Champions League · resolved market
Will RB Salzburg beat Stade Brestois?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdaef1033a9d85f1af5834ab975582866ed335ddea9f5df451c9f09b71e6e964d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,780
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,208
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,780 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x13ab…7f03backed Yes | 60c | 10,563$6,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,330.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Yes | 1c | 10,160$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.62 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +157.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3f84backed Yes | 47c | 4,377$2,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,057.25 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked No | 35c | 3,729$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,424.06 | 102 | 32.4%33 W · 69 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 46c | 3,500$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,874.97 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked No | 53c | 3,462$1,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,634.85 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 23c | 2,457$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.27 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 46c | 2,133$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.64 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 45c | 1,920$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.28 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 46c | 1,756$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.13 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 42c | 1,750$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Yes | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9c…8f07backed Yes | 51c | 982.15$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ed…6e11backed No | 53c | 894.32$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57da…9ea4backed Yes | 47c | 893.43$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 53c | 761.54$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f89…3e08backed Yes | 50c | 733.4$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9dd…bc8ebacked No | 51c | 733.4$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74a9…b89cbacked Yes | 35c | 718$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 48c | 552.53$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.24 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed No | 53c | 488$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.36 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 47c | 477.96$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.32 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b88…7b00backed Yes | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37ba…5da5backed Yes | 52c | 305.4$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4919…0c56backed Yes | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…65fabacked No | 51c | 293.62$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.13 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked No | 45c | 234.62$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.6 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4e…c452backed Yes | 52c | 234.58$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…db6ebacked Yes | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…366cbacked Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb16b…c06fbacked Yes | 49c | 204.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18c4…106dbacked No | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…63e5backed No | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.08 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3550…68b6backed No | 65c | 198.46$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.46 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x501a…d46dbacked Yes | 57c | 189.61$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.08 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x679a…aa00backed No | 51c | 160.78$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.78 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Yes | 50c | 155.88$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.94 | 152 | 36.8%56 W · 96 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5be…8728backed Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfca7…83e3backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea8…01fdbacked Yes | 53c | 96.64$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d6…e639backed Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a04…1993backed Yes | 45c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a59…5769backed No | 51c | 68.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9603…8cefbacked Yes | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef28…1493backed Yes | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81b5…56cdbacked Yes | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73b4…09a3backed Yes | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2e…5b64backed Yes | 51c | 52.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4102…42b6backed Yes | 50c | 52.7$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae6f…7399backed Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3184…d7c4backed No | 51c | 52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 55c | 49.96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.48 | 244 | 55.7%136 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…be30backed No | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52aa…e5dabacked Yes | 51c | 45.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e94…4186backed Yes | 51c | 42.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68f3…48edbacked Yes | 50c | 42.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce7b…7677backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a2…aff4backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…3113backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed Yes | 56c | 35.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b49…2e60backed Yes | 53c | 34.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1da…0108backed Yes | 55c | 32.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…ebe9backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c04…1844backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01a3…00e8backed Yes | 52c | 28.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Yes | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Yes | 52c | 24.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…797fbacked Yes | 50c | 20.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41cf…a1a7backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…958dbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1645…47a0backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51b3…1d04backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b27…e49dbacked No | 77c | 14.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RB Salzburg beat Stade Brestois?this page
- Will Stade Brestois beat RB Salzburg?Yes won
- Will the match between RB Salzburg and Stade Brestois end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.