Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7d0f015eb2f593d46e81af0e9e9d35b52166a1afd1bb4f88f427a355984186d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Liquid, Xtreme Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,437
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,933
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,437 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Liquid | 64c | 50,814$32,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,377.99 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Xtreme Gaming | 36c | 47,001$17,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,060.15 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Xtreme Gaming | 34c | 3,587$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.46 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Team Liquid | 66c | 3,505$2,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.6 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -8.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Xtreme Gaming | 34c | 2,171$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.76 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53f2…5343backed Xtreme Gaming | 28c | 2,119$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 37cpaid | -82%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Liquid | 66c | 2,060$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.63 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Liquid | 67c | 1,560$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.74 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e3…dd00backed Xtreme Gaming | 34c | 1,429$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.21 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed Xtreme Gaming | 37c | 1,400$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Xtreme Gaming | 40c | 1,265$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Liquid | 67c | 1,200$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.99 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Xtreme Gaming | 28c | 1,153$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed Team Liquid | 74c | 1,148$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.36 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16d8…ba9ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 36c | 1,109$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed Xtreme Gaming | 37c | 1,068$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Liquid | 65c | 1,000$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.57 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…5df2backed Team Liquid | 69c | 799.99$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Xtreme Gaming | 25c | 797.02$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.72 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 37c | 617.69$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.54 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Xtreme Gaming | 35c | 600$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Team Liquid | 63c | 531.32$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.9 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Xtreme Gaming | 34c | 498.03$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.33 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 35c | 427.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Team Liquid | 65c | 406$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.16 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x07b0…4758backed Team Liquid | 66c | 402.86$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.28 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed Team Liquid | 75c | 398.11$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.11 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Team Liquid | 64c | 320$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.2 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec61…4a2ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 28c | 299.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 33c | 290.22$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.77 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…4210backed Xtreme Gaming | 37c | 275.24$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.54 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11ff…4447backed Xtreme Gaming | 8c | 264.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb279…2c15backed Team Liquid | 76c | 257.96$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Xtreme Gaming | 30c | 238.96$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.12 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Team Liquid | 63c | 224.51$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.86 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6503…0c3dbacked Team Liquid | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Xtreme Gaming | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked Team Liquid | 68c | 140$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 38c | 130.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 354 | 61.3%217 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Liquid | 79c | 126.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.83 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc3…0041backed Xtreme Gaming | 9c | 113.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Team Liquid | 76c | 111.09$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.91 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Xtreme Gaming | 33c | 104.48$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.48 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed Xtreme Gaming | 30c | 103.2$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.89 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Team Liquid | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed Team Liquid | 78c | 98.71$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab05…52e9backed Team Liquid | 69c | 93.04$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.89 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Team Liquid | 64c | 79.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2760…ef06backed Team Liquid | 67c | 77.77$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.73 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f46…cddbbacked Team Liquid | 65c | 77.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.38 | 240 | 52.1%125 W · 115 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed Xtreme Gaming | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e94…4186backed Team Liquid | 68c | 73.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.98 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a4…4249backed Team Liquid | 80c | 72.36$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 196 | 64.8%127 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabe5…d99abacked Xtreme Gaming | 30c | 66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5524…2f3cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf106…65dbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 33c | 52.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1532…1dadbacked Team Liquid | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 226 | 54.4%123 W · 103 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4287…3d5ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 30c | 49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Team Liquid | 67c | 45.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Team Liquid | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Xtreme Gaming | 23c | 42.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Team Liquid | 63c | 39.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.54 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Team Liquid | 70c | 31.91$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc98…b902backed Xtreme Gaming | 38c | 31.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x055a…d83bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Team Liquid | 70c | 28.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b97…3037backed Team Liquid | 67c | 26.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Team Liquid | 68c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Team Liquid | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Team Liquid | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0030…04e9backed Team Liquid | 66c | 15.68$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 341 | 52.2%178 W · 163 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2Team Liquid won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs Xtreme Gaming (+1.5)Team Liquid won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.