Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Penn State Nittany Lions
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9851f8c8a35b9c2268d3a94405dbf7edb7ecf1d72338922efefeac30f91fcf05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wisconsin Badgersof Wisconsin Badgers, Penn State Nittany Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,600
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,256
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,600 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Wisconsin Badgers | 71c | 8,025$5,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350.24 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 30c | 6,962$2,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,063.88 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Wisconsin Badgers | 71c | 6,173$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.53 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf746…f71ebacked Wisconsin Badgers | 72c | 5,173$3,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,431.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Wisconsin Badgers | 71c | 3,522$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.26 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 28c | 3,090$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.05 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 29c | 3,026$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.6 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 28c | 3,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Wisconsin Badgers | 70c | 2,873$2,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.7 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe81…5fe9backed Wisconsin Badgers | 71c | 2,096$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.85 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 29c | 2,000$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 26c | 1,950$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.85 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 29c | 1,783$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.11 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 28c | 1,500$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 29c | 1,300$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377 | 186 | 54.3%101 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 30c | 1,204$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.2 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +8.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 30c | 946.76$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 30c | 809.92$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.98 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Wisconsin Badgers | 72c | 805$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.4 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -12.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Wisconsin Badgers | 70c | 653.76$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.24 | 244 | 44.7%109 W · 135 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 30c | 471.71$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.95 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 29c | 461.67$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.45 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 30c | 379.44$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.72 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f5…8be3backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 31c | 322$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.82 | 127 | 33.9%43 W · 84 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 28c | 320.52$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.3 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 28c | 304.43$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.55 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…6f98backed Wisconsin Badgers | 70c | 285.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Wisconsin Badgers | 69c | 279.3$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.58 | 123 | 64.2%79 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4371…4fd9backed Wisconsin Badgers | 73c | 242.32$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.43 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 29c | 228.3$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.21 | 216 | 46.8%101 W · 115 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 28c | 184$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.52 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 30c | 174$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 29c | 167.49$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.57 | 378 | 35.7%135 W · 243 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 171 | 22.8%39 W · 132 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 36c | 146$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.56 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Wisconsin Badgers | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 27c | 119.82$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.38 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 29c | 118.81$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.49 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 34c | 103.84$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.39 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Wisconsin Badgers | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1de6…fdb3backed Wisconsin Badgers | 73c | 94.38$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb59c…e944backed Wisconsin Badgers | 64c | 89$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.04 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.3wins | -0.33per pick | 56cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 31c | 74.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ad…8b71backed Wisconsin Badgers | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 29c | 68.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 254 | 36.6%93 W · 161 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a17…5d26backed Wisconsin Badgers | 74c | 66.89$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa96b…7d92backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 28c | 53.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Wisconsin Badgers | 69c | 51.63$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeca…8c27backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 33c | 48.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a1…64a3backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 31c | 48.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef0…7adebacked Wisconsin Badgers | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa31…5cc1backed Wisconsin Badgers | 73c | 40.13$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9121…bd6cbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 32c | 36.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Wisconsin Badgers | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Wisconsin Badgers | 68c | 28.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd164…f17bbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -6.0wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -31%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd85d…01c1backed Wisconsin Badgers | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06ed…b908backed Wisconsin Badgers | 70c | 21.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5514…72bdbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcf…23fabacked Wisconsin Badgers | 70c | 14.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wisconsin Badgers vs. Penn State Nittany Lionsthis page
- Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-5.5)Wisconsin Badgers won
- Wisconsin Badgers vs. Penn State Nittany Lions: O/U 160.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.