Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Drexel Dragons vs. Monmouth Hawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x970400e072f57afb0a67b73ab6aeec6c4a9ad9a5f9ba7b2cca20fbef99f94add
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Drexel Dragonsof Drexel Dragons, Monmouth Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,104
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,593
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,104 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Monmouth Hawks | 62c | 2,674$1,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660.71 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Drexel Dragons | 39c | 1,670$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.72 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Monmouth Hawks | 73c | 1,500$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked Drexel Dragons | 37c | 1,017$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.39 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Drexel Dragons | 27c | 654.78$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.99 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed Drexel Dragons | 32c | 409.65$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.56 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Drexel Dragons | 41c | 401.32$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.87 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Monmouth Hawks | 68c | 399.98$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.99 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Monmouth Hawks | 27c | 316.17$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.61 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Monmouth Hawks | 5c | 254.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Monmouth Hawks | 23c | 190.08$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.65 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Drexel Dragons | 27c | 186$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.78 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…85b2backed Drexel Dragons | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.19 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Drexel Dragons | 39c | 145.56$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.27 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Drexel Dragons | 55c | 115.8$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.35 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Drexel Dragons | 34c | 103$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.24 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Monmouth Hawks | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Monmouth Hawks | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Monmouth Hawks | 12c | 90$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Drexel Dragons | 44c | 78.28$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.17 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…aeb0backed Drexel Dragons | 35c | 61.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.63 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd8…5c53backed Monmouth Hawks | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Monmouth Hawks | 68c | 48.41$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.92 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…58fcbacked Drexel Dragons | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…e124backed Monmouth Hawks | 70c | 42.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb920…7922backed Monmouth Hawks | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Drexel Dragons | 32c | 38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.84 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa22f…604cbacked Monmouth Hawks | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Monmouth Hawks | 68c | 37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 254 | 36.6%93 W · 161 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Drexel Dragons | 32c | 33.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ed…b908backed Monmouth Hawks | 69c | 29.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Drexel Dragons vs. Monmouth Hawksthis page
- Drexel Dragons vs. Monmouth Hawks: O/U 129.5Under won
- Spread: Monmouth Hawks (-5.5)Drexel Dragons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.