TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pelicans (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pelicansof Pelicans, Jazz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$439,872
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$442,878

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $439,872 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe90b…5da2backed Jazz52c169,395$87,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87,493.721,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Jazz51c154,910$79,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79,004.0626753.2%142 W · 125 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Pelicans49c150,000$73,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76,5002,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Pelicans48c100,000$48,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,00026253.8%141 W · 121 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Pelicans50c60,107$30,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,053.529650.3%149 W · 147 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Jazz50c25,086$12,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,542.8987451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed Pelicans50c17,960$8,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,98016640.4%67 W · 99 L-14.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Jazz50c13,000$6,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,5001,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Jazz50c11,404$5,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,733.1159347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Jazz50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00035450.8%180 W · 174 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x221d…e800backed Pelicans50c9,412$4,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,705.881464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+22.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Pelicans50c7,155$3,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,606.0817550.9%89 W · 86 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Jazz51c5,845$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Pelicans49c5,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,55032846.6%153 W · 175 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Pelicans50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00038946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Jazz49c3,997$1,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,957.132,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Pelicans51c3,922$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,921.5749246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Pelicans49c3,333$1,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,699.8314753.1%78 W · 69 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Pelicans49c3,156$1,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,609.61,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Pelicans49c3,000$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,54048054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Pelicans50c2,500$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,25015844.9%71 W · 87 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Pelicans49c2,500$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,27513563%85 W · 50 L+15.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+21.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Pelicans48c2,281$1,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,179.933,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Jazz51c2,228$1,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,138.132,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Pelicans50c2,200$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,10038750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Jazz50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00032051.9%166 W · 154 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Pelicans50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00025951.4%133 W · 126 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Jazz51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02065750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Jazz50c1,569$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784.54,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4440…f8fdbacked Pelicans49c1,404$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.089952.5%52 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Pelicans50c1,400$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70091050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Jazz51c1,233$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.831,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Pelicans50c1,200$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60413857.2%79 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5623…6930backed Pelicans48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52023938.1%91 W · 148 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Pelicans50c865.8$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.923850%119 W · 119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Jazz52c800$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41646145.6%210 W · 251 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Pelicans49c714$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.146,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Jazz49c656.97$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.911,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Jazz51c600$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30627052.6%142 W · 128 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Pelicans49c600$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3061,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x322f…65a5backed Pelicans50c594$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29711943.7%52 W · 67 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Pelicans49c584.34$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.193,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Pelicans49c565.68$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.882,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Pelicans50c505.78$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.891,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Jazz50c435.28$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.452,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x664b…00b3backed Pelicans49c348.13$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.159455.3%52 W · 42 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jazz40c327.18$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.688,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Pelicans49c308.24$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.241,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Pelicans49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15347349%232 W · 241 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Pelicans51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14732450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0439…3f80backed Jazz52c259.17$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.778742.5%37 W · 50 L-7.4wins-0.09per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf498…3d66backed Pelicans54c255.61$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.6111855.1%65 W · 53 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe975…9d22backed Pelicans55c235.1$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.118055%99 W · 81 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Pelicans50c218.94$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.4791148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Pelicans50c207.85$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.214,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Pelicans49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0828245.4%128 W · 154 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Pelicans49c200.81$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.11,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…92e5backed Pelicans50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Pelicans49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10243544.6%194 W · 241 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa009…a6efbacked Pelicans50c199.24$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.6214742.2%62 W · 85 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4008…2942backed Pelicans50c193$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.518254.4%99 W · 83 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Pelicans50c167.8$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.152246.6%243 W · 279 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Pelicans49c167$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1753945.3%244 W · 295 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68d8…4cc6backed Pelicans57c164.48$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.4814455.6%80 W · 64 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x383d…87eabacked Pelicans49c163.27$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.2747852.9%253 W · 225 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcaf5…815bbacked Pelicans56c160.05$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.0515453.2%82 W · 72 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e5b…a569backed Jazz50c160$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8023847.1%112 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf10…691bbacked Pelicans57c147.3$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.313751.1%70 W · 67 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbeef…5667backed Pelicans56c145.82$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.8215253.3%81 W · 71 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83ea…c2efbacked Jazz51c138.24$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708942.7%38 W · 51 L-8.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x666f…9860backed Pelicans49c127.46$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.016055%33 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba69…b2debacked Pelicans49c126.41$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.473964.1%25 W · 14 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+21.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3319…ba79backed Pelicans50c116.72$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.3610456.7%59 W · 45 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0b4…9dc2backed Pelicans55c106.85$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.4418742.8%80 W · 107 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x985e…6894backed Pelicans49c103.84$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.9610761.7%66 W · 41 L+9.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x79df…277ebacked Pelicans49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.046556.9%37 W · 28 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe90…5ce2backed Pelicans50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505752.6%30 W · 27 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95fe…3896backed Pelicans50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5017046.5%79 W · 91 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a2d…4f43backed Pelicans50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5022850.9%116 W · 112 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57e5…e51ebacked Pelicans50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5033360.4%201 W · 132 L+17.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Pelicans50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0a4…65c3backed Pelicans50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507256.9%41 W · 31 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb227…8809backed Pelicans51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0411157.7%64 W · 47 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x43f9…2c69backed Pelicans51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.045356.6%30 W · 23 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Jazz51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5032952.9%174 W · 155 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Jazz51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5053453.4%285 W · 249 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Pelicans49c97.96$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.9621753%115 W · 102 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked Pelicans49c97.96$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.9617155.6%95 W · 76 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x06e7…87c2backed Pelicans54c93.26$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.261040%4 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd454…b47fbacked Pelicans49c92.14$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9927251.1%139 W · 133 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Pelicans49c87.24$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.4989853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3cc…c029backed Pelicans49c84.71$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.216250%81 W · 81 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Pelicans49c81.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.591,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed Jazz51c72.02$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7383158.1%483 W · 348 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Jazz45c68.96$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.035,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Pelicans49c64$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.543,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Pelicans50c60.51$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.273,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbf9…7560backed Pelicans50c60.26$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.268143.2%35 W · 46 L-7.1wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6f61…4e52backed Jazz50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0c7…5861backed Pelicans51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8251651.2%264 W · 252 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.