TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Cornell Big Red vs. Lafayette Leopards

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cornell Big Redof Cornell Big Red, Lafayette Leopards
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$33,493
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$33,981

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,493 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5b68…6f4ebacked Lafayette Leopards33c4,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Cornell Big Red70c3,700$2,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,096.235,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x63d0…87ccbacked Lafayette Leopards33c3,500$1,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,15510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a89…bfddbacked Lafayette Leopards33c3,500$1,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,15510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bd6…3779backed Lafayette Leopards33c3,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Cornell Big Red68c2,218$1,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.5133438.9%130 W · 204 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe20…c1d8backed Lafayette Leopards33c2,100$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x826d…9947backed Cornell Big Red67c2,000$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6601100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb88a…3e55backed Cornell Big Red67c2,000$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6601100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a53…cc07backed Lafayette Leopards37c1,850$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.52250%11 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3bb…c8acbacked Cornell Big Red63c1,850$1,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.51650%8 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5806…5863backed Cornell Big Red67c1,700$1,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5611100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7340…4656backed Cornell Big Red67c1,600$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5281100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x461f…582fbacked Cornell Big Red67c1,600$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5281100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c8…f6e0backed Cornell Big Red67c1,500$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4951100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dbe…2516backed Cornell Big Red67c1,500$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4951100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50d3…af3ebacked Cornell Big Red67c1,400$938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4621100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebc0…4ec7backed Cornell Big Red67c1,400$938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4621100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf507…b7d1backed Cornell Big Red67c1,400$938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4621100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde6f…fc91backed Lafayette Leopards35c1,340$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b21…10c5backed Lafayette Leopards15c1,031$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x513f…cfbdbacked Lafayette Leopards56c1,010$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Lafayette Leopards32c779.38$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.6712,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8005…abc0backed Lafayette Leopards19c704.37$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.51128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick16cpaid-74.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x61e4…61c8backed Lafayette Leopards17c591.65$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Cornell Big Red66c276$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.8455657.4%319 W · 237 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52b6…b02ebacked Lafayette Leopards36c194.44$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703925.6%10 W · 29 L-5.1wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-50%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf07c…08fcbacked Lafayette Leopards56c191.84$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69c2…efc0backed Lafayette Leopards17c182.24$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Lafayette Leopards34c170.25$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.345644.5%203 W · 253 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fa9…2239backed Lafayette Leopards20c150.19$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6143…938fbacked Lafayette Leopards31c129$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x216a…9380backed Cornell Big Red80c125.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5cc…0540backed Lafayette Leopards60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-52.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea81…eeaebacked Lafayette Leopards32c64.82$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.741,22727.8%341 W · 886 L-0.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed Cornell Big Red64c62.77$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.613227.3%36 W · 96 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8639…fb86backed Lafayette Leopards31c55$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2517740.7%72 W · 105 L-0.6wins0.00per pick41cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Cornell Big Red67c50.82$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8215557.4%89 W · 66 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca4c…1f2ebacked Lafayette Leopards36c42.28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe10a…90cebacked Cornell Big Red68c36.82$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x895f…56d8backed Lafayette Leopards35c34.69$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeea6…4fddbacked Cornell Big Red64c31.12$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.21450%7 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5eb5…721ebacked Lafayette Leopards36c31.12$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.21145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb921…d9babacked Cornell Big Red67c30.31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4a6…3079backed Lafayette Leopards36c28.56$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.28616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick41cpaid-64.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ee5…be96backed Cornell Big Red64c28.56$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.281735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-34.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfbac…672bbacked Cornell Big Red68c28$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fa2…2938backed Cornell Big Red67c27.3$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fad…1deabacked Cornell Big Red67c26.61$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b90…c4f8backed Lafayette Leopards65c25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe709…5bb2backed Cornell Big Red79c23.9$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+25.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2382…4628backed Cornell Big Red59c23.08$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4614035%49 W · 91 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98d0…01a4backed Cornell Big Red65c23.08$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.086355.6%35 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cc2…f14bbacked Cornell Big Red64c22.22$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed Cornell Big Red64c17.32$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.242245.5%10 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-27.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xadf1…e655backed Cornell Big Red64c16.56$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.961275%9 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+44.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x567a…85eebacked Cornell Big Red67c15.09$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.