TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pistons (-8.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pistonsof Pistons, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$96,107
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$97,989

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,107 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed Pistons49c27,590$13,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,070.8420055%110 W · 90 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb2f…eca9backed Kings47c20,000$9,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,399.986546.2%30 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Pistons53c13,067$6,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,141.6717554.9%96 W · 79 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xce28…3e51backed Kings51c9,821$5,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,008.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Pistons1c9,600$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,50429810.4%31 W · 267 L+22.5wins+0.08per pick3cpaid+230.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Pistons51c8,889$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,389.276746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Kings52c6,460$3,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,36624847.6%118 W · 130 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pistons52c5,396$2,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,574.639,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Kings51c5,000$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5504,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Kings53c5,000$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,649.9851753.8%278 W · 239 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5b0…60e7backed Kings51c3,733$1,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9041822.2%4 W · 14 L-5.2wins-0.29per pick51cpaid-57.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x17b9…430dbacked Kings46c3,433$1,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,579.1613040%52 W · 78 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Kings47c3,082$1,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,448.711,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Kings47c2,800$1,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,315.9850653.2%269 W · 237 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Pistons53c2,584$1,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,214.461,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Pistons5c2,400$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,28039018.2%71 W · 319 L+27.6wins+0.07per pick11cpaid+62.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf7cd…0888backed Kings46c2,287$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.8717744.1%78 W · 99 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3bc4…116ebacked Kings51c2,265$1,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,155425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Kings51c1,449$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73925452.8%134 W · 120 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pistons63c1,446$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.738,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc675…2ff3backed Pistons51c1,368$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.293240.6%13 W · 19 L-4.8wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-23.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdfce…b388backed Kings51c1,312$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.22951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Kings47c1,214$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.571,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Kings47c852.92$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.872,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked Pistons47c675$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.757252.8%38 W · 34 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Kings20c653$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.26931.9%22 W · 47 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Pistons47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3181,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x68bf…3e67backed Kings45c576.39$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.8910244.1%45 W · 57 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2bcc…4324backed Kings50c500$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24952844.7%236 W · 292 L+1.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Kings50c483.18$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2421,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Kings49c460$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.46,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdac9…56e7backed Kings51c327.45$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1673148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Kings49c302.04$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14862347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Pistons54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1382,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bd3…c066backed Kings47c270.64$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.29450%47 W · 47 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Pistons54c250$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11585147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e84…768ebacked Pistons53c241.51$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.5113644.9%61 W · 75 L-7.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Kings49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfc3…93bbbacked Kings49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Pistons51c186.99$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.6351146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6da…36cbbacked Kings36c150$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-27.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f17…2332backed Pistons54c148.15$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.1512155.4%67 W · 54 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Pistons49c144.84$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.312,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb9c…d01bbacked Pistons53c141.51$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.516560%39 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked Kings48c140.04$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.228742.5%37 W · 50 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20b…502cbacked Pistons52c116$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.68771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+34.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x70df…bca8backed Pistons53c113.74$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.7432750.2%164 W · 163 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcba…d962backed Pistons53c113.21$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.218543.5%37 W · 48 L-7.9wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x38db…d245backed Kings49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010058%58 W · 42 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Kings49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5033442.8%143 W · 191 L-17.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f84…f7ffbacked Pistons52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1600…5a08backed Kings30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3014127.7%39 W · 102 L-16.4wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-26.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Pistons51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Pistons53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3412763%80 W · 47 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+15.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb460…041fbacked Kings54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508132.1%26 W · 55 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Kings48c89.27$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8576247.1%359 W · 403 L+2.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Kings47c76.9$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.1489050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0495…c68fbacked Kings48c75$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3611346%52 W · 61 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43b3…74cfbacked Kings49c70$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.64339.5%17 W · 26 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4254…b8d2backed Kings48c70$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.65160.8%31 W · 20 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x16e4…0641backed Kings25c65.96$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.497035.7%25 W · 45 L-6.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ab7…180ebacked Kings49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305251.9%27 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11e7…6d5cbacked Kings49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304141.5%17 W · 24 L-4.4wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-19%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7be2…e1eebacked Kings49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f20…eaf6backed Kings42c59.07$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258543.5%37 W · 48 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24da…9561backed Kings44c58.57$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.776949.3%34 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa30d…e0b1backed Kings49c56$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.44425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-45.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Pistons56c55.46$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.461,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7afb…ff15backed Pistons53c54.2$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.617528%21 W · 54 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Kings47c47$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.311,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52b6…b02ebacked Pistons55c41.82$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8222342.2%94 W · 129 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ec1…dd29backed Pistons52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4622556.9%128 W · 97 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4627…7c23backed Pistons53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7413449.3%66 W · 68 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe56e…0bb4backed Pistons53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7424248.3%117 W · 125 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Pistons53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.742,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd207…c366backed Pistons55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3619150.3%96 W · 95 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a9f…c2a6backed Pistons55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.367550.7%38 W · 37 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e46…25c2backed Pistons55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3611047.3%52 W · 58 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa93…0bc7backed Pistons55c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.523047.4%109 W · 121 L+19.2wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Pistons56c26.07$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.473,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6533…0f9cbacked Pistons51c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2549358.6%289 W · 204 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Pistons53c24.5$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.473,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Pistons47c23.46$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4352643%226 W · 300 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4f7…1cddbacked Pistons52c23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.046741.8%28 W · 39 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8bc…87fbbacked Pistons80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.54057.5%23 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.