Champions League · resolved market
Will Stade Brestois beat RB Salzburg?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x832e79de2213fd6180d3a7f8ecaea0a085029ff80bbb940371a752ca44668e59
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,443
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,665
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,443 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 22c | 2,463$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,927.17 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 26c | 2,259$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.7 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 76c | 1,971$1,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,493.65 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 24c | 1,861$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410.72 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaa…77b7backed Yes | 23c | 1,714$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313.97 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Yes | 24c | 1,116$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.06 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74a9…b89cbacked Yes | 61c | 999$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae7f…44afbacked Yes | 22c | 909.09$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.09 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked No | 76c | 823.35$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.27 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Yes | 20c | 628.44$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.75 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd028…75f5backed No | 80c | 625$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 74cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 21c | 499.99$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.99 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yes | 21c | 386.2$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.1 | 102 | 32.4%33 W · 69 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3550…68b6backed Yes | 18c | 333$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.06 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…1095backed No | 75c | 250$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa20…fd0dbacked Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d6…e639backed Yes | 46c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ea…158dbacked Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.69 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c43…b289backed No | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 78c | 49.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 244 | 55.7%136 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b1…ef03backed No | 57c | 30.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Stade Brestois beat RB Salzburg?this page
- Will RB Salzburg beat Stade Brestois?No won
- Will the match between RB Salzburg and Stade Brestois end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.