Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Sharper Esport vs Motiv Esports (BO5) - VCL Southeast Asia: Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f64fa468544d1f86933066b6f474de4a2a741100dae89448615116e3c4065fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Motiv Esportsof Sharper Esport, Motiv Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,937
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,689
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,937 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b37…1f70backed Motiv Esports | 33c | 2,408$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,616.25 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sharper Esport | 67c | 1,910$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.45 | 1,422 | 51.3%729 W · 693 L | +49.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Sharper Esport | 70c | 431.3$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.75 | 291 | 51.5%150 W · 141 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Sharper Esport | 67c | 344.78$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Motiv Esports | 42c | 325.34$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.5 | 361 | 38.5%139 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Sharper Esport | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Motiv Esports | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | +13.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07ac…e813backed Sharper Esport | 34c | 259$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Sharper Esport | 79c | 195.27$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.48 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x806e…314fbacked Motiv Esports | 54c | 189$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…e90dbacked Motiv Esports | 55c | 184.66$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.66 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f0…3448backed Sharper Esport | 46c | 179$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd7…a7e5backed Motiv Esports | 54c | 177$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…9785backed Motiv Esports | 66c | 162$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd437…738fbacked Sharper Esport | 46c | 159.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x010a…c0a5backed Sharper Esport | 46c | 157$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad4…1b1cbacked Motiv Esports | 54c | 144.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Sharper Esport | 62c | 134.94$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.41 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92f8…0e1fbacked Motiv Esports | 31c | 132$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.11 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ce…f709backed Motiv Esports | 66c | 124$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +176.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked Motiv Esports | 29c | 101.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.7 | 630 | 56.3%355 W · 275 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd892…515cbacked Motiv Esports | 66c | 96$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 65cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…f2f9backed Sharper Esport | 34c | 83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked Sharper Esport | 46c | 74.93$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.47 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +7.8wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…0133backed Sharper Esport | 45c | 67.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Sharper Esport | 60c | 63.17$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.94 | 347 | 39.8%138 W · 209 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…6eacbacked Motiv Esports | 54c | 60.12$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.66 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +6.4wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +36%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4238…fa79backed Sharper Esport | 57c | 52.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Sharper Esport | 41c | 52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 267 | 30.7%82 W · 185 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5b…0324backed Sharper Esport | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Motiv Esports | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 404 | 54.7%221 W · 183 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed Sharper Esport | 55c | 49.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Sharper Esport | 70c | 48.52$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.96 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf92a…b680backed Sharper Esport | 57c | 45.23$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a3…1d0abacked Sharper Esport | 34c | 41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadf8…1e82backed Motiv Esports | 45c | 40.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbda…8bd5backed Sharper Esport | 54c | 39.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77eb…7f9bbacked Motiv Esports | 40c | 37.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.43 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…db89backed Motiv Esports | 42c | 36.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Motiv Esports | 46c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…2e9abacked Motiv Esports | 34c | 32.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 268 | 58.6%157 W · 111 L | +18.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Sharper Esport vs Motiv Esports (BO5) - VCL Southeast Asia: Playoffsthis page
- Valorant: Sharper Esport vs Motiv Esports - Map 3 WinnerMotiv Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.