34 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x33a8…2a71backed Team Liquid70c148.69$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.614355.8%24 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b30…5bf9backed Team Liquid69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.936666.7%44 W · 22 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb127…b8a2backed Team Liquid69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.93366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18ea…ae46backed Team Liquid69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.935771.9%41 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick72cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe341…354dbacked Team Liquid69c142.32$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.123764.9%24 W · 13 L+5.8wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+33%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7e94…4186backed Team Liquid70c142.02$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.022458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16ea…6df7backed Xtreme Gaming20c125.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6112720.5%26 W · 101 L-22.6wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-62.9%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Team Liquid69c120$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.215345.8%70 W · 83 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xef35…c333backed Team Liquid69c109.22$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.867460.8%45 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Xtreme Gaming32c109$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.181844.4%8 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f74…4fccbacked Team Liquid69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+98.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce1f…7392backed Xtreme Gaming16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1667853.5%363 W · 315 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7e0…0d8abacked Team Liquid70c89.59$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5926958.7%158 W · 111 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Xtreme Gaming31c88.06$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1522945.9%105 W · 124 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f5a…aca1backed Team Liquid69c86.96$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.964355.8%24 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5271…0f95backed Team Liquid69c84$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.041040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e0e…8763backed Team Liquid72c80$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.44654.3%25 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x81e4…6f22backed Xtreme Gaming30c76.35$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.91546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f3a…7dcbbacked Team Liquid69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4620952.6%110 W · 99 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5502…d440backed Team Liquid72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4445457.5%261 W · 193 L+39.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+14%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6fb6…ec60backed Xtreme Gaming31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012751.2%65 W · 62 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcc3…0041backed Xtreme Gaming20c55$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1180%0 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Team Liquid69c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.525639.5%101 W · 155 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d27…bd5abacked Team Liquid68c45$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.446872.2%338 W · 130 L+36.5wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+11.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed Team Liquid70c44.28$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1445951.9%238 W · 221 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Team Liquid69c43.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4810766.4%71 W · 36 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Team Liquid70c42.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8659556.6%337 W · 258 L+12.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13e9…7cd4backed Team Liquid70c42.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.869045.6%41 W · 49 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2a0…e362backed Team Liquid70c41.49$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.247100%7 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+61.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Xtreme Gaming30c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1231126%81 W · 230 L-17.5wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-37.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed Team Liquid69c39.99$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.61,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e5c…7b2bbacked Team Liquid75c39.71$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.03450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd32b…735cbacked Team Liquid69c39.13$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.13250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb9f…36dfbacked Team Liquid69c36.23$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.231145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick62cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7d2…83b3backed Xtreme Gaming32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011563.5%73 W · 42 L+9.1wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7eb3…0710backed Team Liquid70c30.51$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1511163.1%70 W · 41 L+0.4wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked Team Liquid69c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.395841.1%394 W · 564 L+32.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc209…7924backed Team Liquid68c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.650757.4%291 W · 216 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6327…97b2backed Team Liquid69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.994983.7%41 W · 8 L+7.9wins+0.16per pick67cpaid+28.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd183…c371backed Team Liquid69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.991952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7272…1b61backed Team Liquid69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.991216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick39cpaid-75.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x19f7…8f22backed Team Liquid69c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.751291.7%11 W · 1 L+3.7wins+0.31per pick61cpaid+53.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf740…cf50backed Team Liquid69c24.99$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.757856.4%44 W · 34 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4287…3d5ebacked Team Liquid71c24.89$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.228342.2%35 W · 48 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x358e…d534backed Team Liquid69c21.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.742100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7713…daf0backed Team Liquid68c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.45354.7%29 W · 24 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcda0…a51abacked Team Liquid69c17.39$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.398361.4%51 W · 32 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.