TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pelicans (-7.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Pelicansof Pelicans, Jazz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$10,335
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,350

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,335 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Jazz54c2,275$1,226 inLost-$1,225.671,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pelicans53c1,918$1,018 inWon+$899.348,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Jazz46c1,899$867 inLost-$866.6128929.4%85 W · 204 L-13.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Pelicans46c1,844$843 inWon+$1,001.092,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Jazz54c1,842$1,000 inLost-$1,00065750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Pelicans46c1,628$749 inWon+$879.2638750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Jazz55c603$332 inLost-$331.6533146.2%153 W · 178 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e36…6ce1backed Pelicans47c542.55$255 inWon+$287.553060%18 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed Jazz56c500$279 inLost-$279.1266645.9%306 W · 360 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pelicans44c456$201 inWon+$255.364,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Pelicans46c256.5$118 inWon+$138.513,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed Pelicans46c189$87 inWon+$102.0624151%123 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Jazz60c154.98$93 inLost-$93.3632952.9%174 W · 155 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Pelicans79c154.65$122 inWon+$32.651,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Jazz50c140$70 inLost-$7038242.9%164 W · 218 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pelicans50c140$70 inWon+$703,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Pelicans49c119.51$58 inWon+$61.215,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Jazz54c111.89$60 inLost-$60.4251354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Pelicans46c108.68$50 inWon+$58.692,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Pelicans40c102.01$40 inWon+$61.593,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Jazz54c99$53 inLost-$53.461,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Jazz32c92.4$30 inLost-$3046346.4%215 W · 248 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Jazz26c76.92$20 inLost-$2033730.3%102 W · 235 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb10…1584backed Jazz54c64.81$35 inLost-$351936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.4wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-32.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc8f3…9576backed Jazz56c60$34 inLost-$33.62556%14 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+25%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Pelicans44c59.58$26 inWon+$33.361,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c39…20eebacked Pelicans47c56.89$27 inWon+$30.1535843.6%156 W · 202 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbe2…6158backed Jazz54c55.07$30 inLost-$3033249.7%165 W · 167 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Pelicans51c51.34$26 inWon+$25.285,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Jazz45c44$20 inLost-$19.81,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Pelicans46c34.67$16 inWon+$18.761,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Pelicans45c34.29$15 inWon+$18.863,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Pelicans46c30$14 inWon+$16.223946.4%111 W · 128 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Pelicans45c26.07$12 inWon+$14.342,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c21…12bdbacked Pelicans46c23.59$11 inWon+$12.741675%12 W · 4 L+3.5wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+44%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Pelicans61c20.26$12 inWon+$7.9730151.8%156 W · 145 L-1.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.