NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Jazz: O/U 241.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb7e805f7072ac90f80a130dce61cd54551e1ef1a93dd790c441ed81dda240b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,027
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,110
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,027 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Under | 45c | 3,652$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,659.94 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over | 54c | 3,087$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420.12 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 55c | 1,588$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.42 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 43c | 1,024$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.32 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 1,011$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.06 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 57c | 993.47$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.19 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 38c | 590$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.2 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 54c | 528.25$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.62 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 62c | 523.08$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.03 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 55c | 300.2$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.87 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 50c | 212$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 46c | 172.01$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.58 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 46c | 156.84$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.81 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 44c | 137$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.28 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 42c | 119.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 57c | 117.93$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.92 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 49c | 117$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.33 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x714d…ff78backed Over | 55c | 72.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Under | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 282 | 45.4%128 W · 154 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Over | 56c | 68.18$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d3…25f8backed Under | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Under | 47c | 44.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7715…ada4backed Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc554…00adbacked Under | 49c | 29.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 63c | 16.21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pelicans vs. Jazz: O/U 241.5this page
- Ace Bailey: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Cody Williams: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Dejounte Murray: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Dejounte Murray: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Herbert Jones: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Keyonte George: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Keyonte George: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Keyonte George: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Pelicans vs. JazzPelicans won
- Pelicans vs. Jazz: 1H MoneylinePelicans won
- Pelicans vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 124.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Jazz: O/U 240.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Jazz: O/U 242.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Jazz: O/U 243.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Jazz: O/U 244.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Jazz: O/U 245.5Over won
- Spread: Pelicans (-3.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pelicans (-6.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pelicans (-7.5)Pelicans won
- Zion Williamson: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Zion Williamson: Points O/U 24.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.